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Pokemon▲ +0.04%Yugioh▲ +0.09%Magic▲ +0.03%One Piece▼ -0.03%Top Gainer · Moltres [1999-2000] #27▲ +2038.1%Top Loser · Booster Pack▼ -97.3%Biggest Rise · Booster Box▲ +S$4,319Biggest Drop · Booster Box▼ −S$7,798SG Avg Price Diff+66%Avg Arbitrage Savings4.1%Market Efficiency79.7%Pokemon▲ +0.04%Yugioh▲ +0.09%Magic▲ +0.03%One Piece▼ -0.03%Top Gainer · Moltres [1999-2000] #27▲ +2038.1%Top Loser · Booster Pack▼ -97.3%Biggest Rise · Booster Box▲ +S$4,319Biggest Drop · Booster Box▼ −S$7,798SG Avg Price Diff+66%Avg Arbitrage Savings4.1%Market Efficiency79.7%
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GuidesSet GuidesWorth Opening

Ascended Heroes Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?

Every card price, every rarity tier, and a Monte Carlo simulation across 100,000 openings — in Philippine Pesos. Know exactly what you're buying before you open.

Ascended Heroes Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?
EV per Pack (USD)
$10.9
₱672 PHP
Break-even Pack
₱672
~$10.9 USD
Break-even Bundle
₱4,033
~$65.42 USD · 6 packs
Break-even Box
₱24,199
~$392.52 USD · 36 packs
Win Rate · Pack
16.3%
347
Loss: 83.7%
Win Rate · Bundle
33.8%
2,083
Loss: 66.2%
Win Rate · Box
65.8%
12,495
Loss: 34.2%
Win Rate · Pack
3.4%
1,340
Loss: 96.6%
Win Rate · Bundle
13.2%
5,357
Loss: 86.8%
Win Rate · Box
12.2%
48,228
Loss: 87.8%

Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP equivalents use a live exchange rate. Prices reflect current secondary market rates and will change as the set ages.


The Short Answer

Opening Ascended Heroes is profitable on average at retail prices — but unprofitable at secondary market prices. Expected card value per pack is USD $10.9 against a retail pack price of approximately 347:

ProductRetail Price (PHP)Market Price (PHP)Expected Card ValueReturn at RetailVerdict
Booster Pack3471,3406721.97×+EV at retail. −EV at market.
Booster Bundle (6 packs)2,0835,3574,0331.97×+EV at retail. −EV at market.
Booster Box (36 packs)12,49548,22824,1991.97×+EV at retail. −EV at market.

Card Prices by Rarity

Mega Hyper Rares (◇) — #294–295

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
294Mega Charizard Y ex$608.0137,484
295Mega Dragonite ex$310.1219,119

Special Illustration Rares (SIR) — #275–293

19 cards. The main chase tier. Pull rate ~1 in 110 packs. Price range: 1,813 to 86,310.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
284Mega Gengar ex$1,293.1979,725
276Pikachu ex$1,178.8672,677
290Mega Dragonite ex$849.5452,374
281Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex$458.8428,287
277Pikachu ex$435.9326,875
280Lillie's Clefairy ex$197.1612,155
286N's Zoroark ex$182.5011,251
289Steven's Metagross ex$99.996,164
275Mega Froslass ex$88.815,475
287Marnie's Grimmsnarl ex$79.254,886
285Mega Scrafty ex$70.254,331
288Fezandipiti ex$69.264,270
279Iono's Bellibolt ex$66.584,105
283Mega Hawlucha ex$66.434,095
282Mega Diancie ex$64.153,955
291Canari$44.002,713
278Mega Eelektross ex$38.952,401
292Iris's Fighting Spirit$37.132,289
293Surfer$29.991,849

Pool average: 17,362 · Pool median: 4,886

Mega Attack Rares (MAR) — #265–274

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
274Mega Feraligatr ex$170.0010,481
272Mega Meganium ex$92.075,676
269Mega Gengar ex$75.004,624
273Mega Emboar ex$66.494,099
271Mega Dragonite ex$58.003,576
265Mega Froslass ex$15.14933
267Mega Diancie ex$9.99616
268Mega Hawlucha ex$9.00555
270Mega Scrafty ex$6.74416
266Mega Eelektross ex$6.24385

Illustration Rares (IR) — #218–250

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)Notes
226Psyduck$98.656,082Chase IR — high demand
238Team Rocket's Mimikyu$29.071,792
218Erika's Tangela$27.001,665
232Marill$15.50956
239Team Rocket's Dugtrio$14.99924
244Cynthia's Spiritomb$14.00863
234Banette$12.73785
225Scorbunny$10.88671
231Iono's Wattrel$10.64656
221Budew$10.25632
240Hitmontop$9.56589
247Dreepy$9.50586
236Slurpuff$9.40580
248Drakloak$9.26571
222Ethan's Magcargo$8.60530
228Weavile$8.32513
219Beautifly$8.00493
246Mawile$7.88486
243Mightyena$7.61469
235Togekiss$7.50462
233Misdreavus$6.84422
227Snorunt$6.44397
223Numel$6.42396
241Medicham$5.92365
237Hop's Trevenant$5.83359
242Carbink$5.55342
249Larry's Staraptor$5.31327
250Fan Rotom$5.00308
220Dustox$4.51278
245Galarian Obstagoon$4.41272
224Salazzle$4.00247
230Vikavolt$3.50216
229Heliolisk$3.00185

