Harga kartu diambil dari data pasar PriceCharting (USD). Nilai IDR menggunakan kurs pertukaran langsung. Harga mencerminkan tingkat pasar sekunder saat ini dan akan berubah seiring set ini menua.
Jawaban Singkat
Membuka Ascended Heroes menguntungkan secara rata-rata di harga retail — tetapi tidak menguntungkan di harga pasar sekunder. Expected value per kartu adalah USD $10.9 versus harga retail pack sekitar Rp Rp 101,741:
| Produk | Harga Retail (IDR) | Harga Pasar (IDR) | Expected Value Kartu | Return di Retail | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | Rp Rp 101,741 | Rp Rp 392,686 | Rp Rp 196,976 | 1.97× | +EV di retail. −EV di pasar. |
| Booster Bundle (6 pack) | Rp Rp 610,443 | Rp Rp 1.6jt | Rp Rp 1.2jt | 1.97× | +EV di retail. −EV di pasar. |
| Booster Box (36 pack) | Rp Rp 3.7jt | Rp Rp 14.1jt | Rp Rp 7.1jt | 1.97× | +EV di retail. −EV di pasar. |
Harga Kartu per Rarity
Mega Hyper Rares (◇) — #294–295
Dua kartu. Cetakan paling langka dalam set ini. Pull rate diperkirakan sekitar 1 dalam 200 pack.
| # | Kartu | Harga (USD) | Harga (IDR) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 294 | Mega Charizard Y ex | $608.01 | Rp Rp 11.0jt |
| 295 | Mega Dragonite ex | $310.12 | Rp Rp 5.6jt |
Special Illustration Rares (★★ SIR) — #275–293
19 kartu. Tier chase utama. Pull rate sekitar 1 dalam 110 pack. Range harga ekstrem — dari Rp Rp 531,292 hingga Rp Rp 25.3jt.
| # | Kartu | Harga (USD) | Harga (IDR) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 284 | Mega Gengar ex | $1,293.19 | Rp Rp 23.4jt |
| 276 | Pikachu ex | $1,178.86 | Rp Rp 21.3jt |
| 290 | Mega Dragonite ex | $849.54 | Rp Rp 15.4jt |
| 281 | Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex | $458.84 | Rp Rp 8.3jt |
| 277 | Pikachu ex | $435.93 | Rp Rp 7.9jt |
| 280 | Lillie's Clefairy ex | $197.16 | Rp Rp 3.6jt |
| 286 | N's Zoroark ex | $182.50 | Rp Rp 3.3jt |
| 289 | Steven's Metagross ex | $99.99 | Rp Rp 1.8jt |
| 275 | Mega Froslass ex | $88.81 | Rp Rp 1.6jt |
| 287 | Marnie's Grimmsnarl ex | $79.25 | Rp Rp 1.4jt |
| 285 | Mega Scrafty ex | $70.25 | Rp Rp 1.3jt |
| 288 | Fezandipiti ex | $69.26 | Rp Rp 1.3jt |
| 279 | Iono's Bellibolt ex | $66.58 | Rp Rp 1.2jt |
| 283 | Mega Hawlucha ex | $66.43 | Rp Rp 1.2jt |
| 282 | Mega Diancie ex | $64.15 | Rp Rp 1.2jt |
| 291 | Canari | $44.00 | Rp Rp 795,131 |
| 278 | Mega Eelektross ex | $38.95 | Rp Rp 703,871 |
| 292 | Iris's Fighting Spirit | $37.13 | Rp Rp 670,982 |
| 293 | Surfer | $29.99 | Rp Rp 541,954 |
Rata-rata pool: Rp Rp 5.1jt. Median pool: Rp Rp 1.4jt.
