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Configurations
7
Odds Rows
524
Autographs
25
Base Parallels
87
2025 Topps Chrome Formula 1 Sapphire Edition Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
Product configuration
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Hobby · 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Padparadscha Sapphire Parallel Chrome Autographs
27%
chance of at least one 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Padparadscha Sapphire Parallel Chrome Autographs across 24 packs
≈ 0.31 expectedbase 1 in 77≈ 54 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
Every parallel in Hobby
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Base Refractor Parallel | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Base B&W Lazer Refractor | 1:7 | 98% | 3.43 |
| Base Checker Flag Parallel | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Base Pink Checker Flag Parallel | 1:31 | 54% | 0.77 |
| Base Aqua Checker Flag Parallel | 1:39 | 46% | 0.62 |
| Base Teal Refractor Parallel | 1:49 | 39% | 0.49 |
| Base Blue Checker Flag Parallel | 1:52 | 37% | 0.46 |
| Base Pink Refractor Parallel | 1:58 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Base Aqua Refractor Parallel | 1:73 | 28% | 0.33 |
| Base Green Checker Flag Parallel | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Base Blue Refractor Parallel | 1:97 | 22% | 0.25 |
| Base F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel | 1:103 | 21% | 0.23 |
| Base Green Refractor Parallel | 1:146 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Gold Checker Flag Parallel | 1:155 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Base Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:289 | 8.0% | 0.08 |
| Base Orange Checker Flag Parallel | 1:309 | 7.5% | 0.08 |
| Base Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:577 | 4.1% | 0.04 |
| Base Black Checker Flag Parallel | 1:1,220 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Speed Demons Aqua Refractor Parallel | 1:1,317 | 1.8% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Refractor Parallel | 1:1,441 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| 1975 Speed Wheels Aqua Refractor Parallel | 1:1,448 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Ace of Trades Aqua Refractor Parallel | 1:1,448 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Floor It Aqua Refractor Parallel | 1:1,448 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Helmet Collection Aqua Refractor Parallel | 1:1,448 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Base Red Checker Flag Parallel | 1:1,542 | 1.5% | 0.02 |
| Speed Demons F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel | 1:1,713 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Speed Demons Blue Refractor Parallel | 1:1,748 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| 1975 Speed Wheels Blue Refractor Parallel | 1:1,922 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Ace of Trades Blue Refractor Parallel | 1:1,922 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Floor It Blue Refractor Parallel | 1:1,922 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Helmet Collection Blue Refractor Parallel | 1:1,922 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| 1975 Speed Wheels F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel | 1:2,056 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Ace of Trades F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel | 1:2,056 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Floor It F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel | 1:2,056 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Helmet Collection F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel | 1:2,056 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Circuit Masters Signatures F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel | 1:2,517 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Speed Demons Green Refractor Parallel | 1:2,648 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Refractor Parallel | 1:2,881 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Base Card Image Variations | 1:2,881 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| 1975 Speed Wheels Green Refractor Parallel | 1:2,911 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Ace of Trades Green Refractor Parallel | 1:2,911 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Floor It Green Refractor Parallel | 1:2,911 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Helmet Collection Green Refractor Parallel | 1:2,911 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Circuit Masters Signatures Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:3,021 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Speed Demons Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:5,245 | 0.5% | 0 |
| 1975 Speed Wheels Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:5,768 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Ace of Trades Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:5,768 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Floor It Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:5,768 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Helmet Collection Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:5,768 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Circuit Masters Signatures Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:6,041 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Speed Demons Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:10,530 | 0.2% | 0 |
| 1975 Speed Wheels Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:11,583 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Ace of Trades Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:11,583 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Floor It Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:11,583 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Helmet Collection Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:11,583 | 0.2% | 0 |
| 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:12,082 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Base Superfractor Parallel | 1:14,403 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Base Printing Plates Black Base Aqua Sapphire Parallel | 1:14,403 | 0.2% | 0 |
| F175 Anniversary Logo Black Refractor Parallel | 1:15,995 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Speed Demons Black Refractor Parallel | 1:26,729 | 0.1% | 0 |
| 1975 Speed Wheels Black Refractor Parallel | 1:28,956 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Ace of Trades Black Refractor Parallel | 1:28,956 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Floor It Black Refractor Parallel | 1:28,956 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Helmet Collection Black Refractor Parallel | 1:28,956 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Circuit Masters Signatures Red Refractor Parallel | 1:30,204 | 0.1% | 0 |
