Drew Rasmussen is an MLB pitcher, and 2026 MLB Topps NOW® Card 756 is a Topps NOW® card — the line Topps uses to commemorate a specific recent on-field performance, put on sale within days and taken down just as fast. This one was available 4 October 2026 and expired 6 October 2026: a roughly two-day window, with shipping 10–15 business days after it closed. Topps prints exactly one card per buyer during that window, so the total print run does not exist as a number until the window ends.
What makes Card 756 worth its own page is that it carries two numbered ladders, not one. Topps’ “Look for:” list is three lines: an Open-Edition Base Card, Foil Parallels numbered to /50 and lower, and /10, /5 and /1 Relic Redemption Cards — the reason the product page wears a “Look for Relics” badge. Two ladders means the interesting question stops being “what are my odds on the /25?” and becomes “what are my odds on anything?” — a question no per-tier table answers, and the one this page is built around.
Drew Rasmussen Card 756 Pull-Rate Calculator
Enter the final print run (or drag the slider to model a scenario) and how many cards you ordered. The headline is your chance of landing at least one of the tier you pick, with the expected count and the order size a 50%, 90% or 95% shot would take — plus a row for every Foil parallel and every Relic Redemption at once.
| Parallel | Copies | Per card | ≥1 in 5 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foil Parallels | ||||
| /50 Gold Foil | 50 | 1 in 20 | 23% | 0.250 |
| /25 Orange Foil | 25 | 1 in 40 | 12% | 0.125 |
| /10 Black Foil | 10 | 1 in 100 | 4.90% | 0.050 |
| /5 Red Foil | 5 | 1 in 200 | 2.48% | 0.025 |
| 1/1 FoilFractor | 1 | 1 in 1,000 | 0.499% | 0.0050 |
| Relic Redemptions | ||||
| /10 Relic Redemption | 10 | 1 in 100 | 4.90% | 0.050 |
| /5 Relic Redemption | 5 | 1 in 200 | 2.48% | 0.025 |
| 1/1 Relic Redemption | 1 | 1 in 1,000 | 0.499% | 0.0050 |
Topps NOW® cards are print-to-order: a parallel numbered to /N has exactly N copies no matter how large the print run grows, so a bigger run makes every numbered card rarer per order — and only above the stated thresholds do the Chrome and Opal tiers exist at all. The model treats each card in your order as an independent draw; Topps does not publish per-order collation, so a real order can over- or under-shoot. The print run is confirmed only after the sales window closes.
The One Number: 107 Numbered Copies
Every tier on this card is capped at its serial, so the whole numbered population is just a sum. The Foil ladder is 50 + 25 + 10 + 5 + 1 = 91 copies. The Relic ladder is 10 + 5 + 1 = 16. Together:
| Ladder | Tiers | Copies | Share of the numbered pool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Foil Parallels | /50 Gold Foil, /25 Orange Foil, /10 Black Foil, /5 Red Foil, 1/1 FoilFractor | 91 | 85% |
| Relic Redemptions | /10 Relic Redemption, /5 Relic Redemption, 1/1 Relic Redemption | 16 | 15% |
| All numbered copies | 8 tiers | 107 | 100% |
That 107 is the number most buyers actually want, because almost nobody orders a Topps NOW card hunting one specific parallel — they order it hoping something comes back that isn’t the base card. The chance any single card in your order is something numbered is 107 ÷ print run, and the chance an order of k cards contains at least one is 1 − (1 − 107/run)k. The Open-Edition Base Card is unlimited, so it has no population and is not a tier — it is simply what you get the rest of the time.
| Print Run | Any numbered card, per card | 1 card | 5 cards | 10 cards | 20 cards | Cards for 50% | Cards for 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 | 1 in 4.7 | 21.40% | 70.00% | 91.00% | 99.19% | 3 | 10 |
| 1,000 | 1 in 9.3 | 10.70% | 43.21% | 67.75% | 89.60% | 7 | 21 |
| 2,500 | 1 in 23 | 4.28% | 19.64% | 35.43% | 58.31% | 16 | 53 |
| 5,000 | 1 in 47 | 2.14% | 10.25% | 19.45% | 35.12% | 33 | 107 |
| 10,000 | 1 in 93 | 1.07% | 5.24% | 10.20% | 19.36% | 65 | 215 |
Read the print runs as modelling anchors, not estimates. We do not know what Card 756 printed and we are not guessing — Topps reveals the figure only after the window closes, and the point of the table is the shape of the curve, not any one row. What the shape says is that the aggregate is the only version of this question with a liveable answer: at a 1,000-card run a 20-card order is about 89.60% to contain something numbered, while the same order is about 64.15% on the most attainable single tier (the /50 Gold Foil) and about 1.98% on a 1/1. Split the aggregate by ladder and you get roughly 85.17% for “any Foil parallel” against 27.57% for “any Relic Redemption” at that run — the relic ladder is the thinner of the two by a factor of 5.7× on copy count.
