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GuidesSet GuidesWorth Opening

Ascended Heroes Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?

Every card price, every rarity tier, and a Monte Carlo simulation across 100,000 openings — in Philippine Pesos. Know exactly what you're buying before you open.

💰
EV per Pack (USD)
$11.1
₱683 PHP
Break-even Pack
₱683
~$11.1 USD
Break-even Bundle
₱4,101
~$66.6 USD · 6 packs
Break-even Box
₱24,603
~$399.6 USD · 36 packs
Win Rate · Pack
19%
347
Loss: 81%
Win Rate · Bundle
35.3%
2,080
Loss: 64.6%
Win Rate · Box
66.2%
12,479
Loss: 33.8%
Win Rate · Pack
3.7%
1,183
Loss: 96.3%
Win Rate · Bundle
9.8%
7,100
Loss: 90.2%
Win Rate · Box
15.7%
42,602
Loss: 84.3%

Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP equivalents use a live exchange rate. Prices reflect current secondary market rates and will change as the set ages.


The Short Answer

Opening Ascended Heroes is profitable on average at retail prices — but unprofitable at secondary market prices. Expected card value per pack is USD $11.1 against a retail pack price of approximately 347:

ProductRetail Price (PHP)Market Price (PHP)Expected Card ValueReturn at RetailVerdict
Booster Pack3471,1836831.97×+EV at retail. −EV at market.
Booster Bundle (6 packs)2,0807,1004,1011.97×+EV at retail. −EV at market.
Booster Box (36 packs)12,47942,60224,6031.97×+EV at retail. −EV at market.

Card Prices by Rarity

Mega Hyper Rares (◇) — #294–295

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
294Mega Charizard Y ex$596.9336,753
295Mega Dragonite ex$322.3819,849

Special Illustration Rares (SIR) — #275–293

19 cards. The main chase tier. Pull rate ~1 in 110 packs. Price range: 1,810 to 86,198.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
284Mega Gengar ex$1,400.0086,198
276Pikachu ex$1,250.4176,988
290Mega Dragonite ex$790.0048,640
277Pikachu ex$482.0029,677
281Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex$455.8228,065
280Lillie's Clefairy ex$193.3511,905
286N's Zoroark ex$170.7010,510
289Steven's Metagross ex$97.035,974
285Mega Scrafty ex$70.384,333
287Marnie's Grimmsnarl ex$80.004,926
275Mega Froslass ex$82.865,102
283Mega Hawlucha ex$70.194,322
279Iono's Bellibolt ex$66.224,077
288Fezandipiti ex$63.393,903
282Mega Diancie ex$61.033,758
278Mega Eelektross ex$43.032,649
291Canari$43.162,657
292Iris's Fighting Spirit$38.032,342
293Surfer$29.401,810

Pool average: 17,781 · Pool median: 4,926

Mega Attack Rares (MAR) — #265–274

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
274Mega Feraligatr ex$164.4310,124
272Mega Meganium ex$96.225,924
269Mega Gengar ex$86.125,302
273Mega Emboar ex$69.114,255
271Mega Dragonite ex$62.393,841
265Mega Froslass ex$17.131,055
267Mega Diancie ex$10.38639
268Mega Hawlucha ex$8.41518
270Mega Scrafty ex$7.35453
266Mega Eelektross ex$6.89424

Illustration Rares (IR) — #218–250

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)Notes
226Psyduck$115.307,099Chase IR — high demand
238Team Rocket's Mimikyu$29.171,796
218Erika's Tangela$26.921,657
232Marill$16.451,013
239Team Rocket's Dugtrio$14.98922
244Cynthia's Spiritomb$14.51893
234Banette$12.40763
225Scorbunny$12.38762
231Iono's Wattrel$11.57712
247Dreepy$11.43704
228Weavile$10.00616
221Budew$9.99615
248Drakloak$9.00554
240Hitmontop$9.22568
235Togekiss$8.28510
236Slurpuff$8.75539
222Ethan's Magcargo$8.50523
243Mightyena$8.79541
241Medicham$7.00431
223Numel$6.42395
246Mawile$6.82420
242Carbink$5.88362
233Misdreavus$5.68350
237Hop's Trevenant$5.31327
249Larry's Staraptor$5.09313
250Fan Rotom$4.46275
245Galarian Obstagoon$4.29264
219Beautifly$7.99492
220Dustox$4.69289
224Salazzle$3.67226
229Heliolisk$3.00185
230Vikavolt$3.32204
227Snorunt$6.28387

Ultra Rares — #251–264

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
256Boss's Orders: Corbeau$8.97552
264Ultra Ball$8.49523
251Sprigatito ex$3.89240
261Jamming Tower$2.90179
253Mega Audino ex$2.59159
254Anthea & Concordia$2.51155
255Black Belt's Training$2.00123
252Stunfisk ex$1.87115
258Cheren$1.85114
260Glass Trumpet$1.81111
263Team Rocket's Transceiver$2.64163
262N's PP Up$4.80296
257Canari$4.91302
259Counter Gain$1.3181