Mega Attack Rares (☆★) — #265–274
| # | Kartu | Harga (USD) | Harga (IDR) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 274 | Mega Feraligatr ex | $170.00 | Rp Rp 3.1jt |
| 272 | Mega Meganium ex | $92.07 | Rp Rp 1.7jt |
| 269 | Mega Gengar ex | $75.00 | Rp Rp 1.4jt |
| 273 | Mega Emboar ex | $66.49 | Rp Rp 1.2jt |
| 271 | Mega Dragonite ex | $58.00 | Rp Rp 1.0jt |
| 265 | Mega Froslass ex | $15.14 | Rp Rp 273,597 |
| 267 | Mega Diancie ex | $9.99 | Rp Rp 180,531 |
| 268 | Mega Hawlucha ex | $9.00 | Rp Rp 162,640 |
| 270 | Mega Scrafty ex | $6.74 | Rp Rp 121,800 |
| 266 | Mega Eelektross ex | $6.24 | Rp Rp 112,764 |
Illustration Rares (★ IR) — #218–250
| # | Kartu | Harga (USD) | Harga (IDR) | Catatan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 | Psyduck | $98.65 | Rp Rp 1.8jt | Chase IR — high demand |
| 238 | Team Rocket's Mimikyu | $29.07 | Rp Rp 525,328 | |
| 218 | Erika's Tangela | $27.00 | Rp Rp 487,921 | |
| 232 | Marill | $15.50 | Rp Rp 280,103 | |
| 239 | Team Rocket's Dugtrio | $14.99 | Rp Rp 270,887 | |
| 244 | Cynthia's Spiritomb | $14.00 | Rp Rp 252,996 | |
| 234 | Banette | $12.73 | Rp Rp 230,046 | |
| 225 | Scorbunny | $10.88 | Rp Rp 196,614 | |
| 231 | Iono's Wattrel | $10.64 | Rp Rp 192,277 | |
| 221 | Budew | $10.25 | Rp Rp 185,229 | |
| 240 | Hitmontop | $9.56 | Rp Rp 172,760 | |
| 247 | Dreepy | $9.50 | Rp Rp 171,676 | |
| 236 | Slurpuff | $9.40 | Rp Rp 169,869 | |
| 248 | Drakloak | $9.26 | Rp Rp 167,339 | |
| 222 | Ethan's Magcargo | $8.60 | Rp Rp 155,412 | |
| 228 | Weavile | $8.32 | Rp Rp 150,352 | |
| 219 | Beautifly | $8.00 | Rp Rp 144,569 | |
| 246 | Mawile | $7.88 | Rp Rp 142,401 | |
| 243 | Mightyena | $7.61 | Rp Rp 137,521 | |
| 235 | Togekiss | $7.50 | Rp Rp 135,534 | |
| 233 | Misdreavus | $6.84 | Rp Rp 123,607 | |
| 227 | Snorunt | $6.44 | Rp Rp 116,378 | |
| 223 | Numel | $6.42 | Rp Rp 116,017 | |
| 241 | Medicham | $5.92 | Rp Rp 106,981 | |
| 237 | Hop's Trevenant | $5.83 | Rp Rp 105,355 | |
| 242 | Carbink | $5.55 | Rp Rp 100,295 | |
| 249 | Larry's Staraptor | $5.31 | Rp Rp 95,958 | |
| 250 | Fan Rotom | $5.00 | Rp Rp 90,356 | |
| 220 | Dustox | $4.51 | Rp Rp 81,501 | |
| 245 | Galarian Obstagoon | $4.41 | Rp Rp 79,694 | |
| 224 | Salazzle | $4.00 | Rp Rp 72,285 | |
| 230 | Vikavolt | $3.50 | Rp Rp 63,249 | |
| 229 | Heliolisk | $3.00 | Rp Rp 54,213 |
Ultra Rares (★★) — #251–264
| # | Kartu | Harga (USD) | Harga (IDR) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 256 | Boss's Orders: Corbeau | $9.21 | Rp Rp 166,435 |
| 264 | Ultra Ball | $7.00 | Rp Rp 126,498 |
| 257 | Canari | $4.99 | Rp Rp 90,175 |
| 262 | N's PP Up | $4.09 | Rp Rp 73,911 |
| 251 | Sprigatito ex | $3.79 | Rp Rp 68,490 |
| 253 | Mega Audino ex | $2.98 | Rp Rp 53,852 |
| 254 | Anthea & Concordia | $2.54 | Rp Rp 45,901 |
| 263 | Team Rocket's Transceiver | $2.46 | Rp Rp 44,455 |
| 255 | Black Belt's Training | $1.99 | Rp Rp 35,962 |
| 258 | Cheren | $1.99 | Rp Rp 35,962 |
| 261 | Jamming Tower | $1.94 | Rp Rp 35,058 |
| 260 | Glass Trumpet | $1.74 | Rp Rp 31,444 |
| 252 | Stunfisk ex | $1.52 | Rp Rp 27,468 |
| 259 | Counter Gain | $1.12 | Rp Rp 20,240 |
Double Rares (★★ ex) — #001–179
39 kartu ex dan Mega ex. Diperkirakan sekitar satu setiap 5 pack (21%). Rata-rata pool: Rp Rp 42,467.
