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Pokemon▼ -0.08%Yugioh▲ +0.14%Magic▲ +0.08%One Piece▲ +0.27%Top Gainer · Mini Booster Pack▲ +649.2%Top Loser · Delphox #74▼ -83.1%Biggest Rise · Booster Box [1st Edition]▲ +S$2,552Biggest Drop · Poncho-Wearing Pikachu #230/XY-P▼ −S$1,208SG Avg Price Diff+66.1%Avg Arbitrage Savings4.2%Market Efficiency79%Pokemon▼ -0.08%Yugioh▲ +0.14%Magic▲ +0.08%One Piece▲ +0.27%Top Gainer · Mini Booster Pack▲ +649.2%Top Loser · Delphox #74▼ -83.1%Biggest Rise · Booster Box [1st Edition]▲ +S$2,552Biggest Drop · Poncho-Wearing Pikachu #230/XY-P▼ −S$1,208SG Avg Price Diff+66.1%Avg Arbitrage Savings4.2%Market Efficiency79%
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GuidesSet GuidesWorth Opening

Perfect Order Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?

Every card price, every rarity tier, and a Monte Carlo simulation across 100,000 openings — in Philippine Pesos. Booster boxes are currently +EV at market price. Here is exactly what you are buying.

Perfect Order Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?
EV per Pack (USD)
$6.64
₱409 PHP
Break-even Pack
₱409
~$6.64 USD
Break-even Bundle
₱2,454
~$39.85 USD · 6 packs
Break-even Box
₱14,718
~$239 USD · 36 packs
Win Rate · Pack
18.8%
427
Loss: 81.2%
Win Rate · Bundle
22.3%
2,359
Loss: 77.7%
Win Rate · Box
65.2%
11,993
Loss: 34.8%

Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are derived from approximately 3,500 community pack openings.


The Short Answer

Perfect Order is one of the few sets where opening at market price is mathematically justifiable for boxes and bundles — but single packs are marginally −EV. The expected card value per pack is USD $6.64:

ProductMarket Price (PHP)Expected Card ValueReturn RatioVerdict
Booster Pack4274090.96×Marginally −EV. Very close to break-even.
Booster Bundle (6 packs)2,3592,4541.04×Marginally +EV at market.
Booster Box (36 packs)11,99314,7181.23×Clearly +EV at market.

The critical caveat: the return ratio is the average across 100,000 simulated openings. The median outcome is still a loss (−493) for bundles because the math is driven by low-probability SIR pulls. A box at market wins 65.2% of the time with a median profit of +1,108.


Card Prices by Rarity

Mega Hyper Rare (◇) — #124

One card. The single rarest printing in the set. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 1,789 packs. Golden full-art treatment.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
124Mega Zygarde ex$171.6110,568

Special Illustration Rares (★★ SIR) — #118–123

6 cards. The main chase tier. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 81 packs. Price range 1,98712,790.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
121Meowth ex$207.7012,790
120Mega Zygarde ex$94.265,805
123Rosa's Encouragement$77.724,786
119Mega Clefable ex$74.994,618
118Mega Starmie ex$73.704,538
122Jacinthe$32.261,987

Pool average: 5,754. Pool median: 4,702.

Ultra Rares (★★ UR) — #100–117

18 cards. Expected ~1 in 12 packs. Above-average UR pool at 476 per card.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
107Meowth ex$21.501,324
113Poké Pad$14.31881
102Mega Starmie ex$13.98861
104Mega Zygarde ex$11.36700
114Rosa's Encouragement$9.11561
103Mega Clefable ex$8.59529
105Yveltal ex$8.32512
109Forest of Vitality$7.94489
106Mega Skarmory ex$6.50400
117Wondrous Patch$5.00308
110Jacinthe$5.00308
116Tarragon$4.81296
108Energy Recycler$4.72291
112Naveen$4.26262
100Decidueye ex$4.00246
115Sacred Ash$3.69227
111Lumiose City$3.07189
101Salazzle ex$3.00185

Illustration Rares (★ IR) — #089–099

11 cards. Expected ~1 in 9 packs. Clefairy (#094) at 2,125 is the chase IR.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)Notes
094Clefairy$34.502,125Chase IR
093Dedenne$7.89486
090Rowlet$7.14440
095Espurr$5.99369
092Aurorus$5.18319
099Raticate$4.88301
098Doublade$4.12254
091Talonflame$3.61222
089Spewpa$3.18196
097Drapion$2.38147
096Probopass$1.78110

Double Rares (★★ ex) — #001–088

9 ex and Mega ex cards. Expected ~1 in 5 packs. Pool average: 105.


Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value

#121 · SIR
Meowth ex SIR
12,790
$208 USD
#124 · MHR
Mega Zygarde ex MHR
10,568
$172 USD
#120 · SIR
Mega Zygarde ex SIR
5,805
$94 USD
#123 · SIR
Rosa's Encouragement SIR
4,786
$78 USD
#119 · SIR
Mega Clefable ex SIR
4,618
$75 USD
#118 · SIR
Mega Starmie ex SIR
4,538
$74 USD
#094 · IR
Clefairy IR
2,125
$35 USD
#122 · SIR
Jacinthe SIR
1,987
$32 USD
#107 · UR
Meowth ex UR
1,324
$22 USD
#113 · UR
Poké Pad UR
881
$14 USD

Expected Value Per Pack

ComponentPull RatePool Avg (USD)EV Contribution
Bulk (commons + uncommons)100%$0.80$0.80
Reverse Holo slot100%$1.60$1.60
Standard Rare (★)59.3%$2.01$1.19
Double Rare (★★ ex)20.0%$1.71$0.34
Illustration Rare (★ IR)11.1%$7.33$0.81
Ultra Rare (#100–117)8.3%$7.73$0.64
SIR (#118–123)1.23%$93.44$1.15
Mega Hyper Rare (#124)0.056%$171.61$0.10
Total EV per pack
$6.64 USD 409 PHP

Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds

Results from 100,000 simulated openings, drawing from actual card pool prices and pull rates. Simulation costs are in USD; your PHP value depends on the live exchange rate.

Loss rate
34.8%
of 100,000 simulated openings
Win rate
65.2%
at $194.75 market price
P5 (bad luck)
-28
Median P/L
+18
P95 (good luck)
+211
Win threshold
$0
← LossProfit / Loss DistributionWin →

Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. Box market price ($194.75) is below the $239 break-even — opening a box is currently +EV. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), May 2026.

Win / Loss summary across all formats

ScenarioCost (USD)Win %Loss %Median P/LP5 (bad luck)P95 (good luck)Avg Return
Pack — market (~$6.93)$6.9318.8%81.2%−$3−$4+$40.96×
Bundle — market (~$38.31)$38.3122.3%77.7%−$8−$15+$631.04×
Box — market (~$194.75)$194.7565.2%34.8%+$18−$28+$2111.23×

The Break-Even Price

Break-even pack
409
≈ $6.64 USD · market: 427
Break-even bundle
2,454
≈ $39.85 USD · market: 2,359
Break-even box
14,718
≈ $239 USD · market: 11,993

Perfect Order market prices currently sit below the break-even for bundles and boxes. Booster boxes trade at 11,993 against a break-even of 14,718, a ~2,710 margin of safety.


What You Should Actually Do

If you want a specific card

Buy the single. Use the tcgTalk price comparison. Targeting a specific SIR by opening packs is expensive — the expected number of packs to hit one specific SIR is roughly 486 packs.

If you want to open packs

Buy a booster box if possible — it is the only format where the median outcome is a profit at current market prices. At 11,993 for 36 packs, you are paying 333/pack, well below the 409 EV.

If you are buying sealed for investment

Sealed booster boxes at current market prices are mathematically attractive — you are buying a 1.23× expected return on card value. The main risk is that card prices correct faster than sealed prices rise.

tcgTalk Price Comparison
Find Perfect Order Cards at the Best PHP Price
Compare prices for every SIR, IR, and Ultra Rare across local markets — data updated daily.
Compare Prices →

Frequently Asked Questions

Is it worth opening Perfect Order in the Philippines?

Booster boxes (~11,993) are +EV at market — expected card value per box ~14,718 (1.23× return). Bundles (2,359) marginally +EV. Single packs (427) marginally −EV.

How many SIRs are in Perfect Order?

6 Special Illustration Rares (#118–123) plus 1 Mega Hyper Rare (#124), for 7 premium rarity cards total. A smaller SIR pool than most SV-era sets.

Are the URs in Perfect Order worth pulling?

Significantly more so than in most sets. The UR pool averages 476 — cards like Meowth ex (#107) at 1,324 and Poké Pad (#113) at 881 are meaningful pulls.

Disclaimer: All card prices are from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of May 2026. PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Pull rates are community estimates from approximately 3,500 pack openings. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulations. This is not financial advice.

tcgTalk Price Comparison
Check Current SGD Prices
See what these cards are selling for right now — Singapore market data across Carousell, Facebook, and SNKRDUNK.
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