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GuidesSet GuidesWorth Opening

Perfect Order Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?

Every card price, every rarity tier, and a Monte Carlo simulation across 100,000 openings — in Philippine Pesos. Booster boxes are currently +EV at market price. Here is exactly what you are buying.

Perfect Order Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?
EV per Pack (USD)
$6.64
₱409 PHP
Break-even Pack
₱409
~$6.64 USD
Break-even Bundle
₱2,458
~$39.85 USD · 6 packs
Break-even Box
₱14,739
~$239 USD · 36 packs
Win Rate · Pack
18.8%
427
Loss: 81.2%
Win Rate · Bundle
22.3%
2,363
Loss: 77.7%
Win Rate · Box
65.2%
12,010
Loss: 34.8%

Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are derived from approximately 3,500 community pack openings.


The Short Answer

Perfect Order is one of the few sets where opening at market price is mathematically justifiable for boxes and bundles — but single packs are marginally −EV. The expected card value per pack is USD $6.64:

ProductMarket Price (PHP)Expected Card ValueReturn RatioVerdict
Booster Pack4274090.96×Marginally −EV. Very close to break-even.
Booster Bundle (6 packs)2,3632,4581.04×Marginally +EV at market.
Booster Box (36 packs)12,01014,7391.23×Clearly +EV at market.

The critical caveat: the return ratio is the average across 100,000 simulated openings. The median outcome is still a loss (−493) for bundles because the math is driven by low-probability SIR pulls. A box at market wins 65.2% of the time with a median profit of +1,110.


Card Prices by Rarity

Mega Hyper Rare (◇) — #124

One card. The single rarest printing in the set. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 1,789 packs. Golden full-art treatment.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
124Mega Zygarde ex$171.6110,583

Special Illustration Rares (★★ SIR) — #118–123

6 cards. The main chase tier. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 81 packs. Price range 1,98912,809.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
121Meowth ex$207.7012,809
120Mega Zygarde ex$94.265,813
123Rosa's Encouragement$77.724,793
119Mega Clefable ex$74.994,625
118Mega Starmie ex$73.704,545
122Jacinthe$32.261,989

Pool average: 5,762. Pool median: 4,709.

Ultra Rares (★★ UR) — #100–117

18 cards. Expected ~1 in 12 packs. Above-average UR pool at 477 per card.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
107Meowth ex$21.501,326
113Poké Pad$14.31882
102Mega Starmie ex$13.98862
104Mega Zygarde ex$11.36701
114Rosa's Encouragement$9.11562
103Mega Clefable ex$8.59530
105Yveltal ex$8.32513
109Forest of Vitality$7.94490
106Mega Skarmory ex$6.50401
117Wondrous Patch$5.00308
110Jacinthe$5.00308
116Tarragon$4.81297
108Energy Recycler$4.72291
112Naveen$4.26263
100Decidueye ex$4.00247
115Sacred Ash$3.69228
111Lumiose City$3.07189
101Salazzle ex$3.00185

Illustration Rares (★ IR) — #089–099

11 cards. Expected ~1 in 9 packs. Clefairy (#094) at 2,128 is the chase IR.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)Notes
094Clefairy$34.502,128Chase IR
093Dedenne$7.89487
090Rowlet$7.14440
095Espurr$5.99369
092Aurorus$5.18319
099Raticate$4.88301
098Doublade$4.12254
091Talonflame$3.61223
089Spewpa$3.18196
097Drapion$2.38147
096Probopass$1.78110

Double Rares (★★ ex) — #001–088

9 ex and Mega ex cards. Expected ~1 in 5 packs. Pool average: 105.


Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value

#121 · SIR
Meowth ex SIR
12,809
$208 USD
#124 · MHR
Mega Zygarde ex MHR
10,583
$172 USD
#120 · SIR
Mega Zygarde ex SIR
5,813
$94 USD
#123 · SIR
Rosa's Encouragement SIR
4,793
$78 USD
#119 · SIR
Mega Clefable ex SIR
4,625
$75 USD
#118 · SIR
Mega Starmie ex SIR
4,545
$74 USD
#094 · IR
Clefairy IR
2,128
$35 USD
#122 · SIR
Jacinthe SIR
1,989
$32 USD
#107 · UR
Meowth ex UR
1,326
$22 USD
#113 · UR
Poké Pad UR
882
$14 USD

Expected Value Per Pack

ComponentPull RatePool Avg (USD)EV Contribution
Bulk (commons + uncommons)100%$0.80$0.80
Reverse Holo slot100%$1.60$1.60
Standard Rare (★)59.3%$2.01$1.19
Double Rare (★★ ex)20.0%$1.71$0.34
Illustration Rare (★ IR)11.1%$7.33$0.81
Ultra Rare (#100–117)8.3%$7.73$0.64
SIR (#118–123)1.23%$93.44$1.15
Mega Hyper Rare (#124)0.056%$171.61$0.10
Total EV per pack
$6.64 USD 409 PHP

Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds

Results from 100,000 simulated openings, drawing from actual card pool prices and pull rates. Simulation costs are in USD; your PHP value depends on the live exchange rate.

Loss rate
34.8%
of 100,000 simulated openings
Win rate
65.2%
at $194.75 market price
P5 (bad luck)
-28
Median P/L
+18
P95 (good luck)
+211
Win threshold
$0
← LossProfit / Loss DistributionWin →

Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. Box market price ($194.75) is below the $239 break-even — opening a box is currently +EV. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), May 2026.

Win / Loss summary across all formats

ScenarioCost (USD)Win %Loss %Median P/LP5 (bad luck)P95 (good luck)Avg Return
Pack — market (~$6.93)$6.9318.8%81.2%−$3−$4+$40.96×
Bundle — market (~$38.31)$38.3122.3%77.7%−$8−$15+$631.04×
Box — market (~$194.75)$194.7565.2%34.8%+$18−$28+$2111.23×

The Break-Even Price

Break-even pack
409
≈ $6.64 USD · market: 427
Break-even bundle
2,458
≈ $39.85 USD · market: 2,363
Break-even box
14,739
≈ $239 USD · market: 12,010

Perfect Order market prices currently sit below the break-even for bundles and boxes. Booster boxes trade at 12,010 against a break-even of 14,739, a ~2,713 margin of safety.


What You Should Actually Do

If you want a specific card

Buy the single. Use the tcgTalk price comparison. Targeting a specific SIR by opening packs is expensive — the expected number of packs to hit one specific SIR is roughly 486 packs.

If you want to open packs

Buy a booster box if possible — it is the only format where the median outcome is a profit at current market prices. At 12,010 for 36 packs, you are paying 334/pack, well below the 409 EV.

If you are buying sealed for investment

Sealed booster boxes at current market prices are mathematically attractive — you are buying a 1.23× expected return on card value. The main risk is that card prices correct faster than sealed prices rise.

Buy Perfect Order on TCGPlayer

tcgTalk Price Comparison
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Compare prices for every SIR, IR, and Ultra Rare across local markets — data updated daily.
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Frequently Asked Questions

Is it worth opening Perfect Order in the Philippines?

Booster boxes (~12,010) are +EV at market — expected card value per box ~14,739 (1.23× return). Bundles (2,363) marginally +EV. Single packs (427) marginally −EV.

How many SIRs are in Perfect Order?

6 Special Illustration Rares (#118–123) plus 1 Mega Hyper Rare (#124), for 7 premium rarity cards total. A smaller SIR pool than most SV-era sets.

Are the URs in Perfect Order worth pulling?

Significantly more so than in most sets. The UR pool averages 477 — cards like Meowth ex (#107) at 1,326 and Poké Pad (#113) at 882 are meaningful pulls.

Disclaimer: All card prices are from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of May 2026. PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are community estimates from approximately 3,500 pack openings. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulations. This is not financial advice.

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