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GuidesSet GuidesWorth Opening

Temporal Forces Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?

Every card price, every rarity tier, Ace Spec pull rates, and a Monte Carlo simulation across 100,000 openings in Philippine Peso — know exactly what you're buying before you open.

Temporal Forces Pack Opening: Is It Worth It?
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EV per Pack (USD)
$6.21
₱ 387 PHP
Break-even Pack
₱ 387
~$6.21 USD
Break-even Bundle
₱ 2,322
~$37.24 USD · 6 packs
Break-even Box
₱ 13,928
~$223.42 USD · 36 packs
Win Rate · Pack
10.1%
714
Loss rate: 89.9%
Win Rate · Bundle
6.7%
5,025
Loss rate: 93.3%
Win Rate · Box
10.3%
19,014
Loss rate: 89.7%
Win Rate · Bundle
41.9%
2,045
Loss rate: 58.1%
Win Rate · Box
62%
12,273
Loss rate: 38%

Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP values use live exchange rates. Temporal Forces (SV05) released March 2024 — prices have largely settled, though notable IRs like Gastly remain elevated.


The Short Answer

Whether opening Temporal Forces is worth it depends almost entirely on what you pay per pack. The expected value per pack is 387 — below US secondary market pricing at every product format.

ProductMarket Price (PHP)Card EVReturnVerdict
Booster Pack 714 3870.54×Significantly below EV
Booster Bundle (6) 5,025 2,3220.46×Significantly below EV
Booster Box (36) 19,014 13,9280.73×Below EV
Break-even 387/pack 3871.0×Cards cover cost on average

Card Prices by Rarity

Hyper Rare (◇★) — #213–218

6 cards. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 139 packs. Pool average: 670.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
214Gouging Fire ex$14.97 933
218Raging Bolt ex$12.76 795
215Walking Wake ex$10.99 685
216Iron Crown ex$8.94 557
217Iron Boulder ex$8.57 534
213Iron Leaves ex$8.25 514

Special Illustration Rare (★★★ SIR) — #203–212

10 cards. Pull rate approximately ~1 in 86 packs. Morty's Conviction and Raging Bolt ex lead the pool at 4,479 and 4,318.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
211Morty's Conviction$71.84 4,479
208Raging Bolt ex$69.27 4,318
204Gouging Fire ex$55.56 3,464
205Walking Wake ex$52.57 3,277
206Iron Crown ex$50.00 3,117
203Iron Leaves ex$35.80 2,232
209Bianca's Devotion$29.24 1,823
207Iron Boulder ex$24.99 1,558
210Eri$18.04 1,125
212Salvatore$17.44 1,087

Pool average: 2,648. Pool median: 2,674.

Illustration Rare (★ IR) — #163–184

22 cards. Expected roughly once every 13 packs (7.7%). Gastly #177 at 5,801 dominates this pool.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)Notes
177Gastly$93.06 5,801Chase IR — dominant pool value
166Sawsbuck$50.00 3,117Fan favourite seasonal art
183Cinccino$40.43 2,520
165Deerling$40.23 2,508Pairs with Sawsbuck
167Litten$37.73 2,352Popular starter
178Metagross$33.00 2,057
176Arbok$29.00 1,808
184Drampa$28.00 1,746
180Lickitung$25.35 1,580
182Minccino$24.98 1,557
164Grotle$17.20 1,072
168Snom$16.25 1,013
171Reuniclus$15.12 943
181Chatot$11.51 718
163Shiftry$11.46 714
174Excadrill$11.43 713
175Mudsdale$9.99 623
173Relicanth$9.85 614
169Charjabug$8.68 541
172Cutiefly$8.50 530
170Bronzor$7.99 498
179Meltan$6.21 387

Pool average: 1,519. Pool median: 1,043. Gastly alone skews the average — without it, the typical IR pull is worth 1,315 or less.

Ultra Rare (★★) — #185–202

18 cards. Expected roughly once every 15 packs (6.7%). Gengar ex #193 at 3,307 is the standout — the other 17 range from 87 to 457.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
193Gengar ex$53.04 3,307
198Ciphermaniac's Codebreaking$7.33 457
185Torterra ex$4.61 287
196Raging Bolt ex$4.48 279
201Morty's Conviction$3.86 241
195Scizor ex$3.74 233
202Salvatore$3.36 209
197Bianca's Devotion$3.18 198
188Gouging Fire ex$3.13 195
187Incineroar ex$3.00 187
199Eri$3.00 187
194Farigiraf ex$2.29 143
200Explorer's Guidance$2.20 137
189Walking Wake ex$2.17 135
191Iron Crown ex$1.99 124
190Wugtrio ex$1.99 124
186Iron Leaves ex$1.78 111
192Iron Boulder ex$1.40 87

ACE SPEC Rare — #152, #153, #157, #161, #162

5 cards. Pull rate approximately ~1 in 20 packs. Hero's Cape and Neo Upper Energy carry the pool — buy them as singles if needed.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)Notes
162Neo Upper Energy$17.74 1,106Solid competitive demand
152Hero's Cape$16.28 1,015Most-played ACE SPEC in format
153Master Ball$2.11 132
161Mist Energy$1.74 108
157Prime Catcher$1.50 94

Double Rare (★★ ex) — 15 ex cards

Expected roughly once every 5 packs (21%). Pool average: 85. Gengar ex #104 at 391 stands out; the other 14 range from 7.48 to 112.

