Important: This set released on 22 May 2026. Prices are 2 weeks old and have not yet stabilised. Graded card prices (PSA 10, BGS 10, CGC 10) are unreliable at this stage — most submitted cards have not returned from grading services yet. All analysis below focuses on ungraded prices only.
Market Overview
Pricing data from PriceCharting as of 4 June 2026. PHP conversions at ~₱61.6/USD.
Three things make Chaos Rising stand out from a pricing standpoint:
- MHR JP/EN inversion — the only case where JP is substantially pricier than EN
- Wide EN foil premiums (2–3.3×) — suggesting early market imbalance as EN supply floods in
- EN base cards well below JP — excess EN supply driving base card prices to 10–40% of JP
The Chase Card: Mega Greninja ex
Mega Greninja ex appears across every rarity tier. Here are the prices 2 weeks post-launch:
| Version | JP (USD / PHP) | EN (USD / PHP) | EN/JP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base #22 | $3.66 / ₱226 | $4.67 / ₱288 | 1.28× |
| Full Art #98/#100 | $21.44 / ₱1,321 | $26.00 / ₱1,602 | 1.21× |
| SIR #114/#116 | $304.00 / ₱18,732 | $450.65 / ₱27,769 | 1.48× |
| Mega Hyper Rare #120/#122 | $509.90 / ₱31,420 | $315.00 / ₱19,410 | 0.62× (JP pricier) |
The MHR inversion is the headline story. JP buyers are paying ~USD $195 (₱12,016) more than EN buyers for the same card. This likely reflects stronger JP domestic player demand combined with tighter initial supply.
The SIR tells the opposite story: EN buyers pay a 48% premium over JP — the smallest SIR premium in the set, driven by JP collectors competing hard for their own supply.
Foil Variants (#84–95 JP / #87–97 EN)
EN foils carry an unusually wide premium over JP at this early stage:
| Card | JP (USD / PHP) | EN (USD / PHP) | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frogadier | $5.99 / ₱369 | $19.99 / ₱1,232 | 3.34× |
| Xerneas | $6.78 / ₱418 | $19.98 / ₱1,231 | 2.95× |
| Ampharos | $6.14 / ₱378 | $17.97 / ₱1,107 | 2.93× |
| Froakie | $8.30 / ₱511 | $22.85 / ₱1,408 | 2.75× |
| Tauros | $3.95 / ₱243 | $10.51 / ₱648 | 2.66× |
| Chespin | $4.86 / ₱299 | $9.99 / ₱616 | 2.06× |
A 2–3.3× EN/JP gap is historically wide. Some narrowing is expected as more EN product opens, unless competitive play demand props up the Greninja line.
Special Illustration Rares (SIR)
SIR EN premiums range from 1.48× to 2.88× — narrower than foils but still significant at the 2-week mark:
| Card | JP (USD / PHP) | EN (USD / PHP) | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Dragalge ex | $24.20 / ₱1,491 | $69.75 / ₱4,298 | 2.88× |
| AZ's Tranquility | $14.26 / ₱879 | $40.00 / ₱2,465 | 2.81× |
| Mega Floette ex | $23.18 / ₱1,428 | $57.84 / ₱3,564 | 2.50× |
| Cinccino ex | $42.71 / ₱2,632 | $89.99 / ₱5,545 | 2.11× |
| Roxie's Performance | $16.64 / ₱1,025 | $35.00 / ₱2,157 | 2.10× |
| Mega Greninja ex | $304.00 / ₱18,732 | $450.65 / ₱27,769 | 1.48× |
Mega Greninja ex SIR has the smallest EN premium of any SIR — clear evidence that JP collectors are competing hard for it too.
Cinccino ex at ₱5,545 EN shows consistent sales volume and a middle-of-pack 2.11× premium, making it arguably the most fairly priced SIR right now.
Base Pokémon Tier (#1–71)
Most base commons and uncommons are far cheaper in EN than JP:
- Typical JP: $1.50–$2.00 / ₱92–₱123
- Typical EN: $0.10–$0.60 / ₱6.16–₱37
- EN is 60–90% cheaper on most base cards
Exceptions where EN ≥ JP (competitively playable EX cards):
- Mega Greninja ex: EN $4.67 (₱288) vs JP $3.66 (₱226) — 1.28×
- Cinccino ex: EN $1.99 vs JP $1.65 — 1.21×
- Beedrill ex: EN $2.15 vs JP $1.91 — 1.13×
Regional Exclusives
| Card | Region | Price (USD / PHP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Floette ex #35 | JP only | $2.00 / ₱123 | — |
| Fennekin foil #85 | JP only | $3.35 / ₱206 | 1,689 JP sales — most traded JP foil in the set |
| Mega Gallade ex #48 | EN only | $1.29 / ₱79 | — |
| Krookodile ex #55 | EN only | $1.37 / ₱84 | — |
Fennekin foil is the standout — JP-only with the highest JP foil sales volume in the set. EN collectors wanting it will need to source via Japanese proxy services.
What to Watch Over the Next 4–8 Weeks
- MHR JP/EN gap — The ₱12,016 JP premium is unusual. Monitor whether JP demand sustains it or it normalises toward parity.
- First graded returns — PSA, BGS, and CGC submissions from launch week will start returning around weeks 6–10.
- Foil compression — A 2–3× EN/JP gap on foils is historically wide. Expect some narrowing as EN supply opens up.
- Cinccino ex SIR (₱5,545 EN) — Middle-of-pack premium (2.11×) with consistent demand signals. Best-priced SIR at this early stage.
- EN print run signals — Heavy EN printing would push base cards and foils lower. Watch secondary market supply over the next 2–3 weeks.
Where to buy in the Philippines: Shopee PH, Facebook Marketplace, Card Affinity PH, local card shops in Metro Manila / Cebu / Davao.
All prices in USD from PriceCharting as of 4 June 2026. PHP conversions at ~₱61.6/USD. Always verify current prices before making purchasing decisions. tcgTalk does not provide financial advice.