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Configurations
3
Odds Rows
637
Autographs
28
Base Parallels
147
2025 Topps Chrome Platinum55 Baseball Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
Product configuration
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Hobby · Autographs
43%
chance of at least one Autographs across 24 packs
≈ 0.56 expectedbase 1 in 43≈ 30 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
Every parallel in Hobby
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Base Refractor | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Base Refractor | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Base Refractor | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Base Refractor | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Base Refractor | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Base Topps Refractor | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Base Topps Refractor | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Base Topps Refractor | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Base Topps Refractor | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Base Topps Refractor | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Base X-Fractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Base X-Fractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Base X-Fractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Base X-Fractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Base X-Fractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Fuchsia Shimmer Refractor | 1:42 | 44% | 0.57 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Fuchsia Shimmer Refractor | 1:42 | 44% | 0.57 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Fuchsia Shimmer Refractor | 1:42 | 44% | 0.57 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Fuchsia Shimmer Refractor | 1:42 | 44% | 0.57 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Fuchsia Shimmer Refractor | 1:42 | 44% | 0.57 |
| Base Vibrations Refractor | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Base Vibrations Refractor | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Base Vibrations Refractor | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Base Vibrations Refractor | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Base Vibrations Refractor | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Base Blue Vibrations Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Speckle Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Blue Vibrations Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Speckle Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Blue Vibrations Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Speckle Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Blue Vibrations Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Speckle Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Blue Vibrations Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Speckle Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Base Gold Wave Refractor | 1:84 | 25% | 0.29 |
| Base Gold Wave Refractor | 1:84 | 25% | 0.29 |
| Base Gold Wave Refractor | 1:84 | 25% | 0.29 |
| Base Gold Wave Refractor | 1:84 | 25% | 0.29 |
| Base Gold Wave Refractor | 1:84 | 25% | 0.29 |
| Base Platinum Toile White/Green Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Wave Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Vibrations Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Platinum Toile White/Green Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Wave Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Vibrations Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Platinum Toile White/Green Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Wave Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Vibrations Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Platinum Toile White/Green Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Wave Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Vibrations Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Platinum Toile White/Green Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Wave Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Green Vibrations Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Rose Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Rose Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Rose Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Rose Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Rose Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Rose Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Orange Wave Refractor | 1:168 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Base Orange Wave Refractor | 1:168 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Base Orange Wave Refractor | 1:168 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Base Orange Wave Refractor | 1:168 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Base Orange Wave Refractor | 1:168 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Base Diamond Etch Refractor | 1:206 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Base Diamond Etch Refractor | 1:206 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Base Diamond Etch Refractor | 1:206 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Base Diamond Etch Refractor | 1:206 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Base Diamond Etch Refractor | 1:206 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Base Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Gold Vibrations Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Gold Vibrations Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Gold Vibrations Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Gold Vibrations Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Gold Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Gold Vibrations Refractor | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Orange Vibrations Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Orange Vibrations Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Orange Vibrations Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Orange Vibrations Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Orange Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Orange Vibrations Refractor | 1:454 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Base Red Lava Refractor | 1:839 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Base Red Lava Refractor | 1:839 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Base Red Lava Refractor | 1:839 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Base Red Lava Refractor | 1:839 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Base Red Lava Refractor | 1:839 