#CardPrice (USD)Price (PHP)
104Gengar ex$6.27 391
058Raging Bolt ex$1.79 112
037Incineroar ex$1.45 90
005Torterra ex$1.41 88
076Iron Boulder ex$1.15 72
025Flutter Mane ex$1.00 62
045Walking Wake ex$1.00 62
011Iron Leaves ex$1.00 62
069Scizor ex$1.00 62
033Gouging Fire ex$0.99 62
053Farigiraf ex$0.99 62
083Iron Crown ex$0.98 61
061Wugtrio ex$0.75 47
085Iron Treads ex$0.48 30
088Okidogi ex$0.12 7.48

Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value

#177 · IR
Gastly
5,801
$93 USD
#211 · SIR
Morty's Conviction
4,479
$72 USD
#208 · SIR
Raging Bolt ex
4,318
$69 USD
#204 · SIR
Gouging Fire ex
3,464
$56 USD
#193 · UR
Gengar ex
3,307
$53 USD
#205 · SIR
Walking Wake ex
3,277
$53 USD
#206 · SIR
Iron Crown ex
3,117
$50 USD
#166 · IR
Sawsbuck
3,117
$50 USD
#183 · IR
Cinccino
2,520
$40 USD
#165 · IR
Deerling
2,508
$40 USD

Temporal Forces is unusual compared to most SV sets — several of the top 10 cards by value are Illustration Rares, not just SIRs. Gastly #177 at 5,801 is in a category of its own.


Expected Value Per Pack

ComponentPull RatePool Avg (USD)EV Contribution
Bulk (commons + uncommons)100%$0.80$0.80
Reverse Holo slot100%$1.60$1.60
Standard Rare (★)57.76%$0.50$0.29
Double Rare (★★ ex)21.00%$1.36$0.29
ACE SPEC Rare5.00%$7.87$0.39
Ultra Rare (#185–202)6.67%$5.92$0.39
Illustration Rare (#163–184)7.69%$24.36$1.87
Special Illustration Rare (#203–212)1.16%$42.48$0.49
Hyper Rare (#213–218)0.72%$10.75$0.08
Total EV per pack
$6.21 USD 387 PHP

Monte Carlo: What Really Happens

Results from 100,000 simulated openings, drawing from the actual card pool prices and pull rates. Chart data is in USD; PHP values depend on the live exchange rate.

Loss rate
89.7%
of 100,000 simulated openings
Win rate
10.3%
at $305 US market price
P5 (bad luck)
-165
Median P/L
-90
P95 (good luck)
+33
Win threshold
$0
← LossProfit / Loss DistributionWin →

Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), August 2026.

Win / Loss summary across all scenarios

ScenarioCost (USD)Win %Loss %Median P/LP5 (bad luck)P95 (good luck)Avg Return
Pack — market (~$11.45)$11.4510.1%89.9%−$9−$9+$90.54×
Bundle — market (~$80.61)$80.616.7%93.3%−$53−$63+$80.46×
Box — market (~$305.00)$30510.3%89.7%−$90−$165+$330.73×
Bundle — value (~$32.81)$32.8141.9%58.1%−$5−$15+$571.14×
Box — value (~$196.88)$196.8862%38%+$17−$57+$1401.13×

The Break-Even Price

Break-even pack
387
≈ $6.21 USD
Break-even bundle (6 packs)
2,322
≈ $37.24 USD
Break-even box (36 packs)
13,928
≈ $223.42 USD · market: 19,014

What You Should Actually Do

If you want a specific card

Buy the single. For Gastly IR at 5,801, the expected cost to pull it through pack opening far exceeds the current market price. Use tcgTalk price comparison to find the best current price.

If you want to open packs

Only open at 341 387 per pack or below. Temporal Forces is a 2024 set — older stock may be available at better prices from local game stores or online sellers clearing inventory. At current market prices ( 714/pack), you are getting 54 cents of value per dollar spent.

Buy Temporal Forces on TCGPlayer

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Compare prices for every IR, SIR, ACE SPEC, and ex card across markets — updated daily so you know you're paying the right price.
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Frequently Asked Questions

Is it worth opening Temporal Forces packs in the Philippines?

Only at prices near or below break-even (~ 387/pack). At market prices ( 714/pack), opening is 0.54× EV — deeply negative. For most collectors, buying singles is better value.

What is the most expensive Temporal Forces card in PHP right now?

Gastly IR (#177) at approximately 5,801, followed by Morty's Conviction SIR (#211) at 4,479 and Raging Bolt ex SIR (#208) at 4,318. Unlike most SV sets, the top cards are Illustration Rares, not SIRs.

What are the pull rates for Temporal Forces?

Based on community mass opening data (8,000+ packs): Hyper Rare ~0.72% (1 in ~139 packs), SIR ~1.16% (1 in ~86 packs), IR ~7.69% (1 in ~13 packs), Ultra Rare ~6.67% (1 in ~15 packs), ACE SPEC ~5% (1 in ~20 packs), Double Rare ~21% (1 in ~5 packs).

Disclaimer: All card prices from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of August 2026. PHP values use live exchange rates. Pull rates are community estimates from Temporal Forces mass opening data (8,000+ packs). Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulations. This is not financial advice.

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