Card prices sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP values use live exchange rates. Prices reflect current secondary market rates and will shift as the set ages.
The Short Answer
Prismatic Evolutions is one of the most hyped Pokemon sets ever — and the market prices reflect that. At current market prices, all product formats are deeply negative EV. The EV per pack is ~₱431 but packs sell for ₱1,030 on the secondary market. At Philippine retail (~₱313/pack), all formats are positive EV — but most individual packs still lose money.
| Product | Retail Price (PHP) | Market Price (PHP) | Expected Card Value | Return at Retail | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | ₱313 | ₱1,030 | ₱431 | 1.38× | +EV at retail. −EV at market (0.42×). |
| Booster Bundle (6 packs) | ₱1,876 | ₱4,869 | ₱2,588 | 1.38× | +EV at retail. −EV at market (0.53×). |
| Elite Trainer Box (9 packs) | ₱2,814 | ₱9,796 | ₱3,882 | 1.38× | +EV at retail. −EV at market (0.40×). |
Note on product formats: Prismatic Evolutions (SV8.5) does not have a traditional 36-pack booster box. The primary formats are the Booster Pack, Booster Bundle (6 packs), and Elite Trainer Box (9 packs).
Pack Structure: Foil Slots Explained
Prismatic Evolutions uses a special foil slot mechanic. Instead of a guaranteed standard reverse holo, the “foil slot” in each pack randomly falls into one of three categories:
| Foil Slot Type | Pull Rate | Avg Value (USD) | Avg Value (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Master Ball foil | ~5.0% | $8.94 | ₱550 |
| Poke Ball foil | ~33.3% | $0.83 | ₱51 |
| Regular reverse holo | ~61.7% | ~$1.60 | ~₱98 |
The Master Ball foil is a meaningful EV contributor — ₱28 per pack — primarily because Umbreon [Master Ball] (#59) is worth approximately ₱4,947. If you pull a Master Ball foil card, immediately check if it's the Umbreon.
Card Prices by Rarity
Special Illustration Rares (SIR) — #144–175
32 cards. The primary chase tier. Pull rate approximately 2.22% (~1 in 45 packs). Price range is extreme — from ₱929 to ₱87,307.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | Umbreon ex | $1,418.70 | ₱87,307 |
| 156 | Sylveon ex | $390.50 | ₱24,031 |
| 144 | Leafeon ex | $300.00 | ₱18,462 |
| 155 | Espeon ex | $289.66 | ₱17,826 |
| 149 | Vaporeon ex | $249.99 | ₱15,384 |
| 150 | Glaceon ex | $240.00 | ₱14,770 |
| 153 | Jolteon ex | $183.75 | ₱11,308 |
| 146 | Flareon ex | $183.33 | ₱11,282 |
| 162 | Roaring Moon ex | $169.26 | ₱10,416 |
| 167 | Eevee ex | $167.38 | ₱10,301 |
| 165 | Dragapult ex | $115.36 | ₱7,099 |
| 147 | Ceruledge ex | $91.47 | ₱5,629 |
| 166 | Raging Bolt ex | $68.76 | ₱4,231 |
| 168 | Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex | $65.32 | ₱4,020 |
| 157 | Iron Valiant ex | $44.02 | ₱2,709 |
| 151 | Palafin ex | $41.67 | ₱2,564 |
| 164 | Gholdengo ex | $40.18 | ₱2,473 |
| 171 | Crispin | $38.05 | ₱2,342 |
| 154 | Iron Hands ex | $34.35 | ₱2,114 |
| 158 | Iron Crown ex | $34.00 | ₱2,092 |
| 169 | Terapagos ex | $32.47 | ₱1,998 |
| 163 | Pecharunt ex | $29.66 | ₱1,825 |
| 173 | Janine's Secret Art | $24.98 | ₱1,537 |
| 175 | Lacey | $24.13 | ₱1,485 |
| 159 | Sandy Shocks ex | $23.28 | ₱1,433 |
| 174 | Kieran | $20.44 | ₱1,258 |
| 145 | Teal Mask Ogerpon ex | $19.72 | ₱1,214 |
| 148 | Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex | $19.27 | ₱1,186 |
| 160 | Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex | $17.43 | ₱1,073 |
| 172 | Drayton | $15.31 | ₱942 |
| 152 | Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex | $15.21 | ₱936 |
| 170 | Amarys | $15.10 | ₱929 |
Pool average: ₱8,505. Pool median: ₱2,518. The mean is heavily skewed by Umbreon ex — if you pull a random SIR, you are most likely to get a card worth ₱923–₱3,077, not the ₱8,505 average.