Double Rares — #001–179

Pool average: 145


Chase Cards: Top 15 by Value

#284 · SIR
Mega Gengar ex
86,198
$1,400 USD
#276 · SIR
Pikachu ex
76,988
$1,250 USD
#290 · SIR
Mega Dragonite ex
48,640
$790 USD
#277 · SIR
Pikachu ex
29,677
$482 USD
#281 · SIR
TR's Mewtwo ex
28,065
$456 USD
#294 · Hyper
Mega Charizard Y
36,753
$597 USD
#280 · SIR
Lillie's Clefairy ex
11,905
$193 USD
#295 · Hyper
Mega Dragonite ex
19,849
$322 USD
#286 · SIR
N's Zoroark ex
10,510
$171 USD
#274 · MAR
Mega Feraligatr ex
10,124
$164 USD
#226 · IR
Psyduck
7,099
$115 USD
#289 · SIR
Steven's Metagross ex
5,974
$97 USD
#272 · MAR
Mega Meganium ex
5,924
$96 USD
#287 · SIR
Marnie's Grimmsnarl ex
4,926
$80 USD
#269 · MAR
Mega Gengar ex
5,302
$86 USD

Expected Value Per Pack

ComponentPull RatePool Avg (USD)EV Contribution
Bulk (commons + uncommons)100%$0.80$0.80
Reverse Holo slot100%$1.80$1.80
Standard Rare (★)58.6%$0.75$0.44
Double Rare (★★ ex)21.0%$2.35$0.49
Illustration Rare (★ IR)11.0%$12.65$1.39
Ultra Rare (#251–264)6.0%$3.61$0.22
Mega Attack Rare (#265–274)2.0%$52.84$1.06
SIR (#275–293)0.9%$288.79$2.60
Mega Hyper Rare (#294–295)0.5%$459.65$2.30
Total EV per pack
$11.1 USD 683 PHP

Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds

Loss rate
84.3%
of 100,000 simulated openings
Win rate
15.7%
at $692 market price
P5 (bad luck)
-539
Median P/L
-434
P95 (good luck)
+427
Win threshold
$0
← LossProfit / Loss DistributionWin →

Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. ··· represents an empty gap in outcomes. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), May 2026.

ScenarioCost (USD)Win %Loss %Median P/LP5P95Avg Return
Pack — retail (~$5.63)$5.6319%81%−$2−$3+$91.99×
Bundle — retail (~$33.78)$33.7835.3%64.6%−$5−$13+$1711.98×
Box — retail (~$202.68)$202.6866.2%33.8%+$55−$49+$9171.96×
Pack — market (~$19.22)$19.223.7%96.3%−$16−$16−$40.58×
Bundle — market (~$115.32)$115.329.8%90.2%−$86−$95+$850.57×
Box — market (~$691.92)$691.9215.7%84.3%−$434−$539+$4270.58×

The Break-Even Price

Break-even pack
683
≈ $11.1 USD · retail: 347
Break-even bundle
4,101
≈ $66.6 USD · retail: 2,080
Break-even box
24,603
≈ $399.6 USD · retail: 12,479

What You Should Actually Do

If you want a specific card

Buy the single. Use tcgTalk price comparison. For any card worth more than ~1,847 USD, buying the single is almost always cheaper than opening packs.

If you want to open packs

Buy at Philippine retail prices via Shopee PH / Lazada / local card shops in Metro Manila. A single pack at retail wins 19% of the time. A full box at retail wins 66% of the time with a median profit of +$55 USD (≈ 3,386).

If you already have cards to sell

SIR prices are front-loaded — demand is highest in the weeks after release. If you pulled an SIR with strong current prices, selling within the next 2–4 months is likely to yield better prices than holding long-term.

tcgTalk Price Comparison
Find Ascended Heroes Cards at the Best PHP Price
Compare prices for every SIR, IR, and Mega Attack Rare — market data updated daily.
Compare Prices →

Frequently Asked Questions

Is it worth opening Ascended Heroes packs in the Philippines?

At retail prices (~347/pack), expected value per pack is 683 — profitable on average at retail (~2× return). At market prices, returns fall below cost.

How many SIRs are in Ascended Heroes?

19 Special Illustration Rares (#275–293) plus 2 Mega Hyper Rares (#294–295), for 21 premium rarity cards total.

What is the cheapest SIR in Ascended Heroes?

Surfer (#293) at USD $29.40 (1,810) is currently the lowest-value SIR in the set.

Disclaimer: All card prices from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of May 2026. PHP equivalents use a live exchange rate. Pull rates are community estimates. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulated openings. This is not financial advice.

tcgTalk Price Comparison
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See what these cards are selling for right now — Singapore market data across Carousell, Facebook, and SNKRDUNK.
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