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GuidesSet GuidesWorth Opening

Perfect Order Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?

Every card price, every rarity tier, and a Monte Carlo simulation across 100,000 openings — in Philippine Pesos. Booster boxes are currently +EV at market price. Here is exactly what you are buying.

Perfect Order Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?
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EV per Pack (USD)
$5.46
₱343 PHP
Break-even Pack
₱343
~$5.46 USD
Break-even Bundle
₱2,061
~$32.78 USD · 6 packs
Break-even Box
₱12,367
~$196.71 USD · 36 packs
Win Rate · Pack
9.5%
409
Loss: 90.5%
Win Rate · Bundle
13.4%
2,447
Loss: 86.6%
Win Rate · Box
60.1%
10,885
Loss: 39.9%

Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are derived from approximately 3,500 community pack openings.


The Short Answer

Perfect Order is one of the few sets where opening at market price is mathematically justifiable for boxes and bundles — but single packs are marginally −EV. The expected card value per pack is USD $5.46:

ProductMarket Price (PHP)Expected Card ValueReturn RatioVerdict
Booster Pack4093430.84×−EV at market.
Booster Bundle (6 packs)2,4472,0610.84×Marginally −EV at market.
Booster Box (36 packs)10,88512,3671.14×Clearly +EV at market.

The critical caveat: the return ratio is the average across 100,000 simulated openings. The median outcome is still a loss (−503) for bundles because the math is driven by low-probability SIR pulls. A box at market wins 65.2% of the time with a median profit of +1,132.


Card Prices by Rarity

Mega Hyper Rare (◇) — #124

One card. The single rarest printing in the set. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 1,789 packs. Golden full-art treatment.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
124Mega Zygarde ex$126.007,922

Special Illustration Rares (★★ SIR) — #118–123

6 cards. The main chase tier. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 81 packs. Price range 2,02813,058.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
121Meowth ex$121.217,620
120Mega Zygarde ex$53.953,392
119Mega Clefable ex$48.633,057
123Rosa's Encouragement$48.213,031
118Mega Starmie ex$39.002,452
122Jacinthe$23.501,477

Pool average: 3,505. Pool median: 3,044.

Ultra Rares (★★ UR) — #100–117

18 cards. Expected ~1 in 12 packs. Above-average UR pool at 486 per card.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
107Meowth ex$12.80805
113Poké Pad$9.65607
102Mega Starmie ex$5.50346
105Yveltal ex$5.50346
104Mega Zygarde ex$5.24329
114Rosa's Encouragement$4.99314
106Mega Skarmory ex$4.87306
103Mega Clefable ex$4.54285
109Forest of Vitality$4.25267
110Jacinthe$2.97187
117Wondrous Patch$2.95185
111Lumiose City$2.92184
108Energy Recycler$2.55160
115Sacred Ash$2.49157
100Decidueye ex$2.49157
112Naveen$2.30145
116Tarragon$1.78112
101Salazzle ex$1.60101

Illustration Rares (★ IR) — #089–099

11 cards. Expected ~1 in 9 packs. Clefairy (#094) at 2,169 is the chase IR.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)Notes
094Clefairy$19.001,195Chase IR
093Dedenne$5.32334
090Rowlet$5.11321
095Espurr$4.22265
092Aurorus$3.15198
099Raticate$2.78175
091Talonflame$2.58162
089Spewpa$2.33146
098Doublade$2.06130
097Drapion$1.86117
096Probopass$1.3786

Double Rares (★★ ex) — #001–088

9 ex and Mega ex cards. Expected ~1 in 5 packs. Pool average: 77.


Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value

#124 · MHR
Mega Zygarde ex MHR
7,922
$126 USD
#121 · SIR
Meowth ex SIR
7,620
$121 USD
#120 · SIR
Mega Zygarde ex SIR
3,392
$54 USD
#119 · SIR
Mega Clefable ex SIR
3,057
$49 USD
#123 · SIR
Rosa's Encouragement SIR
3,031
$48 USD
#118 · SIR
Mega Starmie ex SIR
2,452
$39 USD
#122 · SIR
Jacinthe SIR
1,477
$24 USD
#094 · IR
Clefairy IR
1,195
$19 USD
#107 · UR
Meowth ex UR
805
$13 USD
#113 · UR
Poké Pad UR
607
$10 USD

Expected Value Per Pack

ComponentPull RatePool Avg (USD)EV Contribution
Bulk (commons + uncommons)100%$0.80$0.80
Reverse Holo slot100%$1.60$1.60
Standard Rare (★)59.3%$2.01$1.19
Double Rare (★★ ex)20.0%$1.23$0.25
Illustration Rare (★ IR)11.1%$4.53$0.50
Ultra Rare (#100–117)8.3%$4.41$0.37
SIR (#118–123)1.23%$55.75$0.69
Mega Hyper Rare (#124)0.056%$126.00$0.07
Total EV per pack
$5.46 USD 343 PHP

Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds

Results from 100,000 simulated openings, drawing from actual card pool prices and pull rates. Simulation costs are in USD; your PHP value depends on the live exchange rate.

Loss rate
39.9%
of 100,000 simulated openings
Win rate
60.1%
at $173.14 market price
P5 (bad luck)
-17
Median P/L
+7
P95 (good luck)
+123
Win threshold
$0
← LossProfit / Loss DistributionWin →

Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. Box market price ($173.14) is below the $196.71 break-even — opening a box is currently +EV (1.14× average return). 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), September 2026.

Win / Loss summary across all formats

ScenarioCost (USD)Win %Loss %Median P/LP5 (bad luck)P95 (good luck)Avg Return
Pack — market (~$6.50)$6.59.5%90.5%−$2−$3+$10.84×
Bundle — market (~$38.92)$38.9213.4%86.6%−$12−$15+$320.84×
Box — market (~$173.14)$173.1460.1%39.9%+$7−$17+$1231.14×

The Break-Even Price

Break-even pack
343
≈ $5.46 USD · market: 409
Break-even bundle
2,061
≈ $32.78 USD · market: 2,447
Break-even box
12,367
≈ $196.71 USD · market: 10,885

Perfect Order market prices currently sit below the break-even for bundles and boxes. Booster boxes trade at 12,244 against a break-even of 15,026, a ~2,766 margin of safety.


What You Should Actually Do

If you want a specific card

Buy the single. Use the tcgTalk price comparison. Targeting a specific SIR by opening packs is expensive — the expected number of packs to hit one specific SIR is roughly 486 packs.

If you want to open packs

Buy a booster box if possible — it is the only format where the median outcome is a profit at current market prices. At 12,244 for 36 packs, you are paying 340/pack, well below the 417 EV.

If you are buying sealed for investment

Sealed booster boxes at current market prices are mathematically attractive — you are buying a 1.14× expected return on card value. The main risk is that card prices correct faster than sealed prices rise.

Buy Perfect Order on TCGPlayer

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is it worth opening Perfect Order in the Philippines?

Booster boxes (~10,885) are +EV at market — expected card value per box ~15,026 (1.23× return). Bundles (2,447) marginally +EV. Single packs (409) marginally −EV.

How many SIRs are in Perfect Order?

6 Special Illustration Rares (#118–123) plus 1 Mega Hyper Rare (#124), for 7 premium rarity cards total. A smaller SIR pool than most SV-era sets.

Are the URs in Perfect Order worth pulling?

Significantly more so than in most sets. The UR pool averages 486 — cards like Meowth ex (#107) at 1,352 and Poké Pad (#113) at 900 are meaningful pulls.

Disclaimer: All card prices are from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of September 2026. PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are community estimates from approximately 3,500 pack openings. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulations. This is not financial advice.

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