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Base Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Vibrations Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Vibrations Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Vibrations Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Vibrations Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Black Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Black Vibrations Refractor | 1:1,133 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Vibrations Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Vibrations Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Vibrations Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Vibrations Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Platinum Toile Cream/Red Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Vibrations Refractor | 1:2,266 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| 1955 Cards that Never Were Refractor | 1:2,400 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| 1955 Topps City Variation Chrome Packs Refractor | 1:2,400 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Inserts | |||
| Base | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Base | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Base | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Base | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Base | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| 1955 World Series | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| 1955 Rails and Sails | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| 1955 Topps Double Headers | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Base Blue Mini-Diamond | 1:57 | 35% | 0.42 |
| Base Blue Mini-Diamond | 1:57 | 35% | 0.42 |
| Base Blue Mini-Diamond | 1:57 | 35% | 0.42 |
| Base Blue Mini-Diamond | 1:57 | 35% | 0.42 |
| Base Blue Mini-Diamond | 1:57 | 35% | 0.42 |
| 1955 Topps City Variation Chrome Packs | 1:60 | 33% | 0.40 |
| 1955 Cards that Never Were | 1:240 | 9.5% | 0.10 |
| Base Image Variation | 1:354 | 6.6% | 0.07 |
| 1955 Rails and Sails Green | 1:2,861 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| 1955 Topps Double Headers Green | 1:2,861 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| 1955 Rails and Sails Gold | 1:5,664 | 0.4% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps Double Headers Gold | 1:5,664 | 0.4% | 0 |
| 1955 World Series Green | 1:5,721 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Base Superfractor | 1:11,327 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Base Superfractor | 1:11,327 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Base Superfractor | 1:11,327 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Base Superfractor | 1:11,327 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Base Superfractor | 1:11,327 | 0.2% | 0 |
| 1955 Rails and Sails Orange | 1:11,327 | 0.2% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps Double Headers Orange | 1:11,327 | 0.2% | 0 |
| 1955 World Series Gold | 1:11,327 | 0.2% | 0 |
| 1955 World Series Orange | 1:22,653 | 0.1% | 0 |
| 1955 Employee SP | 1:22,653 | 0.1% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps City Variation Chrome Packs Superfractor | 1:26,279 | 0.1% | 0 |
| 1955 Rails and Sails Black | 1:28,316 | 0.1% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps Double Headers Black | 1:28,316 | 0.1% | 0 |
| 1955 Rails and Sails Red | 1:56,631 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps Double Headers Red | 1:56,631 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1955 World Series Black | 1:56,631 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1955 Cards that Never Were Superfractor | 1:106,497 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1955 World Series Red | 1:113,262 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Base Image Variation Superfractor | 1:141,577 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1955 Rails and Sails Superfractor | 1:283,154 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps Double Headers Superfractor | 1:283,154 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1955 World Series Superfractor | 1:566,307 | 0.0% | 0 |
| 1955 Employee SP Superfractor | 1:566,307 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Autographs | |||
| Autographs | 1:43 | 43% | 0.56 |
| Autographs | 1:43 | 43% | 0.56 |
| Autographs Blue Prism | 1:169 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Autographs Blue Prism | 1:169 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Autographs Refractor | 1:183 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Autographs Refractor | 1:183 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Autographs Aqua | 1:236 | 9.7% | 0.10 |
| Autographs Aqua | 1:236 | 9.7% | 0.10 |
| Autographs Platinum Toile Cream/Blue | 1:315 | 7.3% | 0.08 |
| Autographs Platinum Toile Cream/Blue | 1:315 | 7.3% | 0.08 |
| Autographs Diamond Etch Refractor | 1:533 | 4.4% | 0.05 |
| Autographs Diamond Etch Refractor | 1:533 | 4.4% | 0.05 |
| Autographs Gold | 1:539 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Autographs Gold | 1:539 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Autographs Orange | 1:552 | 4.3% | 0.04 |
| Autographs Orange | 1:552 | 4.3% | 0.04 |
| Autographs Pink | 1:846 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Autographs Pink | 1:846 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Autographs Black | 1:2,424 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Autographs Black | 1:2,424 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Autographs Red | 1:4,853 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Autographs Platinum Toile Cream/Red Refractor | 1:4,853 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Autographs Red | 1:4,853 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Autographs Platinum Toile Cream/Red Refractor | 1:4,853 | 0.5% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps City Variation Autograph Refractor | 1:7,843 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Autographs Superfractor | 1:24,089 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Autographs Superfractor | 1:24,089 | 0.1% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps City Variation Autograph Superfractor | 1:38,913 | 0.1% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Chrome Platinum55 Baseball (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
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Compare pull rates across Chrome, Bowman, Finest, UFC, F1 and more — every set's official odds in one place.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Chrome Platinum55 Baseball. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
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