500-Pack Opening: The Real Data
A documented 500-pack opening of Stellar Crown produced the results below. This is real data from a single large opening session — not theoretical averages. It provides the most reliable community-level pull rate estimate available for this set.
What was opened
- 500 booster packs total
- Multiple booster boxes and ETBs combined
- Stellar Crown is a compact set at 175 cards total (142 main + 33 secret rares)
- One of the smallest English sets since 2018's Forbidden Light
Hits pulled
- 82 EX cards (~1 in 6 packs)
- 26 Ace Specs (~1 in 19 packs) — 3 unique Ace Specs: Grand Tree, Sparkling Crystal, Deluxe Bomb
- 13 Full Art Trainers (~1 in 38 packs) — 4 trainers: Brier, Crispen, Kofu, Lacy
- 19 Full Art Pokémon (~1 in 26 packs)
- 37 Illustration Rares (~1 in 13 packs) — covering all 13 IRs in the set
- 2 Gold cards (~1 in 250 packs) — both Tragos EX Gold
- 5 SIRs (~1 in 100 packs) — 3× Tragos EX SIR, 1× Galvantula EX SIR, 1× Dash Bun SIR
Hit rate breakdown
- EX: ~16% (1 in ~6 packs)
- IR: ~7.4% (1 in ~13 packs)
- Ace Spec: ~5.2% (1 in ~19 packs)
- Full Art Pokémon: ~3.8% (1 in ~26 packs)
- Full Art Trainer: ~2.6% (1 in ~38 packs)
- Gold: ~0.4% (1 in ~250 packs)
- SIR: ~1% (1 in ~100 packs)
Key takeaway: Five SIRs from 500 packs tracks closely with general SV era SIR rates. Notably, Tragos EX dominated the SIR slots — 3 of 5 SIRs were Tragos EX, consistent with it being one of the most-seeded SIRs in the set. None of the three SIRs that appeared (Tragos EX, Galvantula EX, Dash Bun) were the Lacy SIR or Hydrapple SIR, suggesting those may be seeded less frequently.
Stellar Crown SIR Pull Rates: What the Numbers Say
The Pokemon Company does not publish official pull rates for any set, including Stellar Crown. The estimates below are derived from the 500-pack opening data above, cross-referenced with community aggregate data from global openings. Use these as planning benchmarks, not guarantees.
| Card Type | Est. Per Pack | Per ETB (9 packs) | Per Booster Box (36 packs) | Variance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare (SIR) | ~1 in 100 | ~1 in 11 ETBs | ~1 per 3 boxes | Very high — clustering across cases is common |
| Gold Card | ~1 in 250 | ~1 in 28 ETBs | ~1 per 7 boxes | Extremely high — expect none from most cases |
| Full Art Pokémon (FA) | ~1 in 26 | ~0.35 per ETB | ~1.4 per box | Moderate — roughly 1 per box on average |
| Full Art Trainer | ~1 in 38 | ~0.24 per ETB | ~1 per box | Moderate — usually 1 per box |
| Ace Spec | ~1 in 19 | ~0.47 per ETB | ~1.9 per box | Low-moderate — fairly consistent |
| Illustration Rare (IR) | ~1 in 13 | ~0.7 per ETB | ~2.8 per box | Low — the most consistent high-rarity hit |
| EX (Double Rare) | ~1 in 6 | ~1.5 per ETB | ~6 per box | Low — very consistent |
Why variance still matters at 500 packs
Even a 500-pack sample has meaningful variance for the rarest cards. The key dynamics to understand:
- SIRs are seeded across print runs — adjacent cases can produce wildly different results
- Three of five SIRs pulled were the same card (Tragos EX SIR), which indicates unequal seeding rates across the six SIRs in the set
- Zero Lacy SIRs and zero Hydrapple SIRs in 500 packs suggests those are seeded less frequently than Tragos EX SIR
- Opening one ETB or one box tells you almost nothing about underlying rates — it is a single data point in a high-variance system
Stellar Crown vs other SV era sets
Stellar Crown's ~1 in 100 SIR rate is consistent with other Scarlet & Violet era sets. The key distinction is the smaller set size: with only 6 SIRs total (versus 10+ in larger sets), hitting a specific SIR like Lacy is statistically harder. You are competing against a smaller pool of SIRs but the per-pack rate is similar.
