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Configurations
1
Odds Rows
95
Autographs
70
Base Parallels
8
2025 Topps Definitive Baseball Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Standard · Base Autograph Relic Collection
100%
chance of at least one Base Autograph Relic Collection across 24 packs
≈ 12 expectedbase 1 in 2≈ 1 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
Every parallel in Standard
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Protectors at the Plate Black Parallel | 1:48 | 40% | 0.50 |
| Definitive Helmet Collection Red Parallel | 1:83 | 25% | 0.29 |
| Protectors at the Plate Red Parallel | 1:95 | 22% | 0.25 |
| Definitive Helmet Collection Authentic Tag Gold Parallel | 1:120 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Definitive Helmet Collection Rawlings Gold Parallel | 1:120 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Definitive Helmet Collection MLB Gold Parallel | 1:131 | 17% | 0.18 |
| Definitive Helmet Collection Player Number Gold Parallel | 1:143 | 16% | 0.17 |
| Protectors at the Plate Gold Parallel | 1:456 | 5.1% | 0.05 |
| Inserts | |||
| Definitive Helmet Collection | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Definitive Nameplate Collection | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Protectors at the Plate | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Definitive Cut Signature | 1:112 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Autographs | |||
| Base Autograph Relic Collection | 1:2 | 100% | 12 |
| Definitive Autograph Relic Cards | 1:2 | 100% | 12 |
| Definitive Rookie Autographs | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Definitive Autograph Relic Cards Orange Parallel | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Base Autograph Relic Collection Orange Parallel | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Definitive Rookie Patch Autograph Cards | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Framed Autograph Collection | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Legendary Autograph Collection | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Defining Images Autograph Collection | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Definitive Rookie Autographs Orange Parallel | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Dual Autograph Collection | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Framed Autograph Patch Collection | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Definitive Rookie Patch Autograph Cards Orange Parallel | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Dual Autograph Relic Collection | 1:8 | 96% | 3 |
| Definitive Autograph Relic Cards Black Parallel | 1:9 | 94% | 2.67 |
| Definitive Autographed First Batting Glove Cards | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Framed Autograph Collection Black Parallel | 1:11 | 90% | 2.18 |
| Legendary Autograph Collection Black Parallel | 1:11 | 90% | 2.18 |
| Defining Images Autograph Collection Black Parallel | 1:11 | 90% | 2.18 |
| Definitive Rookie Autographs Black Parallel | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Framed Autograph Patch Collection Black Parallel | 1:13 | 85% | 1.85 |
| Dual Autograph Collection Black Parallel | 1:14 | 83% | 1.71 |
| Base Autograph Relic Collection Black Parallel | 1:14 | 83% | 1.71 |
| Definitive Rookie Patch Autograph Cards Black Parallel Definitive Rookie Patch Autograph Cards Red Parallel 01:28:00 | 1:15 | 81% | 1.60 |
| Definitive Autographed Ultra Patch Collection | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Dual Autograph Relic Collection Black Parallel | 1:17 | 77% | 1.41 |
| Dual World Series Autograph Collection | 1:18 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Definitive Autograph Relic Cards Red Parallel | 1:18 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Legendary Autograph Collection Red Parallel | 1:21 | 69% | 1.14 |
| Definitive Autographed First Batting Glove Cards Red Parallel | 1:21 | 69% | 1.14 |
| Framed Autograph Collection Red Parallel | 1:22 | 67% | 1.09 |
| Defining Images Autograph Collection Red Parallel | 1:22 | 67% | 1.09 |
| Definitive Moments Autograph Collection | 1:22 | 67% | 1.09 |
| Definitive Rookie Autographs Red Parallel | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Autograph Patch Book Collection | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Framed Autograph Patch Collection Red Parallel | 1:25 | 62% | 0.96 |