The /10 Collision
Here is the part the ladder’s presentation hides. The /10 Black Foil and the /10 Relic Redemption are completely different cards — one is a foil treatment of the base design, the other is a redemption slip for a relic — and they sit in different groups on the product page. But they have exactly the same probability, because they have exactly the same number of copies:
| Copies | Tiers sharing that population | Per-card odds at 1,000 | ≥1 in a 20-card order |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | /10 Black Foil · /10 Relic Redemption | 1 in 100 | 18.21% |
| 5 | /5 Red Foil · /5 Relic Redemption | 1 in 200 | 9.54% |
| 1 | 1/1 FoilFractor · 1/1 Relic Redemption | 1 in 1,000 | 1.98% |
Six of the eight numbered tiers on this card pair off like that. The serial number sets the odds; the tier’s name does not. Nothing about the word “Relic” or “FoilFractor” moves the arithmetic — a 1/1 is 1 in 1,000 per card at a 1,000-card run whether it is the FoilFractor or the relic, and a collector who finds one of them harder to get than the other is describing the market, not the print run. Which is useful in both directions: if you want any /10, you have two shots at it, not one. Treating the two /10s as a single 20-copy target doubles the per-card chance to 1 in 50 and takes a 20-card order from 18.21% to 33.24%.
We make no claim about which of a colliding pair is more desirable — we have no price feed for this card, and Topps does not say what a Relic Redemption yields when it is redeemed. The observation is narrower and stronger than a value judgement: two tiers that read as different rarities are the same rarity.
The Per-Tier Scenario Table
Every cell below is 1 − (1 − copies/run)20 — the chance a 20-card order (Topps’ largest published quantity break) contains at least one copy of that tier, at each of the print-run anchors. The paired rows are the collision made visible: the /10s match, the /5s match, the 1/1s match, down every column.
| Tier | Copies | 500 run | 1,000 run | 2,500 run | 5,000 run | 10,000 run |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| /50 Gold Foil | 50 | 87.84% | 64.15% | 33.24% | 18.21% | 9.54% |
| /25 Orange Foil | 25 | 64.15% | 39.73% | 18.21% | 9.54% | 4.88% |
| /10 Black Foil | 10 | 33.24% | 18.21% | 7.70% | 3.92% | 1.98% |
| /5 Red Foil | 5 | 18.21% | 9.54% | 3.92% | 1.98% | 1.00% |
| 1/1 FoilFractor | 1 | 3.92% | 1.98% | 0.80% | 0.40% | 0.20% |
| /10 Relic Redemption | 10 | 33.24% | 18.21% | 7.70% | 3.92% | 1.98% |
| /5 Relic Redemption | 5 | 18.21% | 9.54% | 3.92% | 1.98% | 1.00% |
| 1/1 Relic Redemption | 1 | 3.92% | 1.98% | 0.80% | 0.40% | 0.20% |
| Any numbered card | 107 | 99.19% | 89.60% | 58.31% | 35.12% | 19.36% |
The per-card odds behind those figures are the simpler read: at a 1,000-card run the ladder runs 1 in 20 on the /50 Gold Foil, 1 in 40 on the /25 Orange, 1 in 100 on either /10, 1 in 200 on either /5 and 1 in 1,000 on either 1/1. Scale the run and every one of those scales with it in lockstep — a 10,000-card run multiplies all of them by ten, because the numerators never move.
The bottom row is the one to anchor on. Across the modelled range, a 20-card order goes from 99.19% to contain something numbered at a 500-card run down to 19.36% at 10,000 — a 5.1× spread driven by nothing but how many other people bought in during those two days.
A Two-Day Window Prices the Unknown
This is the uncomfortable structural fact about Topps NOW®, and it is sharper here than on a longer-dated release. The card was up for about two days. The print run is created by those two days. So the order you place is a bet made with the denominator missing — and the denominator is the entire model. There is no version of this where you buy informed: by the time the run is published, the window has closed and ordering is over.