Bulbasaur & Squirtle IRs: Why They're the Top Chase
Among Stellar Crown's 13 Illustration Rares, two stand out as the clear collector chase targets: the Bulbasaur IR and the Squirtle IR. Both feature illustration scenes with Pidgeys — a throwback art style that evokes early-era Pokémon illustration sensibility.
Why these two IRs command attention
- Bulbasaur and Squirtle are original starter Pokémon with enormous collector nostalgia value
- The Pidgey illustrations give both cards a distinctive, scene-based composition unlike standard EX artwork
- These are their first appearances in Stellar Crown — Blastoise EX and Venusaur EX also appear (their first English appearance from Japanese special decks), adding context to the starter theme
- IRs at this rarity tier pull roughly 1 in 13 packs overall, but with 13 IRs in the set, any specific IR pulls roughly 1 in 169 packs
Pull data from 500 packs
- 37 total IRs pulled across 500 packs (~1 in 13 per pack overall)
- 3× Bulbasaur IR — pulled more frequently than most other IRs in this sample
- 2× Squirtle IR
- All 13 unique IRs in the set were represented across the 500-pack opening
With 13 IRs in the set and uniform seeding, you would expect roughly 2–3 copies of each IR per 500 packs. The Bulbasaur and Squirtle results fall within normal variance. Neither card appears to be seeded more frequently — their collector demand comes purely from the artwork and nostalgia, not a higher pull rate.
What this means for collectors
If you want the Bulbasaur IR or Squirtle IR specifically, buying singles is far more reliable than opening. At any given IR pull rate of ~1 in 169 packs for a specific card, the expected packs needed to guarantee one copy is high. Check the tcgTalk price comparison for current Stellar Crown IR listings from Singapore sellers.
Tragos EX SIR: Debut Card Pull Rates
Stellar Crown marks the first-ever Tragos card in the Pokémon Trading Card Game. Tragos — a new Generation IX Pokémon — makes its TCG debut here with a full EX treatment, a Gold card, and an SIR. For collectors tracking first appearances, this is a significant set.
Tragos EX pull data from 500 packs
- Tragos EX SIR: 3 copies pulled (the most of any SIR in this opening)
- Tragos EX Gold: 2 copies pulled (~1 in 250 packs)
- Regular Tragos EX: pulled multiple times at standard Double Rare rates (~1 in 6 packs)
Why Tragos EX SIR pulled most frequently
Three of the five SIRs from this opening were Tragos EX SIR. This could indicate one of two things: Tragos EX SIR is seeded at a higher rate than the other five SIRs, or this particular opening happened to cluster Tragos SIRs by chance. At 500 packs, the latter is plausible — but the pattern is consistent with The Pokemon Company seeding debut cards more heavily to drive set identity.
Collector context for first-edition debut cards
- First TCG appearances of new Pokémon species have historically held collector value longer than reprints
- Tragos as a Gen IX debut card makes first-edition, low-population PSA 10 copies of the SIR particularly interesting to long-term collectors
- The Gold Tragos EX — pulled twice from 500 packs — is the rarest Tragos card in this set and may see slower price discovery given its extreme pull rarity
Lacy SIR: The Hardest Trainer to Pull
Stellar Crown contains two trainer SIRs: Brier and Lacy. Of the two, Lacy is expected to be the bigger collector chase — and the 500-pack opening data supports the hypothesis that Lacy SIR is seeded less frequently than Tragos EX SIR.
The data on Lacy SIR
- Zero Lacy SIRs were pulled in 500 packs
- Zero Brier SIRs were pulled in 500 packs
- The five SIRs pulled were: 3× Tragos EX SIR, 1× Galvantula EX SIR, 1× Dash Bun SIR
- This means all three non-Pokémon SIRs (Lacy, Brier, Hydrapple — or the two trainer SIRs) went unrepresented across 500 packs
What this suggests about seeding
Getting zero trainer SIRs from 500 packs is notable. If all six SIRs were seeded equally, you would statistically expect at least one Lacy or Brier SIR to appear. This outcome either reflects bad luck — always possible — or that trainer SIRs are seeded at a lower rate than Pokémon SIRs in Stellar Crown. More aggregate data is needed to confirm this, but collectors should treat Lacy SIR as potentially rarer than the overall 1-in-100 SIR rate implies.
