Card prices sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD), September 2026. PHP equivalents use live exchange rates. Paldea Evolved released June 2023 — market prices reflect significant secondary market appreciation since launch. For Filipino collectors.
The Short Answer
At current secondary market prices, Paldea Evolved is one of the worst-value sets to open. The market box price (~₱ 29,273) is approximately 1.9× the break-even price (~₱ 15,321). At Singapore retail (if you can find it), opening is positive EV with a 70.1% win rate for boxes.
| Product | Retail Price (PHP) | Market Price (PHP) | Expected Card Value | Return at Retail | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | ₱ 319 | ₱ 1,285 | ₱ 425 | 1.33× | +EV at retail. −EV at market. |
| Booster Bundle (6 packs) | ₱ 1,915 | ₱ 7,599 | ₱ 2,553 | 1.32× | +EV at retail. −EV at market. |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | ₱ 11,490 | ₱ 29,273 | ₱ 15,321 | 1.34× | +EV at retail. −EV at market. |
Card Prices by Rarity
Paldea Evolved (SV02) has 279 total cards across six rarity tiers above common. Released June 2023, it introduced Iono, the Paradox Pokémon, and the beloved Paldean starter lines.
Hyper Rare (HR) — #271–279
9 cards. Pull rate approximately ~1 in 57 packs (1.75%). The gold Energy cards are the most sought-after HRs.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 279 | Basic Water Energy | $10.12 | ₱ 636 |
| 278 | Basic Grass Energy | $10.06 | ₱ 632 |
| 271 | Meowscarada ex | $9.23 | ₱ 580 |
| 272 | Skeledirge ex | $6.71 | ₱ 422 |
| 274 | Chien-Pao ex | $6.61 | ₱ 415 |
| 273 | Quaquaval ex | $5.00 | ₱ 314 |
| 276 | Super Rod | $4.12 | ₱ 259 |
| 275 | Ting-Lu ex | $4.03 | ₱ 253 |
| 277 | Superior Energy Retrieval | $2.85 | ₱ 179 |
Pool average: ₱ 410. Pool median: ₱ 415.
Special Illustration Rares (★★ SIR) — #256–270
15 cards. Pull rate approximately ~1 in 32 packs (3.13%). The Iono SIR (#269) is the most coveted, reflecting the character's enormous fan following.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 269 | Iono | $57.37 | ₱ 3,605 |
| 259 | Chi-Yu ex | $51.66 | ₱ 3,246 |
| 262 | Tinkaton ex | $48.24 | ₱ 3,031 |
| 258 | Skeledirge ex | $31.22 | ₱ 1,962 |
| 256 | Meowscarada ex | $29.36 | ₱ 1,845 |
| 261 | Chien-Pao ex | $29.27 | ₱ 1,839 |
| 268 | Grusha | $19.95 | ₱ 1,253 |
| 265 | Boss's Orders (Ghetsis) | $18.19 | ₱ 1,143 |
| 257 | Wo-Chien ex | $18.00 | ₱ 1,131 |
| 270 | Saguaro | $15.00 | ₱ 942 |
| 260 | Quaquaval ex | $14.25 | ₱ 895 |
| 264 | Squawkabilly ex | $12.30 | ₱ 773 |
| 263 | Ting-Lu ex | $10.83 | ₱ 680 |
| 266 | Dendra | $9.92 | ₱ 623 |
| 267 | Giacomo | $5.27 | ₱ 331 |
Pool average: ₱ 1,553. Pool median: ₱ 1,143. The top 3 SIRs (Iono, Chi-Yu ex, Tinkaton ex) make up roughly 42% of the pool's total value.
