Important: This set released on 22 May 2026. Prices are 2 weeks old and have not yet stabilised. Graded card prices (PSA 10, BGS 10, CGC 10) are unreliable at this stage — most cards submitted at launch have not returned from grading services yet. All analysis below focuses on ungraded prices only.
Market Overview
Pricing data sourced from PriceCharting as of 4 June 2026. USD converted to SGD at 1.28x.
Three things make Chaos Rising unusual from a pricing standpoint:
- MHR JP/EN inversion — the only case in this set where JP is substantially pricier than EN
- Wide EN foil premiums (2–3.3×) — suggesting early market imbalance as EN supply floods in
- EN base cards well below JP — excess EN supply driving base cards to 10–40% of JP prices
The Chase Card: Mega Greninja ex in All Four Forms
Mega Greninja ex appears across every rarity tier. Here is where each version stands 2 weeks post-launch:
| Version | JP (USD / SGD) | EN (USD / SGD) | EN/JP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base #22 | $3.66 / SGD $5 | $4.67 / SGD $6 | 1.28× |
| Full Art #98/#100 | $21.44 / SGD $27 | $26.00 / SGD $33 | 1.21× |
| SIR #114/#116 | $304.00 / SGD $389 | $450.65 / SGD $577 | 1.48× |
| Mega Hyper Rare #120/#122 | $509.90 / SGD $653 | $315.00 / SGD $403 | 0.62× (JP pricier) |
The MHR inversion is the headline story. JP buyers are paying ~USD $195 more (SGD $249 more) than EN buyers for the same card. This likely reflects stronger domestic JP player demand combined with tighter initial JP supply. Whether this gap normalises or persists is the key price movement to watch over the next 4–8 weeks.
The SIR tells the opposite story: EN buyers pay a 48% premium over JP — the smallest SIR premium in the set, again driven by JP collectors bidding hard on their own supply.
Foil Variants (#84–95 JP / #87–97 EN)
EN foils carry an unusually wide premium over JP at this stage. A 2–3.3× gap is historically wide and some narrowing is likely as more EN product opens:
| Card | JP (USD / SGD) | EN (USD / SGD) | EN/JP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frogadier | $5.99 / SGD $8 | $19.99 / SGD $26 | 3.34× |
| Xerneas | $6.78 / SGD $9 | $19.98 / SGD $26 | 2.95× |
| Ampharos | $6.14 / SGD $8 | $17.97 / SGD $23 | 2.93× |
| Froakie | $8.30 / SGD $11 | $22.85 / SGD $29 | 2.75× |
| Tauros | $3.95 / SGD $5 | $10.51 / SGD $13 | 2.66× |
| Chespin | $4.86 / SGD $6 | $9.99 / SGD $13 | 2.06× |
The Greninja evolution line (Froakie 2.75×, Frogadier 3.34×) may hold stronger floors if competitive play demand picks up. Chespin and Tauros are more likely to compress as EN supply opens up.
Special Illustration Rares (SIR) (#114–119 JP / #116–121 EN)
SIR EN premiums range from 1.48× to 2.88×, a narrower spread than foils but still significant at the 2-week mark:
| Card | JP (USD / SGD) | EN (USD / SGD) | EN/JP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Dragalge ex | $24.20 / SGD $31 | $69.75 / SGD $89 | 2.88× |
| AZ's Tranquility | $14.26 / SGD $18 | $40.00 / SGD $51 | 2.81× |
| Mega Floette ex | $23.18 / SGD $30 | $57.84 / SGD $74 | 2.50× |
| Cinccino ex | $42.71 / SGD $55 | $89.99 / SGD $115 | 2.11× |
| Roxie's Performance | $16.64 / SGD $21 | $35.00 / SGD $45 | 2.10× |
| Mega Greninja ex | $304.00 / SGD $389 | $450.65 / SGD $577 | 1.48× |
Mega Greninja ex SIR has the smallest EN premium of any SIR — clear evidence that JP collectors are competing hard for it too.
Cinccino ex at SGD $115 EN (SGD $55 JP) shows consistent sales volume and a middle-of-pack 2.11× premium, making it arguably the most fairly priced SIR relative to demand signals at this early stage.
Base Pokémon Tier (#1–71)
Most base commons and uncommons are far cheaper in EN than JP right now:
- Typical JP: $1.50–$2.00 / SGD $2–SGD $3
- Typical EN: $0.10–$0.60 / SGD $0–SGD $1
- EN/JP ratio on base commons: roughly 0.10–0.40 (EN is 60–90% cheaper)
Notable exceptions where EN trades at or above JP (all competitively playable EX cards):
- Mega Greninja ex: EN $4.67 (SGD $6) vs JP $3.66 (SGD $5) — 1.28×
- Cinccino ex: EN $1.99 vs JP $1.65 — 1.21×
- Beedrill ex: EN $2.15 vs JP $1.91 — 1.13×
- Crobat: EN $1.99 vs JP $1.50 — 1.12×
Regional Exclusives
| Card | Region | Price (USD / SGD) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Floette ex #35 | JP only | $2.00 / SGD $3 | — |
| Fennekin foil #85 | JP only | $3.35 / SGD $4 | 1,689 JP sales — most traded JP foil in the set |
| Mega Gallade ex #48 | EN only | $1.29 / SGD $2 | — |
| Krookodile ex #55 | EN only | $1.37 / SGD $2 | — |
| Adversity Policy #74 | EN only | $0.17 / SGD $0 | Trainer item |
Fennekin foil is the standout — JP-only with the highest JP foil sales volume in the set by a wide margin. EN collectors wanting it will need to source via import channels or Japanese proxy services.
What to Watch Over the Next 4–8 Weeks
- MHR JP/EN gap — The ~SGD $250 JP premium on the Mega Hyper Rare is unusual. Monitor whether JP demand sustains it or it normalises toward parity as initial excitement fades.
- First graded returns — PSA, BGS, and CGC submissions from launch week will start returning around weeks 6–10. Real pop-report-backed graded prices will look different from current listings.
- Foil compression — A 2–3× EN/JP gap on foils is historically wide. Expect some narrowing as EN supply opens up, unless competitive play demand props up the Greninja line.
- Cinccino ex SIR (SGD $115 EN) — Middle-of-pack premium (2.11×) with consistent sales. Arguably the best-priced SIR relative to demand signals right now.
- EN print run signals — If Chaos Rising follows a heavy EN print run, base cards and foils will fall further. Watch secondary market supply levels over the next 2–3 weeks.
Use our price comparison tool to monitor Chaos Rising / Ninja Spinner prices in real time before you buy or sell.
All prices in USD from PriceCharting as of 4 June 2026. SGD conversions at live rate. Always verify current prices before making purchasing decisions. tcgTalk does not provide financial advice.