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Pokemon▲ +0.16%Yugioh▲ +0.11%Magic▼ -0.09%One Piece▼ -0.02%Top Gainer · Rowlet #1▲ +99899.0%Top Loser · Booster Box▼ -97.3%Biggest Rise · Booster Box▲ +S$33,239Biggest Drop · Special Box [Poncho Pikachu Mega Charizard Y]▼ −S$11,580SG Avg Price Diff+65.3%Avg Arbitrage Savings4.2%Market Efficiency79.1%Pokemon▲ +0.16%Yugioh▲ +0.11%Magic▼ -0.09%One Piece▼ -0.02%Top Gainer · Rowlet #1▲ +99899.0%Top Loser · Booster Box▼ -97.3%Biggest Rise · Booster Box▲ +S$33,239Biggest Drop · Special Box [Poncho Pikachu Mega Charizard Y]▼ −S$11,580SG Avg Price Diff+65.3%Avg Arbitrage Savings4.2%Market Efficiency79.1%
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GuidesSet GuidesWorth Opening

Ascended Heroes Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?

Every card price, every rarity tier, and a Monte Carlo simulation across 100,000 openings — in Philippine Pesos. Know exactly what you're buying before you open.

Ascended Heroes Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?
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EV per Pack (USD)
$9.88
₱609 PHP
Break-even Pack
₱609
~$9.88 USD
Break-even Bundle
₱3,656
~$59.28 USD · 6 packs
Break-even Box
₱21,933
~$355.65 USD · 36 packs
Win Rate · Pack
16.3%
347
Loss: 83.7%
Win Rate · Bundle
29.2%
2,083
Loss: 70.8%
Win Rate · Box
61.6%
12,499
Loss: 38.4%
Win Rate · Pack
3.4%
1,022
Loss: 96.6%
Win Rate · Bundle
12.7%
4,926
Loss: 87.3%
Win Rate · Box
15.4%
36,810
Loss: 84.6%

Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP equivalents use a live exchange rate. Prices reflect current secondary market rates and will change as the set ages.


The Short Answer

Opening Ascended Heroes is profitable on average at retail prices — but unprofitable at secondary market prices. Expected card value per pack is USD $9.88 against a retail pack price of approximately 347:

ProductRetail Price (PHP)Market Price (PHP)Expected Card ValueReturn at RetailVerdict
Booster Pack3471,0226091.97×+EV at retail. −EV at market.
Booster Bundle (6 packs)2,0834,9263,6561.97×+EV at retail. −EV at market.
Booster Box (36 packs)12,49936,81021,9331.97×+EV at retail. −EV at market.

Card Prices by Rarity

Mega Hyper Rares (◇) — #294–295

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
294Mega Charizard Y ex$479.3729,563
295Mega Dragonite ex$261.3116,115

Special Illustration Rares (SIR) — #275–293

19 cards. The main chase tier. Pull rate ~1 in 110 packs. Price range: 1,503 to 77,009.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
284Mega Gengar ex$1,248.7377,009
276Pikachu ex$1,144.1870,562
290Mega Dragonite ex$759.1246,815
277Pikachu ex$390.0024,051
281Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex$376.2223,201
280Lillie's Clefairy ex$177.1810,927
286N's Zoroark ex$155.869,612
289Steven's Metagross ex$90.565,585
275Mega Froslass ex$69.314,274
287Marnie's Grimmsnarl ex$67.014,133
285Mega Scrafty ex$65.594,045
279Iono's Bellibolt ex$60.423,726
288Fezandipiti ex$59.633,677
283Mega Hawlucha ex$59.583,674
282Mega Diancie ex$51.173,156
278Mega Eelektross ex$39.002,405
291Canari$38.752,390
292Iris's Fighting Spirit$28.171,737
293Surfer$24.371,503

Pool average: 15,920 · Pool median: 4,133

Mega Attack Rares (MAR) — #265–274

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
274Mega Feraligatr ex$149.079,193
272Mega Meganium ex$87.995,426
269Mega Gengar ex$64.003,947
273Mega Emboar ex$58.463,605
271Mega Dragonite ex$43.002,652
265Mega Froslass ex$11.90734
267Mega Diancie ex$8.78541
268Mega Hawlucha ex$6.06374
266Mega Eelektross ex$5.48338
270Mega Scrafty ex$5.35330

Illustration Rares (IR) — #218–250

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)Notes
226Psyduck$79.724,916Chase IR — high demand
218Erika's Tangela$24.481,510
238Team Rocket's Mimikyu$23.501,449
232Marill$13.50833
244Cynthia's Spiritomb$12.35762
239Team Rocket's Dugtrio$12.18751
225Scorbunny$11.32698
234Banette$9.52587
231Iono's Wattrel$8.80543
236Slurpuff$8.56528
247Dreepy$8.43520
243Mightyena$8.05496
240Hitmontop$7.90487
222Ethan's Magcargo$7.49462
219Beautifly$7.00432
221Budew$6.85422
248Drakloak$6.75416
235Togekiss$6.75416
228Weavile$6.45398
233Misdreavus$6.24385
241Medicham$6.21383
246Mawile$5.75355
223Numel$5.74354
227Snorunt$5.61346
242Carbink$5.52340
237Hop's Trevenant$5.06312
249Larry's Staraptor$5.00308
220Dustox$4.29265
245Galarian Obstagoon$4.12254
250Fan Rotom$3.73230
224Salazzle$3.66226
230Vikavolt$3.49215
229Heliolisk$2.94181

