2026 Topps Brooklyn Collection Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inserts | |||
| Base Set | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| New York's Heroes | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Foilfractor Team Cap | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Welcome to Brooklyn | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Base Set Chartreuse | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Base Set Black | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Base Set Gold | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Foilfractor Living Legend | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Base Set Blue and Silver | 1:7 | 98% | 3.43 |
| Topps Distinguished Service | 1:7 | 98% | 3.43 |
| Base Set Orange | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| New York's Heroes Gold | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Welcome to Brooklyn Gold | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Topps Distinguished Service Gold | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| “You are worthy” | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Foilfractor Sketch Cards | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Base Set Purple | 1:17 | 77% | 1.41 |
| New York's Heroes Orange | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Team Cap Orange | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Welcome to Brooklyn Orange | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Living Legend Orange | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Topps Distinguished Service Orange | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| New York's Heroes Purple | 1:34 | 51% | 0.71 |
| Team Cap Purple | 1:34 | 51% | 0.71 |
| Welcome to Brooklyn Purple | 1:34 | 51% | 0.71 |
| Living Legend Purple | 1:34 | 51% | 0.71 |
| Topps Distinguished Service Purple | 1:34 | 51% | 0.71 |
| Base Set Red | 1:50 | 38% | 0.48 |
| Born on the 4th of July | 1:50 | 38% | 0.48 |
| Shield Diecut Sketch Cards | 1:61 | 33% | 0.39 |
| New York's Heroes Red | 1:100 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Team Cap Red | 1:100 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Welcome to Brooklyn Red | 1:100 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Living Legend Red | 1:100 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Topps Distinguished Service Red | 1:100 | 21% | 0.24 |
| America Brooklyn | 1:150 | 15% | 0.16 |
| America Brooklyn | 1:166 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Base Set Foilfractor | 1:249 | 9.2% | 0.10 |
| New York's Heroes | 1:498 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Team Cap Foilfractor | 1:498 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Welcome to Brooklyn | 1:498 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Living Legend Foilfractor | 1:498 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Distinguished Service | 1:498 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| America Brooklyn | 1:498 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| America Brooklyn Statue | 1:2,488 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Autographs | |||
| MCU Autographs | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| MCU Autographs Orange | 1:14 | 83% | 1.71 |
| Comic Creator Autographs | 1:17 | 77% | 1.41 |
| MCU Autographs Purple | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Comic Creator Autographs Orange | 1:49 | 39% | 0.49 |
| MCU Autographs Red | 1:57 | 35% | 0.42 |
| Comic Creator Autographs Purple | 1:81 | 26% | 0.30 |
| MCU Dual Autographs | 1:135 | 16% | 0.18 |
| MCU Triple Autographs | 1:203 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Comic Creator Autographs Red | 1:243 | 9.4% | 0.10 |
| MCU Dual Autographs Red | 1:270 | 8.5% | 0.09 |
| MCU Autographs Foilfractor | 1:282 | 8.2% | 0.09 |
| MCU Triple Auto Red | 1:405 | 5.8% | 0.06 |
| Comic Creator Autographs Foilfractor | 1:1,213 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| MCU Dual Autographs Foilfractor | 1:1,347 | 1.8% | 0.02 |
| MCU Triple Auto | 1:2,021 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2026 Topps Brooklyn Collection (Standard). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2026 Topps Brooklyn Collection. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.