| Dual Autograph Collection Red Parallel | 1:27 | 60% | 0.89 |
| Base Autograph Relic Collection Red Parallel | 1:27 | 60% | 0.89 |
| Dual World Series Autograph Collection Black Parallel | 1:38 | 47% | 0.63 |
| Definitive Trio Autographs | 1:39 | 46% | 0.62 |
| Definitive Helmet Collection Autograph Variation | 1:45 | 42% | 0.53 |
| Dual Autograph Relic Collection Red Parallel | 1:61 | 33% | 0.39 |
| Definitive Trio Autographs Black Parallel | 1:63 | 32% | 0.38 |
| Dual World Series Autograph Collection Red Parallel | 1:74 | 28% | 0.32 |
| Definitive Autograph Relic Cards Gold Parallel | 1:88 | 24% | 0.27 |
| Protectors at the Plate Autograph Relics | 1:93 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Definitive Autographed First Batting Glove Cards Gold Parallel | 1:95 | 22% | 0.25 |
| Legendary Autograph Collection Gold Parallel | 1:102 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Framed Autograph Collection Gold Parallel | 1:104 | 21% | 0.23 |
| Base Autograph Relic Collection Button Patch Gold Parallel | 1:106 | 20% | 0.23 |
| Defining Images Autograph Collection Gold Parallel | 1:109 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Definitive Rookie Autographs Gold Parallel | 1:114 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Autograph Relic Collection MLB Logo Gold Parallel | 1:117 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Autograph Relic Collection Majestic / Nike Gold Parallel | 1:117 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Autograph Relic Collection Laundry Tag Gold Parallel | 1:117 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Autograph Patch Book Collection Gold Parallel | 1:117 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Framed Autograph Patch Collection Gold Parallel | 1:117 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Dual Autograph Collection Gold Parallel | 1:131 | 17% | 0.18 |
| Base Autograph Relic Collection Team Logo Gold Parallel | 1:131 | 17% | 0.18 |
| Definitive Trio Autographs Red Parallel | 1:138 | 16% | 0.17 |
| Definitive Rookie Patch Autograph Cards Gold Parallel | 1:138 | 16% | 0.17 |
| Definitive City Connect Slogan Autograph Book Card | 1:147 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Definitive Quad Autographs Red Parallel | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Definitive Helmet Collection Autograph Variation Gold Parallel | 1:217 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Dual Autograph Relic Collection Gold Parallel | 1:304 | 7.6% | 0.08 |
| Dual World Series Autograph Collection Gold Parallel | 1:351 | 6.6% | 0.07 |
| Protectors at the Plate Autograph Relics Gold Parallel | 1:456 | 5.1% | 0.05 |
| Definitive World Series Baseball Autograph Relic | 1:506 | 4.6% | 0.05 |
| Definitive Trio Autographs Gold Parallel | 1:570 | 4.1% | 0.04 |
| Definitive Quad Autographs Gold Parallel | 1:651 | 3.6% | 0.04 |
| Relics & Memorabilia | |||
| Jumbo Relic Collection | 1:2 | 100% | 12 |
| Jumbo Relic Collection Orange Parallel | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Jumbo Relic Collection Pink Parallel | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Jumbo Relic Collection Black Parallel | 1:7 | 98% | 3.43 |
| Jumbo Relic Collection Red Parallel | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Quad Patch Collection | 1:48 | 40% | 0.50 |
| Jumbo Relic Collection Gold Parallel | 1:53 | 37% | 0.45 |
| Definitive MLB Logo Patch Cards | 1:55 | 36% | 0.44 |
| Definitive Patch Collection | 1:55 | 36% | 0.44 |
| Willie Mays Commemorative Patch | 1:169 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Definitive Dual MLB Logo Patch Book Cards | 1:217 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Quad Patch Collection Gold Parallel | 1:240 | 9.5% | 0.10 |
| Definitive Triple MLB Logo Patch Book Cards | 1:304 | 7.6% | 0.08 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Definitive Baseball (Standard). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
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Browse every Topps odds calculator
Compare pull rates across Chrome, Bowman, Finest, UFC, F1 and more — every set's official odds in one place.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Definitive Baseball. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
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