Ultra Rares — #251–264

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
256Boss's Orders: Corbeau$6.71414
264Ultra Ball$6.37393
257Canari$3.99246
262N's PP Up$3.73230
251Sprigatito ex$3.60222
253Mega Audino ex$2.99184
254Anthea & Concordia$2.65163
263Team Rocket's Transceiver$2.00123
255Black Belt's Training$1.5797
258Cheren$1.2778
261Jamming Tower$1.2376
252Stunfisk ex$1.0464
260Glass Trumpet$1.0062
259Counter Gain$0.9961

Double Rares — #001–179

Pool average: 145


Chase Cards: Top 15 by Value

#284 · SIR
Mega Gengar ex
77,009
$1,249 USD
#276 · SIR
Pikachu ex
70,562
$1,144 USD
#290 · SIR
Mega Dragonite ex
46,815
$759 USD
#294 · Hyper
Mega Charizard Y
29,563
$479 USD
#277 · SIR
Pikachu ex
24,051
$390 USD
#281 · SIR
TR's Mewtwo ex
23,201
$376 USD
#295 · Hyper
Mega Dragonite ex
16,115
$261 USD
#280 · SIR
Lillie's Clefairy ex
10,927
$177 USD
#286 · SIR
N's Zoroark ex
9,612
$156 USD
#274 · MAR
Mega Feraligatr ex
9,193
$149 USD
#289 · SIR
Steven's Metagross ex
5,585
$91 USD
#272 · MAR
Mega Meganium ex
5,426
$88 USD
#226 · IR
Psyduck
4,916
$80 USD
#275 · SIR
Mega Froslass ex
4,274
$69 USD
#287 · SIR
Marnie's Grimmsnarl ex
4,133
$67 USD

Expected Value Per Pack

ComponentPull RatePool Avg (USD)EV Contribution
Bulk (commons + uncommons)100%$0.80$0.80
Reverse Holo slot100%$1.80$1.80
Standard Rare (★)58.6%$0.75$0.44
Double Rare (★★ ex)21.0%$2.35$0.49
Illustration Rare (★ IR)11.0%$10.21$1.12
Ultra Rare (#251–264)6.0%$2.80$0.17
Mega Attack Rare (#265–274)2.0%$44.01$0.88
SIR (#275–293)0.9%$258.15$2.32
Mega Hyper Rare (#294–295)0.5%$370.34$1.85
Total EV per pack
$9.88 USD 609 PHP

Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds

Loss rate
84.6%
of 100,000 simulated openings
Win rate
15.4%
at $597 market price
P5 (bad luck)
-446
Median P/L
-363
P95 (good luck)
+396
Win threshold
$0
← LossProfit / Loss DistributionWin →

Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. ··· represents an empty gap in outcomes. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), August 2026.

ScenarioCost (USD)Win %Loss %Median P/LP5P95Avg Return
Pack — retail (~$5.63)$5.6316.3%83.7%−$2−$2+$61.73×
Bundle — retail (~$33.78)$33.7829.2%70.8%−$6−$13+$1511.77×
Box — retail (~$202.68)$202.6861.6%38.4%+$31−$52+$7791.75×
Pack — market (~$16.58)$16.583.4%96.6%−$13−$13−$40.59×
Bundle — market (~$79.88)$79.8812.7%87.3%−$52−$59+$1010.74×
Box — market (~$596.88)$596.8815.4%84.6%−$363−$446+$3960.60×

The Break-Even Price

Break-even pack
609
≈ $9.88 USD · retail: 347
Break-even bundle
3,656
≈ $59.28 USD · retail: 2,083
Break-even box
21,933
≈ $355.65 USD · retail: 12,499

What You Should Actually Do

If you want a specific card

Buy the single. Use tcgTalk price comparison. For any card worth more than ~1,850 USD, buying the single is almost always cheaper than opening packs.

If you want to open packs

Buy at Philippine retail prices via Shopee PH / Lazada / local card shops in Metro Manila. A single pack at retail wins 16% of the time. A full box at retail wins 62% of the time with a median profit of +$31 USD (≈ 1,912).

If you already have cards to sell

SIR prices are front-loaded — demand is highest in the weeks after release. If you pulled an SIR with strong current prices, selling within the next 2–4 months is likely to yield better prices than holding long-term.

Buy Ascended Heroes on TCGPlayer

tcgTalk Price Comparison
Find Ascended Heroes Cards at the Best PHP Price
Compare prices for every SIR, IR, and Mega Attack Rare — market data updated daily.
Compare Prices →

Frequently Asked Questions

Is it worth opening Ascended Heroes packs in the Philippines?

At retail prices (~347/pack), expected value per pack is 609 — profitable on average at retail (~2× return). At market prices, returns fall below cost.

How many SIRs are in Ascended Heroes?

19 Special Illustration Rares (#275–293) plus 2 Mega Hyper Rares (#294–295), for 21 premium rarity cards total.

What is the cheapest SIR in Ascended Heroes?

Surfer (#293) at USD $29.40 (1,503) is currently the lowest-value SIR in the set.

Disclaimer: All card prices from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of August 2026. PHP equivalents use a live exchange rate. Pull rates are community estimates. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulated openings. This is not financial advice.

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