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Configurations
12
Odds Rows
1,571
Autographs
21
Base Parallels
8
2026 Topps Heritage Baseball Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
Product configuration
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Hobby · Real One Autographs
10%
chance of at least one Real One Autographs across 24 packs
≈ 0.11 expectedbase 1 in 225≈ 156 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
Every parallel in Hobby
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Base Chrome Variations Refractor | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| League Leaders Chrome Variations Refractor | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Record Breakers Chrome Variations Refractor | 1:11 | 90% | 2.18 |
| Base Short Prints Chrome Variations Refractor | 1:11 | 90% | 2.18 |
| Quad Rookies Chrome Variations Refractor | 1:11 | 90% | 2.18 |
| Refractor League Championship Series Chrome Variations | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Refractor World Series Highlights Chrome Variations Blue | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Refractor Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations Blue | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Inserts | |||
| Base Dark Gray Borde Red | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| League Leaders Dark Gray Borde Red | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Record Breakers Dark Gray Borde Red | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| League Championship Series Dark Gray | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Base Short Prints | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Base Short Prints Dark Gray Borde Red | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| World Series Highlights | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| World Series Highlights Dark Gray Borde Red | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Turn Back the Clock | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Turn Back the Clock Dark Gray Borde Red | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Quad Rookies | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Quad Rookies Dark Gray Borde Red | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Base Chrome Variations Light Blue Sparkle | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| League Leaders Chrome Variations Light Blue | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Record Breakers Chrome Variations Light Blue | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Red Borde Red League Championship Series Chrome Variations | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Base Short Prints Chrome Variations Light Blue | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Superfractor World Series Highlights Chrome Variations Light | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Superfractor Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations Light | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Quad Rookies Chrome Variations Light Blue | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Base Chrome Variations | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| League Leaders Chrome Variations | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Record Breakers Chrome Variations | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| League Championship Series Chrome Variations | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Silver Sparkle Base Short Prints Chrome Variations | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| World Series Highlights Chrome Variations | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Sparkle Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Sparkle Quad Rookies Chrome Variations | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| League Championship Series Chrome Variations | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| World Series Highlights Chrome Variations | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| The Enterprise | 1:15 | 81% | 1.60 |
| Ready, and Action! | 1:18 | 75% | 1.33 |
| 1977 Topps Originals Buybacks | 1:42 | 44% | 0.57 |
| Raw Power | 1:44 | 42% | 0.55 |
| Base Deckle Edge | 1:59 | 34% | 0.41 |
| League Leaders Deckle Edge | 1:59 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Record Breakers Deckle Edge | 1:59 | 34% | 0.41 |
| League Championship Series Deckle Edge | 1:59 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Base High-numbe Red Short Prints Deckle Edge | 1:59 | 34% | 0.41 |
| World Series Highlights Deckle Edge | 1:59 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Turn Back the Clock Deckle Edge | 1:59 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Quad Rookies Deckle Edge | 1:59 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Base Chrome Variations Blue Borde Red | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| League Leaders Chrome Variations Blue Borde Red | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Record Breakers Chrome Variations Blue Borde Red | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Base Short Prints Chrome Variations Blue Borde Red | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Quad Rookies Chrome Variations Blue Borde Red | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Base Image Variations | 1:80 | 26% | 0.30 |
| League Championship Series Black Borde Red | 1:120 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Base Black Borde Red | 1:121 | 18% | 0.20 |
| League Leaders Black Borde Red | 1:121 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Record Breakers Black Borde Red | 1:121 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Base Short Prints Black Borde Red | 1:121 | 18% | 0.20 |
| World Series Highlights Black Borde Red | 1:121 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Turn Back the Clock Black Borde Red | 1:121 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Quad Rookies Black Borde Red | 1:121 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Record Breakers Color of the Year | 1:151 | 15% | 0.16 |
| League Championship Series Color of the Year | 1:151 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Quad Rookies Color of the Year | 1:151 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Color of the Year | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| League Leaders Color of the Year | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Short Prints Color of the Year | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| World Series Highlights Color of the Year | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Turn Back the Clock Color of the Year | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base All-star Logo Variations | 1:201 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Base Alternate Banner Variations | 1:201 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Blue Borde Red League Championship Series Chrome Variations | 1:270 | 8.5% | 0.09 |
| League Leaders Chrome Variations Green | 1:272 | 8.5% | 0.09 |
| Borde Red Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations Green | 1:272 | 8.5% | 0.09 |
| Base Chrome Variations Green Borde Red | 1:273 | 8.4% | 0.09 |
| Base Short Prints Chrome Variations Green | 1:273 | 8.4% | 0.09 |
| Borde Red World Series Highlights Chrome Variations Green | 1:273 | 8.4% | 0.09 |
| Quad Rookies Chrome Variations Green | 1:273 | 8.4% | 0.09 |
| Record Breakers Chrome Variations Green | 1:274 | 8.4% | 0.09 |
| Borde Red World Series Highlights Chrome Variations Black | 1:349 | 6.7% | 0.07 |
| Base Chrome Variations Black Borde Red | 1:350 | 6.6% | 0.07 |
| Borde Red League Leaders Chrome Variations Black | 1:350 | 6.6% | 0.07 |
| Borde Red Base Short Prints Chrome Variations Black | 1:350 | 6.6% | 0.07 |
| Borde Red Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations Black | 1:350 | 6.6% | 0.07 |
| Borde Red Quad Rookies Chrome Variations Black | 1:351 | 6.6% | 0.07 |
| Borde Red Record Breakers Chrome Variations Black | 1:352 | 6.6% | 0.07 |