Chase Cards: Top 15 Berdasarkan Nilai
Expected Value per Pack
| Komponen | Pull Rate | Rata-rata Pool (USD) | Kontribusi EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulk (commons + uncommons) | 100% | $0.80 | $0.80 |
| Reverse Holo slot | 100% | $1.80 | $1.80 |
| Standard Rare (★) | 58.6% | $0.75 | $0.44 |
| Double Rare (★★ ex) | 21.0% | $2.35 | $0.49 |
| Illustration Rare (★ IR) | 11.0% | $12.00 | $1.32 |
| Ultra Rare (#251–264) | 6.0% | $3.38 | $0.20 |
| Mega Attack Rare (#265–274) | 2.0% | $50.87 | $1.02 |
| SIR (#275–293) | 0.9% | $281.62 | $2.53 |
| Mega Hyper Rare (#294–295) | 0.5% | $459.06 | $2.30 |
Monte Carlo: Peluang Menang vs Kalah
Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. ··· represents an empty gap in outcomes. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), June 2026.
| Skenario | Biaya (USD) | Menang % | Kalah % | Median P/L | P5 | P95 | Avg Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pack — retail (~$5.63) | $5.63 | 16.3% | 83.7% | −$2 | −$2 | +$8 | 1.92× |
| Bundle — retail (~$33.78) | $33.78 | 33.8% | 66.2% | −$5 | −$12 | +$178 | 1.95× |
| Box — retail (~$202.68) | $202.68 | 65.8% | 34.2% | +$49 | −$48 | +$919 | 1.93× |
| Pack — market (~$21.73) | $21.73 | 3.4% | 96.6% | −$18 | −$18 | −$8 | 0.50× |
| Bundle — market (~$86.89) | $86.89 | 13.2% | 86.8% | −$58 | −$66 | +$119 | 0.75× |
| Box — market (~$782.28) | $782.28 | 12.2% | 87.8% | −$530 | −$628 | +$352 | 0.50× |
Harga Break-Even
Yang Sebaiknya Anda Lakukan
Jika Anda ingin kartu tertentu
Beli single. Gunakan perbandingan harga tcgTalk. Untuk kartu bernilai lebih dari ~Rp Rp 542,135 USD, membeli single hampir pasti lebih murah daripada membuka pack.
Jika Anda ingin membuka pack
Beli di harga retail Indonesia melalui Tokopedia / Shopee ID / toko kartu lokal. Satu pack di retail menang 19% dari waktu. Satu kotak penuh di retail menang 66% dari waktu dengan median profit +$55 USD (≈ Rp Rp 993,913).
Jika Anda membeli sealed untuk investasi
Produk sealed di harga retail Indonesia adalah positif-EV berdasarkan harga kartu saat ini. Risikonya harga kartu mungkin turun sebelum Anda menjual. Kotak booster memberikan pack terbanyak per rupiah.
Beli Ascended Heroes di TCGPlayer
Pertanyaan Umum
Apakah worth it membuka pack Ascended Heroes di Indonesia?
Di harga retail (~Rp Rp 101,741/pack), expected value per pack adalah Rp Rp 196,976 — membuat pembukaan retail menguntungkan rata-rata (~2× return). Di harga pasar, expected value jatuh di bawah biaya.
Berapa SIR dalam Ascended Heroes?
19 Special Illustration Rares (#275–293) ditambah 2 Mega Hyper Rares (#294–295), total 21 kartu premium rarity.
Disclaimer: Semua harga kartu dari data pasar PriceCharting (USD) per Mei 2026. Nilai IDR menggunakan kurs pertukaran langsung. Pull rate adalah estimasi komunitas. Monte Carlo menggunakan 100.000 simulasi. Ini bukan saran keuangan.