Why Lacy SIR is the expected trainer chase
- Lacy is a popular character from the Scarlet & Violet game with strong fan following
- Trainer SIRs in recent SV era sets (Lacey, Iono, Penny, Crispen) have consistently been the highest-demand and highest-value SIRs in their respective sets
- Low pull data from early openings typically drives collector demand and secondary market activity before supply normalises
If Lacy SIR is on your want list, buying a raw or graded copy directly is significantly more cost-effective than opening packs to chase it. Track listings at tcgTalk price comparison.
What This Means For Singapore Collectors
If you want a specific Stellar Crown SIR or IR
Buy the single. The expected packs to pull any specific SIR is approximately 600 packs (100 packs per SIR × 6 SIRs). For Lacy SIR specifically, based on this opening data, the effective rate may be meaningfully higher. Buying the card outright — whether raw or graded — is the rational choice for targeted collecting. Use tcgTalk price comparison to find current Singapore listings.
If you want to open packs
Set a clear budget before you start and treat it as entertainment spend — not investment. Stellar Crown is a satisfying set to open: EX hits come roughly every 6 packs, IRs every 13, and Ace Specs every 19. A single booster box will typically produce 6 EXs, 3 IRs, 2 Ace Specs, and 1–2 full arts. That is a solid hit density even without an SIR. Open for the experience of the set, not to chase specific cards.
If you are buying sealed for investment
Stellar Crown's compact size — one of the smallest sets since Forbidden Light — means lower total print run volume compared to mega-sets like Surging Sparks or Prismatic Evolutions. Smaller print runs historically correlate with stronger sealed appreciation over 3–5 year horizons. Booster boxes bought at or near retail represent the most efficient sealed holding. Do not pay significant premiums over retail on a speculative basis.
Grading chase cards from Stellar Crown
For first-appearance collector pieces — particularly Tragos EX SIR and Lacy SIR — PSA 10 population counts will grow slowly given the low pull rates. Inspect cards carefully before submitting: check centering, corners, and surface condition under bright directed light. Gold cards (Tragos EX Gold) at ~1 in 250 packs are worth grading if pulled in strong condition.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the SIR pull rates in Stellar Crown?
Based on a documented 500-pack opening, Stellar Crown produced 5 SIRs — an average of approximately 1 SIR per 100 packs. The Pokemon Company does not publish official pull rates, and variance is significant: some cases will produce more, others fewer. Opening 36 packs (one booster box) gives you roughly a 30% chance of hitting any SIR.
Is Stellar Crown worth opening?
For the experience, yes — Stellar Crown is a compact, well-designed set with appealing IRs and debut cards like Tragos EX. Financially, buying singles is almost always cheaper than opening if you want a specific chase card. Open because you enjoy it, not because you expect returns.
What are the biggest chases in Stellar Crown?
The top chases in Stellar Crown are the Bulbasaur and Squirtle IRs (nostalgic starter illustrations), the Lacy SIR (expected most valuable trainer SIR), and the Tragos EX SIR (debut card for a brand-new Pokémon). The Galvantula EX SIR and the Gold Tragos EX also attract collector interest given their extreme rarity.
Are Stellar Crown packs hard to find in Singapore?
Stellar Crown is a smaller English set, which means total product volume is lower than major sets. ETBs and booster boxes were available at most Singapore TCG shops at release but sold through quickly. Singles from Stellar Crown remain consistently available through the Singapore collector community.
How many packs are in a Stellar Crown ETB vs booster box?
A standard Stellar Crown ETB contains 9 booster packs plus a promo card and accessories. A booster box contains 36 packs. At average SIR rates of 1 in 100 packs, one ETB gives roughly a 9% chance of hitting any SIR, while one booster box gives roughly a 30% chance. Neither format guarantees a hit — both use identical booster packs with the same per-pack pull rates.
Looking for Stellar Crown singles without the opening gamble? Browse Lacy SIR, Tragos EX SIR, Bulbasaur IR, Squirtle IR, and all Stellar Crown listings from Singapore collectors at tcgTalk Price Comparison.
Disclaimer: Pull rates are community estimates derived from a documented 500-pack opening and aggregate data. The Pokemon Company does not publish official pull rates for any set. Seeding rates for individual cards within a rarity tier may vary. All data reflects a single opening session and should not be treated as a definitive statistical sample. This is not financial advice.