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2025 Topps Chrome Formula 1 Sapphire Edition Pack Odds Calculator Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds .
Product configuration
Hobby Value Box SE Value Box EA Value Box Sapphire CEE Logofractor Diamond Megabox Anniversary
How many packs are you opening?
1 6 12 24 100
What are you chasing?
Base Refractor Parallel — 1:5 Base B&W Lazer Refractor — 1:7 Base Checker Flag Parallel — 1:20 Base Pink Checker Flag Parallel — 1:31 Base Aqua Checker Flag Parallel — 1:39 Base Teal Refractor Parallel — 1:49 Base Blue Checker Flag Parallel — 1:52 Base Pink Refractor Parallel — 1:58 Base Aqua Refractor Parallel — 1:73 Base Green Checker Flag Parallel — 1:78 Base Blue Refractor Parallel — 1:97 Base F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel — 1:103 Base Green Refractor Parallel — 1:146 Base Gold Checker Flag Parallel — 1:155 Base Gold Refractor Parallel — 1:289 Base Orange Checker Flag Parallel — 1:309 Base Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:577 Base Black Checker Flag Parallel — 1:1,220 Speed Demons Aqua Refractor Parallel — 1:1,317 Base Black Refractor Parallel — 1:1,441 1975 Speed Wheels Aqua Refractor Parallel — 1:1,448 Ace of Trades Aqua Refractor Parallel — 1:1,448 Floor It Aqua Refractor Parallel — 1:1,448 Helmet Collection Aqua Refractor Parallel — 1:1,448 Base Red Checker Flag Parallel — 1:1,542 Speed Demons F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel — 1:1,713 Speed Demons Blue Refractor Parallel — 1:1,748 1975 Speed Wheels Blue Refractor Parallel — 1:1,922 Ace of Trades Blue Refractor Parallel — 1:1,922 Floor It Blue Refractor Parallel — 1:1,922 Helmet Collection Blue Refractor Parallel — 1:1,922 1975 Speed Wheels F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel — 1:2,056 Ace of Trades F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel — 1:2,056 Floor It F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel — 1:2,056 Helmet Collection F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel — 1:2,056 Circuit Masters Signatures F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel — 1:2,517 Speed Demons Green Refractor Parallel — 1:2,648 Base Red Refractor Parallel — 1:2,881 Base Card Image Variations — 1:2,881 1975 Speed Wheels Green Refractor Parallel — 1:2,911 Ace of Trades Green Refractor Parallel — 1:2,911 Floor It Green Refractor Parallel — 1:2,911 Helmet Collection Green Refractor Parallel — 1:2,911 Circuit Masters Signatures Gold Refractor Parallel — 1:3,021 Speed Demons Gold Refractor Parallel — 1:5,245 1975 Speed Wheels Gold Refractor Parallel — 1:5,768 Ace of Trades Gold Refractor Parallel — 1:5,768 Floor It Gold Refractor Parallel — 1:5,768 Helmet Collection Gold Refractor Parallel — 1:5,768 Circuit Masters Signatures Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:6,041 Speed Demons Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:10,530 1975 Speed Wheels Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:11,583 Ace of Trades Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:11,583 Floor It Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:11,583 Helmet Collection Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:11,583 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:12,082 Base Superfractor Parallel — 1:14,403 Base Printing Plates Black Base Aqua Sapphire Parallel — 1:14,403 F175 Anniversary Logo Black Refractor Parallel — 1:15,995 Speed Demons Black Refractor Parallel — 1:26,729 1975 Speed Wheels Black Refractor Parallel — 1:28,956 Ace of Trades Black Refractor Parallel — 1:28,956 Floor It Black Refractor Parallel — 1:28,956 Helmet Collection Black Refractor Parallel — 1:28,956 Circuit Masters Signatures Red Refractor Parallel — 1:30,204 F175 Anniversary Logo Red Refractor Parallel — 1:32,338 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Red Refractor Parallel — 1:43,148 Speed Demons Red Refractor Parallel — 1:54,506 1975 Speed Wheels Red Refractor Parallel — 1:59,144 Ace of Trades Red Refractor Parallel — 1:59,144 Floor It Red Refractor Parallel — 1:59,144 Helmet Collection Red Refractor Parallel — 1:59,144 Helix Superfractor Parallel — 1:74,376 Ultrasonic Superfractor Parallel — 1:106,252 The Grid Superfractor Parallel — 1:148,752 F175 Anniversary Logo Superfractor Parallel — 1:148,752 Circuit Masters Signatures Superfractor Parallel — 1:151,018 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Superfractor Parallel 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Sapphire — 1:215,739 Vegas At Night Superfractor Parallel — 1:297,504 Speed Demons Superfractor Parallel Speed Demons Yellow Sapphire Parallel — 1:347,471 1975 Speed Wheels Superfractor Parallel 1975 Speed Wheels Yellow Sapphire Parallel — 1:397,110 Ace of Trades Superfractor Parallel Ace of Trades Yellow Sapphire Parallel — 1:397,110 Floor It Superfractor Parallel — 1:397,110 Helmet Collection Superfractor Parallel Helmet Collection Yellow Sapphire Parallel — 1:397,110 The Chain Superfractor Parallel — 1:397,110 Neon Nations Superfractor Parallel — 1:463,295 Futuro Superfractor Parallel — 1:1,389,884 1975 Speed Wheels — 1:10 Ace of Trades — 1:10 F1® Chrome Diamond Drives — 1:10 Floor It — 1:10 Helmet Collection — 1:10 Speed Demons — 1:10 Futuro — 1:240 Neon Nations — 1:240 The Chain — 1:480 Helix — 1:700 Circuit Masters Signatures — 1:836 Ultrasonic — 1:1,200 Vegas At Night — 1:1,920 F175 Anniversary Logo — 1:2,066 The Grid — 1:2,400 Base Printing Plates Cyan — 1:14,403 Base Printing Plates Magenta — 1:14,403 Base Printing Plates Yellow — 1:14,403 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Padparadscha Sapphire Parallel Chrome Autographs — 1:77 Chrome Autographs — 1:77 Chrome Autographs RayWave Refractor Parallel Chrome Autographs Green Refractor Parallel — 1:364 Chrome Autographs Green Refractor Parallel — 1:364 Chrome Autographs F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel — 1:380 Chrome Autographs F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel — 1:380 Chrome Autographs Gold Refractor Parallel — 1:504 Chrome Autographs Gold Refractor Parallel — 1:504 Chrome Autographs Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:930 Chrome Autographs Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:930 Chrome Autographs Black Refractor Parallel — 1:2,289 Chrome Autographs Black Refractor Parallel — 1:2,289 Futuro Chrome Autographs — 1:4,315 Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel — 1:4,647 Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel — 1:4,647 The Grail Runner-Up Prize Autograph Card 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures — 1:4,985 The Grail The Grail Grand Prize Autograph Card — 1:5,951 Futuro Chrome Autographs Orange Refractor Parallel — 1:6,041 Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel — 1:23,234 Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel — 1:23,234 Futuro Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel — 1:30,204 Futuro Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel — 1:151,018 On-Card Chrome Autographs Red Refractor — 1:297,504 F1 Debut Patch Autographs — 1:743,760 On-Card Chrome Autographs Superfractor — 1:1,487,520 F3 Diamond Anniversary Base Relic Cards — 1:92,659 F2 Diamond Anniversary Base Relic Cards — 1:126,354 F1 Diamond Anniversary Base Relic Cards — 1:138,989 24 packs · Hobby · 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Padparadscha Sapphire Parallel Chrome Autographs
27%
chance of at least one 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Padparadscha Sapphire Parallel Chrome Autographs across 24 packs
≈ 0.31 expected base 1 in 77 ≈ 54 packs for 50%
Packs to hit 50% → 54 90% → 177 95% → 230
▶ Every parallel in Hobby 133 rows Parallel Per pack ≥1 in 24 Expected ▶ Base Parallels 87 ▶ Inserts 18 ▶ Autographs 25 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures Padparadscha Sapphire Parallel Chrome Autographs 1:77 27% 0.31 Chrome Autographs 1:77 27% 0.31 Chrome Autographs RayWave Refractor Parallel Chrome Autographs Green Refractor Parallel 1:364 6.4% 0.07 Chrome Autographs Green Refractor Parallel 1:364 6.4% 0.07 Chrome Autographs F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel 1:380 6.1% 0.06 Chrome Autographs F1 75th Anniversary Refractor Parallel 1:380 6.1% 0.06 Chrome Autographs Gold Refractor Parallel 1:504 4.7% 0.05 Chrome Autographs Gold Refractor Parallel 1:504 4.7% 0.05 Chrome Autographs Orange Refractor Parallel 1:930 2.5% 0.03 Chrome Autographs Orange Refractor Parallel 1:930 2.5% 0.03 Chrome Autographs Black Refractor Parallel 1:2,289 1.0% 0.01 Chrome Autographs Black Refractor Parallel 1:2,289 1.0% 0.01 Futuro Chrome Autographs 1:4,315 0.6% 0.01 Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel 1:4,647 0.5% 0.01 Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel 1:4,647 0.5% 0.01 The Grail Runner-Up Prize Autograph Card 1975 Speed Wheel Signatures 1:4,985 0.5% 0 The Grail The Grail Grand Prize Autograph Card 1:5,951 0.4% 0 Futuro Chrome Autographs Orange Refractor Parallel 1:6,041 0.4% 0 Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel 1:23,234 0.1% 0 Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel 1:23,234 0.1% 0 Futuro Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel 1:30,204 0.1% 0 Futuro Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel 1:151,018 0.0% 0 On-Card Chrome Autographs Red Refractor 1:297,504 0.0% 0 F1 Debut Patch Autographs 1:743,760 0.0% 0 On-Card Chrome Autographs Superfractor 1:1,487,520 0.0% 0 ▶ Relics & Memorabilia 3
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Chrome Formula 1 Sapphire Edition (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
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Compare pull rates across Chrome, Bowman, Finest, UFC, F1 and more — every set's official odds in one place.
See all Topps calculators → How the Odds Are Calculated Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card, 1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs.Expected — the average number across your packs, packs / N.Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards, ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Chrome Formula 1 Sapphire Edition. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
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