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Pokemon▲ +0.16%Yugioh▲ +0.11%Magic▼ -0.09%One Piece▼ -0.02%Top Gainer · Rowlet #1▲ +99899.0%Top Loser · Booster Box▼ -97.3%Biggest Rise · Booster Box▲ +S$33,239Biggest Drop · Special Box [Poncho Pikachu Mega Charizard Y]▼ −S$11,580SG Avg Price Diff+65.3%Avg Arbitrage Savings4.2%Market Efficiency79.1%Pokemon▲ +0.16%Yugioh▲ +0.11%Magic▼ -0.09%One Piece▼ -0.02%Top Gainer · Rowlet #1▲ +99899.0%Top Loser · Booster Box▼ -97.3%Biggest Rise · Booster Box▲ +S$33,239Biggest Drop · Special Box [Poncho Pikachu Mega Charizard Y]▼ −S$11,580SG Avg Price Diff+65.3%Avg Arbitrage Savings4.2%Market Efficiency79.1%
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GuidesSet GuidesWorth Opening

Perfect Order Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?

Every card price, every rarity tier, and a Monte Carlo simulation across 100,000 openings — in Philippine Pesos. Booster boxes are currently +EV at market price. Here is exactly what you are buying.

Perfect Order Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?
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EV per Pack (USD)
$5.73
₱357 PHP
Break-even Pack
₱357
~$5.73 USD
Break-even Bundle
₱2,142
~$34.36 USD · 6 packs
Break-even Box
₱12,851
~$206.14 USD · 36 packs
Win Rate · Pack
9.9%
396
Loss: 90.1%
Win Rate · Bundle
17.4%
2,163
Loss: 82.6%
Win Rate · Box
48.7%
11,776
Loss: 51.3%

Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are derived from approximately 3,500 community pack openings.


The Short Answer

Perfect Order is one of the few sets where opening at market price is mathematically justifiable for boxes and bundles — but single packs are marginally −EV. The expected card value per pack is USD $5.73:

ProductMarket Price (PHP)Expected Card ValueReturn RatioVerdict
Booster Pack3963570.96×Marginally −EV. Very close to break-even.
Booster Bundle (6 packs)2,1632,1421.04×Marginally +EV at market.
Booster Box (36 packs)11,77612,8511.23×Clearly +EV at market.

The critical caveat: the return ratio is the average across 100,000 simulated openings. The median outcome is still a loss (−499) for bundles because the math is driven by low-probability SIR pulls. A box at market wins 65.2% of the time with a median profit of +1,122.


Card Prices by Rarity

Mega Hyper Rare (◇) — #124

One card. The single rarest printing in the set. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 1,789 packs. Golden full-art treatment.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
124Mega Zygarde ex$127.567,952

Special Illustration Rares (★★ SIR) — #118–123

6 cards. The main chase tier. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 81 packs. Price range 2,01112,948.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
121Meowth ex$130.388,128
120Mega Zygarde ex$58.293,634
119Mega Clefable ex$55.283,446
123Rosa's Encouragement$55.233,443
118Mega Starmie ex$51.823,230
122Jacinthe$26.411,646

Pool average: 3,921. Pool median: 3,444.

Ultra Rares (★★ UR) — #100–117

18 cards. Expected ~1 in 12 packs. Above-average UR pool at 482 per card.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
107Meowth ex$13.26827
113Poké Pad$10.17634
102Mega Starmie ex$7.00436
103Mega Clefable ex$7.00436
104Mega Zygarde ex$6.92431
109Forest of Vitality$6.34395
105Yveltal ex$5.99373
114Rosa's Encouragement$5.06315
106Mega Skarmory ex$5.06315
110Jacinthe$3.95246
117Wondrous Patch$3.50218
112Naveen$3.00187
111Lumiose City$3.00187
115Sacred Ash$2.84177
100Decidueye ex$2.72170
108Energy Recycler$2.45153
101Salazzle ex$2.34146
116Tarragon$2.28142

Illustration Rares (★ IR) — #089–099

11 cards. Expected ~1 in 9 packs. Clefairy (#094) at 2,151 is the chase IR.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)Notes
094Clefairy$23.701,477Chase IR
093Dedenne$4.46278
090Rowlet$4.39274
092Aurorus$4.00249
095Espurr$3.88242
091Talonflame$3.25203
099Raticate$3.00187
097Drapion$2.48155
098Doublade$2.34146
089Spewpa$2.25140
096Probopass$1.69105

Double Rares (★★ ex) — #001–088

9 ex and Mega ex cards. Expected ~1 in 5 packs. Pool average: 94.


Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value

#121 · SIR
Meowth ex SIR
8,128
$130 USD
#124 · MHR
Mega Zygarde ex MHR
7,952
$128 USD
#120 · SIR
Mega Zygarde ex SIR
3,634
$58 USD
#119 · SIR
Mega Clefable ex SIR
3,446
$55 USD
#123 · SIR
Rosa's Encouragement SIR
3,443
$55 USD
#118 · SIR
Mega Starmie ex SIR
3,230
$52 USD
#122 · SIR
Jacinthe SIR
1,646
$26 USD
#094 · IR
Clefairy IR
1,477
$24 USD
#107 · UR
Meowth ex UR
827
$13 USD
#113 · UR
Poké Pad UR
634
$10 USD

Expected Value Per Pack

ComponentPull RatePool Avg (USD)EV Contribution
Bulk (commons + uncommons)100%$0.80$0.80
Reverse Holo slot100%$1.60$1.60
Standard Rare (★)59.3%$2.01$1.19
Double Rare (★★ ex)20.0%$1.50$0.30
Illustration Rare (★ IR)11.1%$5.04$0.56
Ultra Rare (#100–117)8.3%$5.16$0.43
SIR (#118–123)1.23%$62.90$0.77
Mega Hyper Rare (#124)0.056%$127.56$0.07
Total EV per pack
$5.73 USD 357 PHP

Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds

Results from 100,000 simulated openings, drawing from actual card pool prices and pull rates. Simulation costs are in USD; your PHP value depends on the live exchange rate.

Loss rate
51.3%
of 100,000 simulated openings
Win rate
48.7%
at $188.90 market price
P5 (bad luck)
-29
Median P/L
-1
P95 (good luck)
+123
Win threshold
$0
← LossProfit / Loss DistributionWin →

Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. Box market price ($188.90) is below the $206.14 break-even — opening a box is currently +EV (1.09× average return). 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), August 2026.

Win / Loss summary across all formats

ScenarioCost (USD)Win %Loss %Median P/LP5 (bad luck)P95 (good luck)Avg Return
Pack — market (~$6.35)$6.359.9%90.1%−$2−$3+$20.90×
Bundle — market (~$34.70)$34.717.4%82.6%−$7−$10+$440.99×
Box — market (~$188.90)$188.948.7%51.3%−$1−$29+$1231.09×

The Break-Even Price

Break-even pack
357
≈ $5.73 USD · market: 396
Break-even bundle
2,142
≈ $34.36 USD · market: 2,163
Break-even box
12,851
≈ $206.14 USD · market: 11,776

Perfect Order market prices currently sit below the break-even for bundles and boxes. Booster boxes trade at 12,141 against a break-even of 14,899, a ~2,743 margin of safety.


What You Should Actually Do

If you want a specific card

Buy the single. Use the tcgTalk price comparison. Targeting a specific SIR by opening packs is expensive — the expected number of packs to hit one specific SIR is roughly 486 packs.

If you want to open packs

Buy a booster box if possible — it is the only format where the median outcome is a profit at current market prices. At 12,141 for 36 packs, you are paying 337/pack, well below the 414 EV.

If you are buying sealed for investment

Sealed booster boxes at current market prices are mathematically attractive — you are buying a 1.23× expected return on card value. The main risk is that card prices correct faster than sealed prices rise.

Buy Perfect Order on TCGPlayer

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is it worth opening Perfect Order in the Philippines?

Booster boxes (~11,776) are +EV at market — expected card value per box ~14,899 (1.23× return). Bundles (2,163) marginally +EV. Single packs (396) marginally −EV.

How many SIRs are in Perfect Order?

6 Special Illustration Rares (#118–123) plus 1 Mega Hyper Rare (#124), for 7 premium rarity cards total. A smaller SIR pool than most SV-era sets.

Are the URs in Perfect Order worth pulling?

Significantly more so than in most sets. The UR pool averages 482 — cards like Meowth ex (#107) at 1,340 and Poké Pad (#113) at 892 are meaningful pulls.

Disclaimer: All card prices are from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of August 2026. PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are community estimates from approximately 3,500 pack openings. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulations. This is not financial advice.

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