Ascended Heroes Pull Rates, God Pack & SIR Odds (2026)
Real 100-pack data, ETB vs tin comparison, god pack probability, and weight checking — everything Singapore collectors need to know before opening
0 of 100
SIRs in one 100-pack case
~1/110
SIR per pack (avg est.)
~1/3,000
God pack est. odds
SGD $1,300+
Spent — 0 SIRs pulled
100-Pack Opening: The Real Data
A documented 100-pack opening of Ascended Heroes — one full case of ETBs plus one additional pack — produced the following results. This is real data, not theoretical averages. It illustrates the variance that every collector faces.
What was opened
- • 11 ETBs (Elite Trainer Boxes)
- • 100 booster packs total
- • Paid above retail — no distribution access
- • Estimated spend: SGD $1,300+
Hits pulled
- • 14 EX cards
- • 7 Mega EX cards (21 EX/Mega total)
- • 11 Illustration Rares (IRs)
- • 6 Full Art Trainers
- • 2 Full Art Dragonite (same card twice)
- • 0 SIRs
Hit rate breakdown
- • EX/Mega EX: 21% (1 in ~5 packs)
- • IR: 11% (1 in ~9 packs)
- • Full Art Trainer: 6% (1 in ~17 packs)
- • Full Art Pokemon: 2% (1 in ~50 packs)
- • SIR: 0% (0 in 100 packs)
Key takeaway: This was a legitimate, below-average result. The same opener previously pulled 2 SIRs and 2 SRs in just 5 ETBs. Variance in pack opening is extreme — any single session can land anywhere between exceptional and completely dry.
Ascended Heroes SIR Pull Rates: What the Numbers Say
The Pokemon Company does not publish official pull rates for any set, including Ascended Heroes. The estimates below are derived from community aggregate data — hundreds of documented openings shared across collector communities in Singapore and globally.
| Card Type | Est. Per Pack | Per ETB (9 packs) | Per Booster Box (36 packs) | Variance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | ~1 in 100–120 | ~1 in 11–13 ETBs | ~1 per 3–4 boxes | Very high — 0 in 100 or 2 in 45 are both real outcomes |
| Full Art Pokemon (FA) | ~1 in 45–60 | ~1 in 5–7 ETBs | ~0.5–0.8 per box | High — not guaranteed per box |
| Full Art Trainer | ~1 in 25–35 | ~1 in 3–4 ETBs | ~1 per box | Moderate — usually 1 per box |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | ~1 in 18–25 | ~0.4–0.5 per ETB | ~1.5–2 per box | Low-moderate — fairly consistent |
| Mega EX / Double Rare | ~1 in 5–7 | ~1.5 per ETB | ~5–7 per box | Low — consistent |
Why variance is so extreme for SIRs
SIRs are seeded at roughly 1 per case on average — but "on average" hides enormous session-to-session swings. Here is why:
- • Cases are factory-packed, not statistically randomised per pack
- • Print runs batch SIRs into specific positions — opening one case does not guarantee even odds
- • Multiple SIRs can cluster in one case while adjacent cases go dry
- • Small sample sizes (1–3 boxes) are nearly meaningless for pull rate estimation
The financial reality of chasing SIRs
Goal: Pull the Dragonite SIR (1 of ~8 SIRs in set)
Avg packs per SIR: ~110
Avg packs per specific SIR: ~880
ETB cost (9 packs): ~SGD $60–$75
Expected spend: SGD $5,800–$7,300
Buy it outright: SGD $80–$140
Opening is 40–90× more expensive than buying the single. Open for fun, not profit.
Ascended Heroes God Pack: What It Is & How Rare
A god pack is a pack where every single card inside is a hit — every slot contains a full art, IR, SIR, or equivalent premium rarity instead of the standard mix of commons and uncommons. They are not officially confirmed or documented by The Pokemon Company, but have been pulled and documented on video by collectors globally.
God pack characteristics
- • Every card in the pack is a hit (no commons/uncommons)
- • Typically 10 cards, all holo or higher rarity
- • Can contain multiple SIRs, full arts, and IRs in one pack
- • Recognised instantly by the weight and visible texture of the cards
- • Considered the rarest single-pack experience in the hobby
God pack probability (community estimates)
No official odds exist. These are community aggregates from documented god pack pulls across multiple SV era sets.
Can you identify a god pack before opening?
Experienced collectors have noted that god packs may feel slightly different when flicking through pack edges — the texture of full-art cards differs from standard cards. However, this is not reliable enough to use as a detection method, and attempting it could damage the pack seal. The only reliable way to confirm a god pack is to open it.
In the documented 100-pack Ascended Heroes opening described above, the opener specifically mentioned wanting to experience a god pack — and did not hit one. This is normal. Most collectors never pull a single god pack in their lifetime of opening.
ETBs vs Tins vs Sticker Collections: Which Has Better SIR Odds?
A common question among Singapore collectors: do different Ascended Heroes products have different pull rates? The honest answer is: the booster packs inside are identical regardless of product type. Pull rates are determined by the pack, not the box it came in.
Elite Trainer Boxes (ETBs)
Best value overallETBs contain 9 booster packs plus a promo card, sleeves, dice, and other accessories. The booster packs inside are standard — pull rates are identical to a booster box. The extra items (sleeves, promo) add genuine value, especially for players. At Singapore retail, ETBs typically offer slightly more total value than raw packs.
Packs per ETB
9 packs
Extras
Promo + accessories
SIR odds
Same as booster box
Tins
Community reports mixedAscended Heroes tins contain fewer booster packs (typically 4) plus a promo or figure. Community reports from the Ascended Heroes opening above noted that an entire case of tins produced zero SIRs — though this is consistent with the low per-pack probability and the small number of packs in a tin. The tin promo and figure add display value. Tins are not "worse" at pull rates per pack — they simply contain fewer packs.