Illustration Rares (★ IR) — #194–229
35+ cards. Expected roughly once every 13 packs (~1 in 13 packs (7.69%)). This is Paldea Evolved's most impactful rarity tier — an unusually high average value driven by the legendary Magikarp IR.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 | Magikarp | $340.17 | ₱ 21,373 | The chase IR — legendary composition |
| 211 | Raichu | $99.18 | ₱ 6,231 | Fan favourite Kanto Pokémon |
| 226 | Maushold | $85.50 | ₱ 5,372 | Internet darling of SV era |
| 222 | Tyranitar | $61.13 | ₱ 3,841 | |
| 204 | Marill | $50.99 | ₱ 3,204 | |
| 196 | Sprigatito | $46.30 | ₱ 2,909 | |
| 201 | Fuecoco | $39.80 | ₱ 2,501 | |
| 212 | Mismagius | $34.00 | ₱ 2,136 | |
| 210 | Baxcalibur | $31.99 | ₱ 2,010 | |
| 194 | Heracross | $31.52 | ₱ 1,980 | |
| 219 | Sudowoodo | $30.00 | ₱ 1,885 | |
| 217 | Tinkatuff | $29.68 | ₱ 1,865 | |
| 216 | Tinkatink | $25.11 | ₱ 1,578 | |
| 208 | Frigibax | $22.96 | ₱ 1,443 | |
| 205 | Eiscue | $19.99 | ₱ 1,256 | |
| 197 | Floragato | $19.35 | ₱ 1,216 | |
| 199 | Fletchinder | $18.72 | ₱ 1,176 | |
| 209 | Arctibax | $18.57 | ₱ 1,167 | |
| 206 | Quaxly | $17.78 | ₱ 1,117 | |
| 218 | Paldean Tauros | $15.92 | ₱ 1,000 | |
| 202 | Crocalor | $15.50 | ₱ 974 | |
| 228 | Farigiraf | $14.77 | ₱ 928 | |
| 195 | Tropius | $14.51 | ₱ 912 | |
| 221 | Paldean Wooper | $13.15 | ₱ 826 | |
| 213 | Gothorita | $12.29 | ₱ 772 | |
| 229 | Dudunsparce | $11.99 | ₱ 753 | |
| 227 | Flamigo | $11.84 | ₱ 744 | |
| 225 | Rookidee | $11.32 | ₱ 711 | |
| 214 | Sandygast | $10.50 | ₱ 660 | |
| 198 | Bramblin | $10.47 | ₱ 658 | |
| 207 | Quaxwell | $9.55 | ₱ 600 | |
| 223 | Grafaiai | $8.30 | ₱ 521 | |
| 220 | Nacli | $6.68 | ₱ 420 | |
| 224 | Orthworm | $6.53 | ₱ 410 | |
| 215 | Rabsca | $6.29 | ₱ 395 |
Pool average: ₱ 2,158. Pool median: ₱ 1,167. The massive gap between average and median tells the whole story — the Magikarp IR pulls the mean far above the typical experience.
Ultra Rares (★★ UR) — #230–255
26 cards. Pull rate approximately ~1 in 15 packs (6.67%). Most UR pulls are worth ₱ 97–₱ 314.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239 | Dedenne ex | $15.71 | ₱ 987 |
| 254 | Iono | $10.59 | ₱ 665 |
| 248 | Boss's Orders (Ghetsis) | $9.45 | ₱ 594 |
| 240 | Tinkaton ex | $9.00 | ₱ 565 |
| 238 | Slowking ex | $8.21 | ₱ 516 |
| 242 | Annihilape ex | $4.41 | ₱ 277 |
| 234 | Chi-Yu ex | $4.06 | ₱ 255 |
| 231 | Meowscarada ex | $4.05 | ₱ 254 |
| 253 | Grusha | $3.51 | ₱ 221 |
| 237 | Bellibolt ex | $3.14 | ₱ 197 |
| 236 | Chien-Pao ex | $2.99 | ₱ 188 |
| 233 | Skeledirge ex | $2.83 | ₱ 178 |
| 246 | Noivern ex | $2.55 | ₱ 160 |
| 232 | Wo-Chien ex | $2.55 | ₱ 160 |
| 244 | Paldean Clodsire ex | $2.49 | ₱ 156 |
| 235 | Quaquaval ex | $2.35 | ₱ 148 |
| 250 | Dendra | $2.31 | ₱ 145 |
| 241 | Lycanroc ex | $2.15 | ₱ 135 |
| 230 | Forretress ex | $1.82 | ₱ 114 |
| 251 | Falkner | $1.79 | ₱ 112 |
| 243 | Ting-Lu ex | $1.67 | ₱ 105 |
| 247 | Squawkabilly ex | $1.59 | ₱ 100 |
| 249 | Clavell | $1.57 | ₱ 99 |
| 245 | Copperajah ex | $1.33 | ₱ 84 |
| 252 | Giacomo | $1.30 | ₱ 82 |
| 255 | Saguaro | $1.16 | ₱ 73 |
Pool average: ₱ 253. Dedenne ex (#239) at ₱ 987 and Iono UR (#254) at ₱ 665 are the standouts.
Double Rares (★★ ex)
17 ex Pokémon. Pull rate ~1 in 7 packs (14.3%). Pikachu ex (#63) is the notable exception at ₱ 243. Pool average: ₱ 78.
Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value
7 of the 10 highest-value cards are Illustration Rares, not SIRs. The IR pool in this set is exceptionally strong — Magikarp, Raichu, Maushold, and Tyranitar all command prices that rival or exceed many SIRs from other sets. For Filipino collectors, the Magikarp IR at ₱ 21,373 represents a significant target — comparable to premium SIRs in other popular sets.
Expected Value per Pack
| Component | Pull Rate | Pool Avg (USD) | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulk (commons + uncommons) | 100% | $0.80 | $0.80 |
| Reverse Holo slot | 100% | $1.60 | $1.60 |
| Standard Rare (★) | 66.5% | $0.60 | $0.40 |
| Double Rare (★★ ex) | 14.3% | $1.24 | $0.18 |
| Ultra Rare (#230–255) | 6.7% | $4.02 | $0.27 |
| Hyper Rare (#271–279) | 1.75% | $6.53 | $0.11 |
| SIR (#256–270) | 3.1% | $24.72 | $0.77 |
| Illustration Rare (#194–229) | 7.7% | $34.35 | $2.64 |
Illustration Rares contribute 39% of total EV — unusually high for an SV-era set. The Magikarp IR ($340) accounts for roughly 11% of total EV per pack by itself.
Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds
Results from 100,000 simulated openings. Simulation prices are in USD; PHP equivalents depend on your current rate.
Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. The +$350–$550 cluster represents hitting the Magikarp IR (#203) plus other strong hits. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), September 2026.
Win / Loss summary across all formats
| Scenario | Cost (USD) | Win % | Loss % | Median P/L | P5 (bad luck) | P95 (good luck) | Avg Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pack — retail (~$5.08) | $5.08 | 16.2% | 83.8% | −$2 | −$2 | +$16 | 1.33× |
| Bundle — retail (~$30.48) | $30.48 | 43.5% | 56.5% | −$3 | −$12 | +$66 | 1.32× |
| Box — retail (~$182.88) | $182.88 | 70.1% | 29.9% | +$31 | −$44 | +$343 | 1.34× |
| Pack — market (~$20.45) | $20.45 | 5.6% | 94.4% | −$17 | −$17 | +$1 | 0.33× |
| Bundle — market (~$120.95) | $120.95 | 2.5% | 97.5% | −$93 | −$103 | −$23 | 0.34× |
| Box — market (~$465.91) | $465.91 | 7.5% | 92.5% | −$252 | −$327 | +$58 | 0.52× |
The Break-Even Price
What You Should Actually Do
If you want a specific card
Buy the single. Use the tcgTalk price comparison to find the best current price. For the Magikarp IR at ₱ 21,373, opening packs is mathematically absurd — the expected cost to target it is roughly 468 packs (~₱ 601,321 at market pack price). For Filipino collectors, Shopee PH and local card shops in Metro Manila typically have better prices than international platforms for this older 2023 set.
If you want to open packs
At market prices, do not open Paldea Evolved. A box at ₱ 29,273 returns ~₱ 15,321 in expected card value. If you can source sealed product at or near original retail (~₱ 319/pack or ₱ 11,490 for a box), the math flips: 70.1% win rate, median +$31 profit, 1.34× return.
If you already have cards to sell
The Magikarp IR (#203) at ₱ 21,373 is the crown jewel and tends to be stable. Raichu IR (#211) and Maushold IR (#226) are also well-supported. The Iono SIR (#269) is the most liquid SIR. These iconic cards have held value well since 2023.
Buy Paldea Evolved on TCGPlayer
Frequently Asked Questions
Is it worth opening Paldea Evolved in the Philippines?
At retail prices (~₱ 319/pack), yes — EV is ~₱ 425 per pack (1.33× return) and a retail box hits 70.1% win rate. At market prices (~₱ 1,285/pack, box ₱ 29,273), no — you get back about 33 cents per dollar spent, with a 92.5% loss rate for boxes.
What is the most expensive Paldea Evolved card in the Philippines?
The Magikarp Illustration Rare (#203) at approximately USD $340 (₱ 21,373). Raichu IR (#211) at ₱ 6,231 and Maushold IR (#226) at ₱ 5,372 follow. Iono SIR (#269) at ₱ 3,605 is the most valuable SIR.
How many SIRs are in Paldea Evolved?
15 Special Illustration Rares (#256–270) and 9 Hyper Rares (#271–279), for 24 premium rarity cards above the standard IR tier. The SIR pull rate is approximately 1 in 32 packs.
Disclaimer: All card prices from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of September 2026. PHP values use live exchange rates. Pull rates are community estimates from 8,000+ pack openings. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulated openings, seed 42. For Filipino collectors — always verify current prices on local platforms before buying or selling. This is not financial advice.