Two things follow, and neither is a recommendation. First, the direction of the risk is counter-intuitive: the better this card sells, the worse every tier’s odds get, because 107 numbered copies get divided across more base cards. A quiet window is the friendly outcome for a chaser. Second, the only input you actually control is order size, and its effect is bounded and knowable — which is why the next section prices order size rather than outcomes.
We will not tell you what we think this printed. Topps NOW runs for individual cards vary by orders of magnitude depending on subject and moment, our anchors span 500 to 10,000 precisely because that is a range and not a forecast, and we have no sourced detail on the performance this card commemorates or on demand for it. If you see a confident print-run figure quoted during a live window, it is a guess.
What an Attempt Costs
Topps’ quantity pricing is fully published, so unlike the print run this part is knowable exactly:
| Order Size | Price Each | Order Total | Saving per Card |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 card | $11.99 | $11.99 | — |
| 5 cards | $10.00 | $49.99 | 17% |
| 10 cards | $9.00 | $89.99 | 25% |
| 20 cards | $8.50 | $169.99 | 29% |
Combine that with the aggregate and you can price an attempt as cost of attempts — arithmetic on what Topps charges, not a case for spending it. The middle columns are dollars per percentage point of “at least one numbered card”:
| Print Run | 1-card order ($11.99) | 5-card order ($49.99) | 10-card order ($89.99) | 20-card order ($169.99) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 | 21.40% · $0.56/pt | 70.00% · $0.71/pt | 91.00% · $0.99/pt | 99.19% · $1.71/pt |
| 1,000 | 10.70% · $1.12/pt | 43.21% · $1.16/pt | 67.75% · $1.33/pt | 89.60% · $1.90/pt |
| 2,500 | 4.28% · $2.80/pt | 19.64% · $2.54/pt | 35.43% · $2.54/pt | 58.31% · $2.92/pt |
| 5,000 | 2.14% · $5.60/pt | 10.25% · $4.88/pt | 19.45% · $4.63/pt | 35.12% · $4.84/pt |
| 10,000 | 1.07% · $11.21/pt | 5.24% · $9.55/pt | 10.20% · $8.82/pt | 19.36% · $8.78/pt |
Note what the quantity break does and does not buy. At the 10,000-card run the discount wins cleanly — $11.21 per point buying one card versus $8.78 buying twenty. At the 500-card run it inverts: one card is $0.56 per point and twenty is $1.71, because a 20-card order is already 99.19% and the last few cards are buying almost no new probability. Saturation beats the discount on a thin run; the discount beats saturation on a thick one. Since you cannot know which case you are in while the window is open, that tension is the honest summary of the ordering decision rather than a solution to it.
The expected-count view is steadier, because expectation is linear where P(≥1) saturates: at a 1,000-card run a 20-card order expects 2.14 numbered cards, which at $169.99 works out to about $79.44 per numbered card expected, against about $112.06 buying singles. An expectation above 1 is not a hit, though — it is consistent with pulling nothing, and frequently does.
One assumption everything here rests on: each card in your order is modelled as an independent draw. Topps does not publish how parallels are collated across an order, so if copies are in practice spread one-per-order, a single large order would do slightly worse than these tables say. And 89.60% is not a near-certainty: ten separate orders at 89.60% are ten independent trials, not nine hits.
What Topps Does Not Publish
Short, because the list is short and the omissions matter more than the inclusions:
- The print run. It is set by demand during the sales window and published only afterwards. Every figure on this page is conditional on a run you supply; the anchors are modelling scenarios and we do not estimate what Card 756 actually printed.
- Per-tier odds. There is no odds sheet for this card, because there are no packs. Topps states exactly one thing about odds: “Odds of receiving a non-base card are based on total cards ordered.” Everything else here is computed from the published copy counts, which are facts, and a run, which is your input.
- Order collation. How the 107 numbered copies are distributed across orders is unstated — that is the gap our independence assumption fills.
- What a Relic Redemption yields. Topps lists the /10, /5 and /1 Relic Redemption Cards as a population and does not say what redeeming one returns. We therefore price the 16 redemption copies as copies and make no claim about the relic behind them.
- Whether other cards share this structure. The Relic Redemptions are card-specific — the reason this page carries a “Look for Relics” badge at all. We can show exactly why that matters: Card 753 (Munetaka Murakami) carries an identical Foil ladder and identical /10 and /5 Relic Redemptions — same 107 numbered copies, same odds at every tier — but its top redemption is a /1 Auto-Relic Redemption rather than a /1 Relic. Three card numbers apart, the probabilities transfer and the chase does not. So check each product page’s own “Look for:” list rather than reusing another card’s.