| F175 Anniversary Logo Red Refractor Parallel | 1:32,338 | 0.1% | 0 |
| 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Red Refractor Parallel | 1:43,148 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Speed Demons Red Refractor Parallel | 1:54,506 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1975 Speed Wheels Red Refractor Parallel | 1:59,144 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Ace of Trades Red Refractor Parallel | 1:59,144 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Floor It Red Refractor Parallel | 1:59,144 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Helmet Collection Red Refractor Parallel | 1:59,144 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Helix Superfractor Parallel | 1:74,376 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Ultrasonic Superfractor Parallel | 1:106,252 | 0.0% | 0 |
| The Grid Superfractor Parallel | 1:148,752 | 0.0% | 0 |
| F175 Anniversary Logo Superfractor Parallel | 1:148,752 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Circuit Masters Signatures Superfractor Parallel | 1:151,018 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Superfractor Parallel 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Sapphire | 1:215,739 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Vegas At Night Superfractor Parallel | 1:297,504 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Speed Demons Superfractor Parallel Speed Demons Yellow Sapphire Parallel | 1:347,471 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1975 Speed Wheels Superfractor Parallel 1975 Speed Wheels Yellow Sapphire Parallel | 1:397,110 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Ace of Trades Superfractor Parallel Ace of Trades Yellow Sapphire Parallel | 1:397,110 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Floor It Superfractor Parallel | 1:397,110 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Helmet Collection Superfractor Parallel Helmet Collection Yellow Sapphire Parallel | 1:397,110 | 0.0% | 0 |
| The Chain Superfractor Parallel | 1:397,110 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Neon Nations Superfractor Parallel | 1:463,295 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Futuro Superfractor Parallel | 1:1,389,884 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Inserts | |||
| 1975 Speed Wheels | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Ace of Trades | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| F1® Chrome Diamond Drives | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Floor It | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Helmet Collection | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Speed Demons | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Futuro | 1:240 | 9.5% | 0.10 |
| Neon Nations | 1:240 | 9.5% | 0.10 |
| The Chain | 1:480 | 4.9% | 0.05 |
| Helix | 1:700 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Circuit Masters Signatures | 1:836 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Ultrasonic | 1:1,200 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Vegas At Night | 1:1,920 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| F175 Anniversary Logo | 1:2,066 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| The Grid | 1:2,400 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Base Printing Plates Cyan | 1:14,403 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Base Printing Plates Magenta | 1:14,403 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Base Printing Plates Yellow | 1:14,403 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Autographs | |||
| 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Padparadscha Sapphire Parallel Chrome Autographs | 1:77 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Chrome Autographs | 1:77 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Chrome Autographs RayWave Refractor Parallel Chrome Autographs Green Refractor Parallel | 1:364 | 6.4% | 0.07 |
| Chrome Autographs Green Refractor Parallel | 1:364 | 6.4% | 0.07 |
| Chrome Autographs F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Chrome Autographs F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Chrome Autographs Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:504 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Chrome Autographs Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:504 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Chrome Autographs Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:930 | 2.5% | 0.03 |
| Chrome Autographs Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:930 | 2.5% | 0.03 |
| Chrome Autographs Black Refractor Parallel | 1:2,289 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Chrome Autographs Black Refractor Parallel | 1:2,289 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Futuro Chrome Autographs | 1:4,315 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel | 1:4,647 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel | 1:4,647 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| The Grail Runner-Up Prize Autograph Card 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures | 1:4,985 | 0.5% | 0 |
| The Grail The Grail Grand Prize Autograph Card | 1:5,951 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Futuro Chrome Autographs Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:6,041 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel | 1:23,234 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel | 1:23,234 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Futuro Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel | 1:30,204 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Futuro Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel | 1:151,018 | 0.0% | 0 |
| On-Card Chrome Autographs Red Refractor | 1:297,504 | 0.0% | 0 |
| F1 Debut Patch Autographs | 1:743,760 | 0.0% | 0 |
| On-Card Chrome Autographs Superfractor | 1:1,487,520 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Relics & Memorabilia | |||
| F3 Diamond Anniversary Base Relic Cards | 1:92,659 | 0.0% | 0 |
| F2 Diamond Anniversary Base Relic Cards | 1:126,354 | 0.0% | 0 |
| F1 Diamond Anniversary Base Relic Cards | 1:138,989 | 0.0% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Chrome Formula 1 Sapphire Edition (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
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Compare pull rates across Chrome, Bowman, Finest, UFC, F1 and more — every set's official odds in one place.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Chrome Formula 1 Sapphire Edition. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
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