Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are derived from approximately 3,500 community pack openings.
The Short Answer
Perfect Order is one of the few sets where opening at market price is mathematically justifiable for boxes and bundles — but single packs are marginally −EV. The expected card value per pack is USD $6.64:
| Product | Market Price (PHP) | Expected Card Value | Return Ratio | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | ₱427 | ₱409 | 0.96× | Marginally −EV. Very close to break-even. |
| Booster Bundle (6 packs) | ₱2,359 | ₱2,454 | 1.04× | Marginally +EV at market. |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | ₱11,993 | ₱14,718 | 1.23× | Clearly +EV at market. |
The critical caveat: the return ratio is the average across 100,000 simulated openings. The median outcome is still a loss (−₱493) for bundles because the math is driven by low-probability SIR pulls. A box at market wins 65.2% of the time with a median profit of +₱1,108.
Card Prices by Rarity
Mega Hyper Rare (◇) — #124
One card. The single rarest printing in the set. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 1,789 packs. Golden full-art treatment.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | Mega Zygarde ex | $171.61 | ₱10,568 |
Special Illustration Rares (★★ SIR) — #118–123
6 cards. The main chase tier. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 81 packs. Price range ₱1,987–₱12,790.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | Meowth ex | $207.70 | ₱12,790 |
| 120 | Mega Zygarde ex | $94.26 | ₱5,805 |
| 123 | Rosa's Encouragement | $77.72 | ₱4,786 |
| 119 | Mega Clefable ex | $74.99 | ₱4,618 |
| 118 | Mega Starmie ex | $73.70 | ₱4,538 |
| 122 | Jacinthe | $32.26 | ₱1,987 |
Pool average: ₱5,754. Pool median: ₱4,702.
Ultra Rares (★★ UR) — #100–117
18 cards. Expected ~1 in 12 packs. Above-average UR pool at ₱476 per card.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | Meowth ex | $21.50 | ₱1,324 |
| 113 | Poké Pad | $14.31 | ₱881 |
| 102 | Mega Starmie ex | $13.98 | ₱861 |
| 104 | Mega Zygarde ex | $11.36 | ₱700 |
| 114 | Rosa's Encouragement | $9.11 | ₱561 |
| 103 | Mega Clefable ex | $8.59 | ₱529 |
| 105 | Yveltal ex | $8.32 | ₱512 |
| 109 | Forest of Vitality | $7.94 | ₱489 |
| 106 | Mega Skarmory ex | $6.50 | ₱400 |
| 117 | Wondrous Patch | $5.00 | ₱308 |
| 110 | Jacinthe | $5.00 | ₱308 |
| 116 | Tarragon | $4.81 | ₱296 |
| 108 | Energy Recycler | $4.72 | ₱291 |
| 112 | Naveen | $4.26 | ₱262 |
| 100 | Decidueye ex | $4.00 | ₱246 |
| 115 | Sacred Ash | $3.69 | ₱227 |
| 111 | Lumiose City | $3.07 | ₱189 |
| 101 | Salazzle ex | $3.00 | ₱185 |
Illustration Rares (★ IR) — #089–099
11 cards. Expected ~1 in 9 packs. Clefairy (#094) at ₱2,125 is the chase IR.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 094 | Clefairy | $34.50 | ₱2,125 | Chase IR |
| 093 | Dedenne | $7.89 | ₱486 | |
| 090 | Rowlet | $7.14 | ₱440 | |
| 095 | Espurr | $5.99 | ₱369 | |
| 092 | Aurorus | $5.18 | ₱319 | |
| 099 | Raticate | $4.88 | ₱301 | |
| 098 | Doublade | $4.12 | ₱254 | |
| 091 | Talonflame | $3.61 | ₱222 | |
| 089 | Spewpa | $3.18 | ₱196 | |
| 097 | Drapion | $2.38 | ₱147 | |
| 096 | Probopass | $1.78 | ₱110 |
Double Rares (★★ ex) — #001–088
9 ex and Mega ex cards. Expected ~1 in 5 packs. Pool average: ₱105.
Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value
Expected Value Per Pack
| Component | Pull Rate | Pool Avg (USD) | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulk (commons + uncommons) | 100% | $0.80 | $0.80 |
| Reverse Holo slot | 100% | $1.60 | $1.60 |
| Standard Rare (★) | 59.3% | $2.01 | $1.19 |
| Double Rare (★★ ex) | 20.0% | $1.71 | $0.34 |
| Illustration Rare (★ IR) | 11.1% | $7.33 | $0.81 |
| Ultra Rare (#100–117) | 8.3% | $7.73 | $0.64 |
| SIR (#118–123) | 1.23% | $93.44 | $1.15 |
| Mega Hyper Rare (#124) | 0.056% | $171.61 | $0.10 |
Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds
Results from 100,000 simulated openings, drawing from actual card pool prices and pull rates. Simulation costs are in USD; your PHP value depends on the live exchange rate.
Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. Box market price ($194.75) is below the $239 break-even — opening a box is currently +EV. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), May 2026.
Win / Loss summary across all formats
| Scenario | Cost (USD) | Win % | Loss % | Median P/L | P5 (bad luck) | P95 (good luck) | Avg Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pack — market (~$6.93) | $6.93 | 18.8% | 81.2% | −$3 | −$4 | +$4 | 0.96× |
| Bundle — market (~$38.31) | $38.31 | 22.3% | 77.7% | −$8 | −$15 | +$63 | 1.04× |
| Box — market (~$194.75) | $194.75 | 65.2% | 34.8% | +$18 | −$28 | +$211 | 1.23× |
The Break-Even Price
Perfect Order market prices currently sit below the break-even for bundles and boxes. Booster boxes trade at ₱11,993 against a break-even of ₱14,718, a ~₱2,710 margin of safety.
What You Should Actually Do
If you want a specific card
Buy the single. Use the tcgTalk price comparison. Targeting a specific SIR by opening packs is expensive — the expected number of packs to hit one specific SIR is roughly 486 packs.
If you want to open packs
Buy a booster box if possible — it is the only format where the median outcome is a profit at current market prices. At ₱11,993 for 36 packs, you are paying ₱333/pack, well below the ₱409 EV.
If you are buying sealed for investment
Sealed booster boxes at current market prices are mathematically attractive — you are buying a 1.23× expected return on card value. The main risk is that card prices correct faster than sealed prices rise.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is it worth opening Perfect Order in the Philippines?
Booster boxes (~₱11,993) are +EV at market — expected card value per box ~₱14,718 (1.23× return). Bundles (₱2,359) marginally +EV. Single packs (₱427) marginally −EV.
How many SIRs are in Perfect Order?
6 Special Illustration Rares (#118–123) plus 1 Mega Hyper Rare (#124), for 7 premium rarity cards total. A smaller SIR pool than most SV-era sets.
Are the URs in Perfect Order worth pulling?
Significantly more so than in most sets. The UR pool averages ₱476 — cards like Meowth ex (#107) at ₱1,324 and Poké Pad (#113) at ₱881 are meaningful pulls.
Disclaimer: All card prices are from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of May 2026. PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are community estimates from approximately 3,500 pack openings. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulations. This is not financial advice.