Hyper Rare (⭐) — #176–180
5 cards. Gold rainbow cards. Pull rate approximately 0.56% (~1 in 180 packs). Pikachu ex at ₱3,692 is the only standout; the rest are ₱363–₱649.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 179 | Pikachu ex | $60.00 | ₱3,692 |
| 177 | Teal Mask Ogerpon ex | $10.55 | ₱649 |
| 180 | Terapagos ex | $10.52 | ₱647 |
| 176 | Iron Leaves ex | $6.49 | ₱399 |
| 178 | Walking Wake ex | $5.90 | ₱363 |
Pool average: ₱1,150. Median: ₱647.
Double Rares (★★ ex) — 25 ex cards in set
Approximately 18% of packs. The Eeveelution ex cards command a premium — Eevee ex, Flareon ex, Jolteon ex all at ₱246–₱347.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | Eevee ex | $5.64 | ₱347 |
| 14 | Flareon ex | $5.14 | ₱316 |
| 60 | Umbreon ex | $5.00 | ₱308 |
| 30 | Jolteon ex | $4.44 | ₱273 |
| 34 | Espeon ex | $4.03 | ₱248 |
| 41 | Sylveon ex | $3.98 | ₱245 |
| 6 | Leafeon ex | $3.93 | ₱242 |
| 26 | Glaceon ex | $3.75 | ₱231 |
| 12 | Teal Mask Ogerpon ex | $3.01 | ₱185 |
| 28 | Pikachu ex | $2.84 | ₱175 |
| 76 | Snorlax ex | $2.65 | ₱163 |
| 23 | Vaporeon ex | $2.75 | ₱169 |
| 73 | Dragapult ex | $2.24 | ₱138 |
| 82 | Lugia ex | $2.16 | ₱133 |
| 11 | Hydrapple ex | $1.93 | ₱119 |
| 64 | Tyranitar ex | $1.76 | ₱108 |
| 31 | Iron Hands ex | $1.64 | ₱101 |
| 51 | Lucario ex | $1.58 | ₱97 |
| 56 | Sandy Shocks ex | $1.34 | ₱82 |
| 27 | Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex | $1.32 | ₱81 |
| 58 | Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex | $1.29 | ₱79 |
| 92 | Terapagos ex | $1.20 | ₱74 |
| 17 | Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex | $1.17 | ₱72 |
| 80 | Dudunsparce | $1.13 | ₱70 |
| 91 | Noivern ex | $0.99 | ₱61 |
Pool average: ₱164. Median: ₱138.
Ultra Rare Trainer Full Art (UR) — #132–143
12 trainer character art cards. Pull rate approximately 7.69% (~1 in 13 packs). These hit frequently but are low value — most are ₱61–₱129.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | Eri | $2.09 | ₱129 |
| 137 | Friends in Paldea | $1.93 | ₱119 |
| 143 | Tyme | $1.87 | ₱115 |
| 140 | Mela | $1.84 | ₱113 |
| 134 | Atticus | $1.62 | ₱100 |
| 133 | Atticus | $1.61 | ₱99 |
| 142 | Raifort | $1.59 | ₱98 |
| 132 | Amarys | $1.58 | ₱97 |
| 139 | Larry's Skill | $1.46 | ₱90 |
| 141 | Ortega | $1.29 | ₱79 |
| 135 | Brassius | $1.02 | ₱63 |
| 138 | Giacomo | $0.99 | ₱61 |
Pool average: ₱97. Pulling an Ultra Rare trainer is one of the weakest hits in this set.
ACE SPEC Rare — #116, 117, 119, 128, 129, 131
6 reprinted ACE SPEC trainer cards. Pull rate approximately 4.76% (~1 in 21 packs). Playable cards but reprint status keeps prices low.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | Maximum Belt | $1.52 | ₱94 |
| 119 | Prime Catcher | $1.47 | ₱90 |
| 128 | Scoop Up Cyclone | $1.45 | ₱89 |
| 129 | Sparkling Crystal | $1.27 | ₱78 |
| 116 | Max Rod | $1.22 | ₱75 |
| 131 | Treasure Tracker | $0.96 | ₱59 |
Pool average: ₱81.
Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value
The top 10 are all SIRs — and all 8 Eeveelution ex SIRs appear in the list. Umbreon ex at ₱87,307 is in a tier by itself: it is worth more than the next three most expensive SIRs combined.
