Card prices sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP values use a live exchange rate. Retail scenarios (green) show 2023 launch prices for historical reference — the set is out of print. Market scenarios (red) reflect current secondary market prices.
The Short Answer
Scarlet & Violet (SV01) is the launch set of the SV era, released April 2023. At today's secondary market prices, opening packs is significantly negative EV — the market pack price (₱581) is nearly double the break-even (₱314). The set is out of print; original retail pricing is no longer available.
| Product | Launch Retail (PHP) | Market Price (PHP) | Expected Card Value | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | ₱283 (2023) | ₱581 | ₱314 | +EV at launch. −EV at market (0.56×). |
| Booster Bundle (6 packs) | ₱1,696 (2023) | ₱5,201 | ₱1,881 | +EV at launch. −EV at market (0.56×). |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | ₱9,048 (2023) | ₱18,526 | ₱11,289 | +EV at launch. −EV at market (0.67×). |
Out of print note: SV01 is no longer in production. All sealed product is secondary market only. At market prices, all formats are deeply negative EV. Buy singles.
Card Prices by Rarity
Hyper Rares (gold) — #253–258
5 cards. Full gold foil treatment for Miraidon ex, Koraidon ex, Nest Ball, Rare Candy, and Lightning Energy. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 54 packs (1.9%).
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 253 | Miraidon ex | $7.34 | ₱461 |
| 254 | Koraidon ex | $6.07 | ₱381 |
| 256 | Rare Candy | $5.56 | ₱349 |
| 257 | Lightning Energy | $3.96 | ₱249 |
| 255 | Nest Ball | $3.67 | ₱231 |
Pool average: ₱334. Novelty collector items, not value drivers.
Special Illustration Rares (★★ SIR) — #243–252
10 cards. Pull rate approximately ~1 in 32 packs (3.1%). Price range: ₱314 – ₱4,398. Gardevoir ex is the clear standout.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245 | Gardevoir ex | $66.49 | ₱4,178 | Top chase card in the set |
| 244 | Miraidon ex | $23.95 | ₱1,505 | |
| 251 | Miriam | $23.03 | ₱1,447 | |
| 247 | Koraidon ex | $21.03 | ₱1,321 | |
| 246 | Great Tusk ex | $12.94 | ₱813 | |
| 243 | Spidops ex | $9.29 | ₱584 | |
| 252 | Penny | $6.00 | ₱377 | |
| 248 | Iron Treads ex | $5.42 | ₱341 | |
| 249 | Arven | $5.12 | ₱322 | |
| 250 | Jacq | $4.99 | ₱314 |
Pool average: ₱1,120. Pool median: ₱698. Gardevoir ex at ₱4,398 heavily skews the average — most SIR pulls land in the ₱314–₱1,571 range.
Illustration Rares (★ IR) — #199–222
24 cards. Pull rate ~1 in 13 packs (7.7%). SV01's IR pool is among the most valuable in the entire SV era — Drowzee, Kirlia, and Ralts each exceed ₱2,450.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 | Drowzee | $56.33 | ