2026 Topps Graphite Tennis Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Base Refractors | 1:2 | 100% | 12 |
| Base Purple Refractors | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Base Blue Refractors | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Base Gold Refractors | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Graphite Signatures Green Refractors | 1:13 | 85% | 1.85 |
| Base Pink Refractors | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Court Masters Refractors | 1:19 | 73% | 1.26 |
| Graphite Signatures Blue Refractors | 1:19 | 73% | 1.26 |
| Base White Refractors | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| All-court Refractors | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Break Point Refractors | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Full Extension Refractors | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Match Masters Refractors | 1:31 | 54% | 0.77 |
| Court Masters Blue Refractors | 1:37 | 48% | 0.65 |
| Graphite Signatures Gold Refractors | 1:37 | 48% | 0.65 |
| All-court Blue Refractors | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Break Point Blue Refractors | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Full Extension Blue Refractors | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Match Point Marks Blue Refractors | 1:51 | 38% | 0.47 |
| Match Masters Blue Refractors | 1:62 | 32% | 0.39 |
| Graphite Signatures Pink Refractors | 1:62 | 32% | 0.39 |
| Signature Serves Blue Refractors | 1:66 | 31% | 0.36 |
| Court Masters Gold Refractors | 1:74 | 28% | 0.32 |
| Grand Slam Debut Signatures Blue Refractors | 1:84 | 25% | 0.29 |
| All-court Gold Refractors | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Break Point Gold Refractors | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Full Extension Gold Refractors | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Graphite Signatures White Refractors | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Match Point Marks Gold Refractors | 1:102 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Match Masters Gold Refractors | 1:123 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Signature Serves Gold Refractors | 1:131 | 17% | 0.18 |
| Match Point Marks Green Refractors | 1:153 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Grand Slam Debut Signatures Gold Refractors | 1:167 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Match Point Marks Pink Refractors | 1:170 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Court Masters White Refractors | 1:184 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Signature Serves Pink Refractors | 1:219 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:229 | 10.0% | 0.10 |
| All-court White Refractors | 1:229 | 10.0% | 0.10 |
| Break Point White Refractors | 1:229 | 10.0% | 0.10 |
| Full Extension White Refractors | 1:229 | 10.0% | 0.10 |
| Match Point Marks White Refractors | 1:255 | 9.0% | 0.09 |
| Grand Slam Debut Signatures Pink Refractors | 1:278 | 8.3% | 0.09 |
| Match Masters White Refractors | 1:306 | 7.6% | 0.08 |
| Signature Serves Green Refractors | 1:306 | 7.6% | 0.08 |
| Signature Serves White Refractors | 1:328 | 7.1% | 0.07 |
| Grand Slam Debut Signatures White Refractors | 1:417 | 5.6% | 0.06 |
| Graphite Signatures Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:916 | 2.6% | 0.03 |
| Court Masters Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:1,832 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| All-court Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:2,290 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Break Point Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:2,290 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Full Extension Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:2,290 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Match Point Marks Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:2,544 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Match Masters Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:3,053 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Signature Serves Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:3,271 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Grand Slam Debut Signatures Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:4,163 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Inserts | |||
| Graphite Signatures | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Court Masters | 1:8 | 96% | 3 |
| All-court | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Break Point | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Full Extension | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Match Masters | 1:13 | 85% | 1.85 |
| Match Point Marks | 1:27 | 60% | 0.89 |
| Signature Serves | 1:48 | 40% | 0.50 |
| Intricate Images | 1:77 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Confetti | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Miяro Red | 1:123 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Grand Slam Debut Signatures | 1:318 | 7.3% | 0.08 |
| Autographs | |||
| Tour Relic Autographs | 1:7 | 98% | 3.43 |
| Tour Relic Autographs Blue Refractors | 1:25 | 62% | 0.96 |
| Tour Relic Autographs Green Refractors | 1:33 | 52% | 0.73 |
| Tour Relic Autographs Gold Refractors | 1:49 | 39% | 0.49 |
| Tour Relic Autographs Pink Refractors | 1:81 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Tour Relic Autographs White Refractors | 1:121 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Tour Relic Autographs Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:1,206 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Relics & Memorabilia | |||
| Graphite Signature Relics | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Graphite Relics | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Ace Relics | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Rally Relics | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Graphite Relics Green Refractors | 1:13 | 85% | 1.85 |
| Graphite Signature Relics Blue Refractors | 1:17 | 77% | 1.41 |
| Graphite Relics Blue Refractors | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Graphite Signature Relics Green Refractors | 1:22 | 67% | 1.09 |
| Ace Relics Green Refractors | 1:27 | 60% | 0.89 |
| Rally Relics Green Refractors | 1:27 | 60% | 0.89 |
| Graphite Signature Relics Gold Refractors | 1:34 | 51% | 0.71 |
| Graphite Relics Gold Refractors | 1:39 | 46% | 0.62 |
| Ace Relics Blue Refractors | 1:40 | 46% | 0.60 |
| Rally Relics Blue Refractors | 1:40 | 46% | 0.60 |
| Graphite Signature Relics Pink Refractors | 1:56 | 35% | 0.43 |
| Graphite Relics Pink Refractors | 1:65 | 31% | 0.37 |
| Ace Relics Gold Refractors | 1:80 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Rally Relics Gold Refractors | 1:80 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Graphite Signature Relics White Refractors | 1:84 | 25% | 0.29 |
| Graphite Relics White Refractors | 1:98 | 22% | 0.24 |
| Ace Relics Pink Refractors | 1:133 | 17% | 0.18 |
| Rally Relics Pink Refractors | 1:133 | 17% | 0.18 |
| Ace Relics White Refractors | 1:200 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Rally Relics White Refractors | 1:200 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Graphite Signature Relics Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:833 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Graphite Relics Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:975 | 2.4% | 0.02 |
| Ace Relics Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:1,991 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Rally Relics Red Crystalline Refractors | 1:1,991 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2026 Topps Graphite Tennis (Standard). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2026 Topps Graphite Tennis. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