Expected Value per Pack
Using current PriceCharting market prices weighted by pull rates, here is where the expected value of each pack comes from:
| Component | Pull Rate | Pool Avg (USD) | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulk (commons + uncommons) | 100% | $0.80 | $0.80 |
| Regular Reverse Holo | 61.7% | $1.60 | $0.99 |
| Poke Ball Foil | 33.3% | $0.83 | $0.28 |
| Master Ball Foil | 5.0% | $8.94 | $0.45 |
| Standard Rare (★) | 66.8% | $0.99 | $0.66 |
| Double Rare (★★ ex) | 18.0% | $2.66 | $0.48 |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 4.76% | $1.31 | $0.06 |
| Ultra Rare Trainer (UR) | 7.69% | $1.57 | $0.12 |
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | 2.22% | $138.21 | $3.07 |
| Hyper Rare (⭐) | 0.56% | $18.69 | $0.10 |
SIR contributes $3.07 of $7.01 EV (44%) — almost entirely driven by Umbreon ex ($1,419) inflating the pool average. Without Umbreon ex, SIR contribution would drop to ~$1.07/pack.
Monte Carlo: What Actually Happens
The charts below show results from 100,000 simulated openings, drawing from the actual card pool prices and pull rates. Simulation prices are in USD; your local value depends on the current exchange rate.
Each bar = $10 profit/loss range. ··· = empty gap. The +$1355 cluster is hitting Umbreon ex SIR. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), May 2026.
Win / Loss summary across all formats
| Scenario | Cost (USD) | Win % | Loss % | Median P/L | P5 (bad luck) | P95 (good luck) | Avg Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pack — retail (~$5.08) | $5.08 | 13.2% | 86.8% | −$2 | −$3 | +$3 | 1.38× |
| Bundle — retail (~$30.48) | $30.48 | 20.3% | 79.7% | −$8 | −$13 | +$78 | 1.39× |
| ETB — retail (~$45.72) | $45.72 | 24.5% | 75.5% | −$11 | −$18 | +$166 | 1.39× |
| Pack — market (~$16.74) | $16.74 | 3.1% | 96.9% | −$13 | −$15 | −$8 | 0.42× |
| Bundle — market (~$79.12) | $79.12 | 6.7% | 93.3% | −$57 | −$62 | +$30 | 0.54× |
| ETB — market (~$159.18) | $159.18 | 6.3% | 93.7% | −$125 | −$132 | +$52 | 0.40× |
The Break-Even Price
What You Should Actually Do
If you want Umbreon ex SIR specifically
Buy the single. At ₱87,307, it sounds expensive — but opening packs to find it costs far more. The expected cost to pull any SIR is ~45 packs (₱46,358 at market). To hit Umbreon ex specifically — 1 of 32 SIRs — you would need approximately 1,440 packs on average. Use the tcgTalk price comparison to find the best current Philippine price for the single.
If you want to open for fun
Open at Philippine retail and accept the odds. The ETB at retail gives a 24.5% win rate — about 1 in 4 sessions turns a profit. Set a firm budget before you start. Buy from Shopee PH / Lazada PH / Datablitz / local card shops. Look for bundles priced near the break-even bundle price (~₱2,588) to be roughly EV-neutral.
If you already hold sealed product
Prismatic Evolutions sealed remains elevated above EV. The ETB at ₱9,796 market is 2.52× break-even — a significant premium. If you hold ETBs bought at retail (~₱2,814), you are sitting on roughly 3.5× paper return. The sealed premium tends to compress over 12–24 months as print runs reach the market.
Buy Prismatic Evolutions on TCGPlayer
Frequently Asked Questions
Is it worth opening Prismatic Evolutions packs in the Philippines?
At retail prices (~₱313/pack), yes mathematically — EV is ~₱431 per pack (1.38×). But only 13.2% of individual packs return a profit. At market prices (₱1,030/pack), opening is 0.42× EV — deeply negative. For most collectors, buying singles is better value.
What is the most expensive Prismatic Evolutions card?
Umbreon ex SIR (#161) at approximately ₱87,307. It is in a tier by itself — the next card, Sylveon ex SIR (#156), is ₱24,031. All 8 Eeveelution SIRs exceed ₱11,262.
Does Prismatic Evolutions have a booster box?
No — Prismatic Evolutions (SV8.5) does not have a traditional 36-pack booster box. The primary formats are the Booster Pack (1 pack), Booster Bundle (6 packs), and Elite Trainer Box (9 packs).
What is the Poke Ball vs Master Ball foil in Prismatic Evolutions?
Two foil patterns that replace the standard reverse holo in ~38% of packs. Poke Ball foils appear in 1 in 3 packs (~₱51 avg) and Master Ball foils in 1 in 20 packs (~₱550 avg). If you pull a Master Ball foil, check immediately if it's Umbreon (#59) at ~₱4,947.
Disclaimer: All card prices from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of May 2026. PHP values use live exchange rates. Pull rates are community estimates from 1,200 tracked packs. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulations, seed 42. This is not financial advice.