Ultra Rares — #251–264

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
256Boss's Orders: Corbeau$9.21568
264Ultra Ball$7.00432
257Canari$4.99308
262N's PP Up$4.09252
251Sprigatito ex$3.79234
253Mega Audino ex$2.98184
254Anthea & Concordia$2.54157
263Team Rocket's Transceiver$2.46152
255Black Belt's Training$1.99123
258Cheren$1.99123
261Jamming Tower$1.94120
260Glass Trumpet$1.74107
252Stunfisk ex$1.5294
259Counter Gain$1.1269

Double Rares — #001–179

Pool average: 145


Chase Cards: Top 15 by Value

#284 · SIR
Mega Gengar ex
79,725
$1,293 USD
#276 · SIR
Pikachu ex
72,677
$1,179 USD
#290 · SIR
Mega Dragonite ex
52,374
$850 USD
#294 · Hyper
Mega Charizard Y
37,484
$608 USD
#281 · SIR
TR's Mewtwo ex
28,287
$459 USD
#277 · SIR
Pikachu ex
26,875
$436 USD
#295 · Hyper
Mega Dragonite ex
19,119
$310 USD
#280 · SIR
Lillie's Clefairy ex
12,155
$197 USD
#286 · SIR
N's Zoroark ex
11,251
$183 USD
#274 · MAR
Mega Feraligatr ex
10,481
$170 USD
#289 · SIR
Steven's Metagross ex
6,164
$100 USD
#226 · IR
Psyduck
6,082
$99 USD
#272 · MAR
Mega Meganium ex
5,676
$92 USD
#275 · SIR
Mega Froslass ex
5,475
$89 USD
#287 · SIR
Marnie's Grimmsnarl ex
4,886
$79 USD

Expected Value Per Pack

ComponentPull RatePool Avg (USD)EV Contribution
Bulk (commons + uncommons)100%$0.80$0.80
Reverse Holo slot100%$1.80$1.80
Standard Rare (★)58.6%$0.75$0.44
Double Rare (★★ ex)21.0%$2.35$0.49
Illustration Rare (★ IR)11.0%$12.00$1.32
Ultra Rare (#251–264)6.0%$3.38$0.20
Mega Attack Rare (#265–274)2.0%$50.87$1.02
SIR (#275–293)0.9%$281.62$2.53
Mega Hyper Rare (#294–295)0.5%$459.06$2.30
Total EV per pack
$10.9 USD 672 PHP

Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds

Loss rate
87.8%
of 100,000 simulated openings
Win rate
12.2%
at $782 market price
P5 (bad luck)
-628
Median P/L
-530
P95 (good luck)
+352
Win threshold
$0
← LossProfit / Loss DistributionWin →

Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. ··· represents an empty gap in outcomes. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), June 2026.

ScenarioCost (USD)Win %Loss %Median P/LP5P95Avg Return
Pack — retail (~$5.63)$5.6316.3%83.7%−$2−$2+$81.92×
Bundle — retail (~$33.78)$33.7833.8%66.2%−$5−$12+$1781.95×
Box — retail (~$202.68)$202.6865.8%34.2%+$49−$48+$9191.93×
Pack — market (~$21.73)$21.733.4%96.6%−$18−$18−$80.50×
Bundle — market (~$86.89)$86.8913.2%86.8%−$58−$66+$1190.75×
Box — market (~$782.28)$782.2812.2%87.8%−$530−$628+$3520.50×

The Break-Even Price

Break-even pack
672
≈ $10.9 USD · retail: 347
Break-even bundle
4,033
≈ $65.42 USD · retail: 2,083
Break-even box
24,199
≈ $392.52 USD · retail: 12,495

What You Should Actually Do

If you want a specific card

Buy the single. Use tcgTalk price comparison. For any card worth more than ~1,850 USD, buying the single is almost always cheaper than opening packs.

If you want to open packs

Buy at Philippine retail prices via Shopee PH / Lazada / local card shops in Metro Manila. A single pack at retail wins 19% of the time. A full box at retail wins 66% of the time with a median profit of +$55 USD (≈ 3,391).

If you already have cards to sell

SIR prices are front-loaded — demand is highest in the weeks after release. If you pulled an SIR with strong current prices, selling within the next 2–4 months is likely to yield better prices than holding long-term.

Buy Ascended Heroes on TCGPlayer

tcgTalk Price Comparison
Find Ascended Heroes Cards at the Best PHP Price
Compare prices for every SIR, IR, and Mega Attack Rare — market data updated daily.
Compare Prices →

Frequently Asked Questions

Is it worth opening Ascended Heroes packs in the Philippines?

At retail prices (~347/pack), expected value per pack is 672 — profitable on average at retail (~2× return). At market prices, returns fall below cost.

How many SIRs are in Ascended Heroes?

19 Special Illustration Rares (#275–293) plus 2 Mega Hyper Rares (#294–295), for 21 premium rarity cards total.

What is the cheapest SIR in Ascended Heroes?

Surfer (#293) at USD $29.40 (1,813) is currently the lowest-value SIR in the set.

Disclaimer: All card prices from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of May 2026. PHP equivalents use a live exchange rate. Pull rates are community estimates. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulated openings. This is not financial advice.

tcgTalk Price Comparison
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See what these cards are selling for right now — Singapore market data across Carousell, Facebook, and SNKRDUNK.
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