And one thing worth stating as an absence: this card has no Chrome, Opal, SuperFractor or OpalFractor tiers and no print-run unlock thresholds. Those belong to a different Topps NOW® promo. All eight numbered tiers here exist at any print run, which is why no row in any table above switches on or off as the slider moves.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the odds of pulling anything other than the base card from Drew Rasmussen's MLB Topps NOW® Card 756?
Add up every numbered copy on the card: the Foil parallels are 50 + 25 + 10 + 5 + 1 = 91 copies, and the Relic Redemptions are 10 + 5 + 1 = 16, for 107 numbered copies in total. The chance any single card in your order is one of them is 107 ÷ print run — nothing else. At a 1,000-card run that is 1 in 9.3 per card, so a 5-card order is about 43.21% and a 20-card order about 89.60%. At a 10,000-card run the same orders fall to about 5.24% and 19.36%. Topps does not publish the print run until after the sales window closes, so enter it above.
Why do the /10 Black Foil and the /10 Relic Redemption have the same odds?
Because the odds are set by the serial number, not by the tier’s name. Both are printed to 10 copies, so both sit at p = 10 ÷ print run — 1 in 100 per card at a 1,000-card run, or about 18.21% across a 20-card order, identically. The same holds for the two 1/1s: the 1/1 FoilFractor and the 1/1 Relic Redemption are each 1 in 1,000 per card at that run. Whether collectors value one over the other is a separate question this page makes no claim about — probabilistically they are the same card.
How many cards would a 50% shot at something numbered take?
Using ceil( ln(0.5) ÷ ln(1 − p) ) on the aggregate p = 107 ÷ run: about 3 cards at a 500-card run, 7 at 1,000, 16 at 2,500, 33 at 5,000 and 65 at 10,000. For a 90% shot the same figures are 10, 21, 53, 107 and 215 cards. Those are print-run scenarios, not forecasts — we do not know what this card printed.
Does this card have Chrome, Opal or SuperFractor parallels?
No. Topps’ "Look for:" list for Card 756 is three lines: an Open-Edition Base Card, Foil Parallels numbered to /50 and lower, and /10, /5 and /1 Relic Redemption Cards. The Foil ladder is /50 Gold, /25 Orange, /10 Black, /5 Red and the 1/1 FoilFractor. There are no Chrome or Opal tiers, no SuperFractor or OpalFractor, and no print-run unlock thresholds — every tier on this card exists at any print run. A different 2026 Topps NOW® promo may carry that larger ladder; this one does not.
Are the Relic Redemptions on every 2026 MLB Topps NOW card?
They are card-specific, which is why this product page carries a "Look for Relics" badge in the first place — so they should never be assumed on another card without checking it. We have a direct comparison: Card 753 (Munetaka Murakami) runs the same Foil ladder and the same /10 and /5 Relic Redemptions, so all 107 numbered copies and every probability match this card exactly — but its top redemption is a /1 Auto-Relic Redemption, not a /1 Relic Redemption. Identical odds, a different prize, three card numbers apart. Always read the individual product page's "Look for:" list. Topps also does not state what a Relic Redemption actually yields when redeemed, so we price the 16 redemption copies as a population and stop there.
Why does the Drew Rasmussen card have a two-day sales window, and does that matter?
Topps NOW® cards commemorate a specific recent performance, so they go on sale immediately and stay up briefly — this one was available 4 October 2026 and expired 6 October 2026, roughly a two-day window, with shipping 10–15 business days after it closed. It matters because the print run is created by that window. You have to decide how many to order before anyone, including Topps, knows the denominator — and the denominator is the whole model. That is why this page gives you a slider and a scenario table rather than one headline number.
Disclaimer: Topps NOW® cards are print-to-order, and the print run is set by demand and published only after the sales window closes. Every figure here is a probability computed from Topps’ stated copy counts (91 Foil copies and 16 Relic Redemption copies, 107 numbered in total) and a print run you supply — not a guarantee, and not a forecast of what Card 756 printed. Cost figures are cost-of-attempts arithmetic on Topps’ published quantity pricing; we have no price feed for this card and this page makes no claim about what any copy is worth. Product details are transcribed from the official Topps product page and were correct at the time of writing. This is not financial advice.