| Green Borde Red League Championship Series Chrome Variations | 1:352 | 6.6% | 0.07 |
| Base Nickname Variations | 1:401 | 5.8% | 0.06 |
| Black Borde Red League Championship Series Chrome Variations | 1:528 | 4.4% | 0.05 |
| Borde Red Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations Gold | 1:538 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Base Chrome Variations Gold Borde Red | 1:539 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Borde Red Base Short Prints Chrome Variations Gold Borde Red | 1:539 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Borde Red League Leaders Chrome Variations Gold Borde Red | 1:540 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Borde Red Record Breakers Chrome Variations Gold Borde Red | 1:540 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Borde Red Quad Rookies Chrome Variations Gold Borde Red | 1:540 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Borde Red World Series Highlights Chrome Variations Gold | 1:545 | 4.3% | 0.04 |
| Record Breakers Chrome Variations Orange | 1:1,056 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Gold Borde Red League Championship Series Chrome Variations | 1:1,056 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Borde Red Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations | 1:1,075 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Base Chrome Variations Orange Borde Red | 1:1,078 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Base Short Prints Chrome Variations Orange | 1:1,079 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| League Leaders Chrome Variations Orange | 1:1,080 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Quad Rookies Chrome Variations Orange | 1:1,080 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Borde Red World Series Highlights Chrome Variations | 1:1,089 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Borde Red League Championship Series Flip Stock | 1:1,161 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| World Series Highlights Flip Stock | 1:1,161 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| League Leaders Flip Stock | 1:1,191 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Base Short Prints Flip Stock | 1:1,199 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Base Flip Stock | 1:1,200 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Quad Rookies Flip Stock | 1:1,206 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Turn Back the Clock Flip Stock | 1:1,209 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Record Breakers Flip Stock | 1:1,222 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Base Black and White Image Variations | 1:3,326 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Borde Red League Leaders Chrome Variations Red Borde Red | 1:5,159 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Base Chrome Variations Red Borde Red | 1:5,374 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Borde Red Base Short Prints Chrome Variations Red Borde Red | 1:5,379 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Borde Red Quad Rookies Chrome Variations Red Borde Red | 1:5,462 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Borde Red Record Breakers Chrome Variations Red Borde Red | 1:5,804 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Orange Borde Red League Championship Series Chrome Variations | 1:5,804 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Orange Borde Red World Series Highlights Chrome Variations Red | 1:5,804 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Orange Borde Red Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations Red | 1:5,804 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Borde Red World Series Highlights Chrome Variations | 1:17,410 | 0.1% | 0 |
| League Leaders Chrome Variations Superfractor | 1:23,213 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Record Breakers Chrome Variations Superfractor | 1:23,213 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Base Short Prints Chrome Variations Superfractor | 1:27,566 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Base Chrome Variations Superfractor | 1:27,727 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Borde Red Turn Back the Clock Chrome Variations | 1:29,016 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Quad Rookies Chrome Variations Superfractor | 1:30,951 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Autographs | |||
| Real One Autographs | 1:225 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Real One Autographs Special Edition | 1:1,575 | 1.5% | 0.02 |
| Expansion Autographs | 1:3,075 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| 1977 Topps Award Winners Buyback Autographs | 1:5,091 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Clubhouse Collection Autograph Relics | 1:6,378 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Expansion Autographs Special Edition | 1:6,690 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Base Chrome Autograph Variations | 1:8,203 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Base Chrome Autograph Variations Orange | 1:14,786 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Real One Dual Autographs | 1:24,695 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Turn Back the Clock Autographs | 1:30,951 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Base Chrome Autograph Variations Gold Borde Red | 1:30,951 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Borde Red Base Chrome Autograph Variations Red Borde Red | 1:64,480 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Patch Flashback Autographed Relics | 1:70,342 | 0.0% | 0 |
| There Once Was A Man Autographed Relics | 1:74,880 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Clubhouse Collection Autograph Relics Patch | 1:122,173 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Real One Quad Autographs | 1:154,752 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Clubhouse Collection Dual Autograph Relics | 1:290,160 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Base Chrome Autograph Variations Superfractor | 1:386,880 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Flashback Autographed Relics Patch | 1:464,256 | 0.0% | 0 |
| There Once Was A Man Autographed Relics Patch | 1:464,256 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Clubhouse Collection Dual Autograph Relics | 1:1,160,640 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Relics & Memorabilia | |||
| Clubhouse Collection Relics | 1:29 | 57% | 0.83 |
| Real One Relics | 1:295 | 7.8% | 0.08 |
| Clubhouse Collection Relics Red | 1:476 | 4.9% | 0.05 |
| Real One Relics Red | 1:1,245 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Flashback Relics | 1:4,268 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Clubhouse Collection Dual Player Relics | 1:4,806 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Base Throwback Jersey Variations | 1:13,341 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Clubhouse Collection Relics Patch | 1:23,931 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Real One Relics Patch | 1:47,374 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Clubhouse Collection Quad Player Relics | 1:92,852 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Flashback Relics Patch | 1:145,080 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Clubhouse Collection Dual Player Relics Patch | 1:154,752 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Clubhouse Collection Quad Player Relics Patch | 1:464,256 | 0.0% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2026 Topps Heritage Baseball (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
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Compare pull rates across Chrome, Bowman, Finest, UFC, F1 and more — every set's official odds in one place.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2026 Topps Heritage Baseball. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
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