Packs per tin
4 packs (est.)
Extras
Promo / figure
SIR odds
Same per pack
Sticker / Tech Sticker Collections
Fewer packs per dollarSticker collections and tech sticker collections typically contain 2–3 booster packs alongside sticker sheets or accessories. The per-pack pull rates are identical to all other Ascended Heroes products. The 100-pack opening referenced above included a case of sticker collections alongside tins — and neither product produced SIRs. This is a sample size issue, not a product-specific rate difference.
Packs included
2–3 packs
Extras
Sticker sheets
Value for pulls
Worst per SGD
Bottom line on product choice
If maximising pack-for-dollar is your goal, booster boxes give the most packs per SGD spent. ETBs add promo value worth considering. Tins and sticker collections are higher cost-per-pack — buy them for the extras, not for pull rate advantages.
Does Pack Weight Checking Work for Ascended Heroes?
Pack weight checking is the practice of weighing individual booster packs before opening to predict whether they contain rarer (heavier) holofoil cards. It was moderately effective on older sets — particularly Base Set through early EX era — because holo cards had noticeably different weight. Here is the current situation for Ascended Heroes.
Why weight checking does not reliably work on modern sets
- • Scarlet & Violet era packs use consistent packaging with minimal weight variance between standard holos and commons
- • The weight difference between a common card and a full art is fractions of a gram — within normal pack-to-pack manufacturing variation
- • Mass-market digital scales accurate enough to detect this difference cost thousands of dollars
- • Even accurate scales show false positives from humidity, surface irregularities, and manufacturing tolerances
- • Shops that sell individual packs are aware of weight checking and take countermeasures
The ethics of weight checking
Beyond the technical limitations, weight checking raises ethical concerns in the collecting community:
- • Selecting heavy packs from a retail display effectively "dumps" the lighter packs onto other buyers
- • Most Singapore TCG shops explicitly prohibit pack selecting
- • Being caught weight checking can result in a permanent ban from shops
- • The Singapore collector community is tight-knit — reputation matters more than a single pack advantage
Verdict: Do not do it. The technical edge is negligible on modern sets, and the community and shop cost is real.
What This Means For You: Practical Singapore Collector Guide
If you want a specific Ascended Heroes SIR
Buy the single. Dragonite SIR and Gengar SIR are consistently available on Carousell and tcgTalk from Singapore sellers. At SGD $80–$140 for NM copies, you are getting the card for a fraction of expected opening costs. Use the tcgTalk price comparison to find the best current deal.
If you want to open packs
Set a budget that you are fully comfortable losing (assume zero SIRs). Buy ETBs for the complete experience — promo card, accessories, and the satisfaction of opening. Enjoy the IRs, EXs, and full art trainers that you will realistically pull. A Psyduck IR or a Hitmontop holo can be genuinely exciting pulls even without hitting the top rarity.
If you are buying sealed for investment
Buy booster boxes or ETBs at or near Singapore retail. Store them sealed and unopened. Do not pay above-retail premiums unless the set is already out of print. Historical SV era sealed appreciation runs on 3–5 year horizons. Check our full investment analysis for more detail.
If you are grading Ascended Heroes SIRs
The Dragonite SIR at raw SGD $80–$140 and PSA 10 value of ~$350–$550 gives strong positive ROI after ~$70 all-in Singapore grading costs, but only on a PSA 10. Inspect corners, centering, and surface under directed light before submitting. See the graded card premium guide for full ROI breakdown.
Frequently Asked Questions
How often do you get an SIR from an Ascended Heroes ETB?
On average, roughly once every 11–13 ETBs. That means you should expect to open many ETBs before hitting an SIR. Some collectors hit one in their first ETB; others go through a full case of 12 with zero. Both outcomes are within normal variance.
Is the Ascended Heroes god pack confirmed?
Community members have reported and filmed god pack-style pulls from Ascended Heroes, but The Pokemon Company has not confirmed the mechanic officially. Based on patterns consistent with other SV era sets that have confirmed god packs (such as Prismatic Evolutions), the general belief in the collector community is that Ascended Heroes does have this mechanic.
What is the reverse slot in Ascended Heroes packs?
Every Scarlet & Violet era pack includes a reverse holo slot — a position that always contains a holofoil version of a standard card. In rare cases, a hit (IR, full art, or higher) can appear in the reverse slot instead of the standard hit slot. Always check both the hit position and the reverse slot when opening — a significant pull can appear in either.
Why did one case of Ascended Heroes produce zero SIRs?
Because variance at this sample size is real and expected. With an SIR rate of roughly 1 in 110 packs, opening 100 packs gives you only a ~60% chance of hitting even one SIR. That means roughly 40% of 100-pack case openings will produce zero SIRs. It is not bad luck in an extraordinary sense — it is a predictable outcome of the actual odds.
Are Ascended Heroes ETBs worth buying at above-retail prices in Singapore?
No — unless you are buying sealed for long-term investment and believe the set will appreciate significantly. If you are buying to open, paying above retail makes an already-negative expected value worse. Wait for prices to normalize or buy at Singapore retail from shops like Bricks Play, DEKTCGshop, or Concept City when stock is available.
Find Ascended Heroes Cards at Current Singapore Prices
Skip the opening gamble — browse Dragonite SIR, Gengar SIR, and all Ascended Heroes singles listed by Singapore collectors.
Buy the card you want for a fraction of expected opening costs.
Disclaimer: Pull rates are community estimates derived from aggregate opening data. The Pokemon Company does not publish official pull rates. God pack probability estimates are not confirmed by any official source. All prices are indicative estimates based on recent Singapore market transactions — verify current prices on tcgTalk or Carousell before buying or selling. This is not financial advice.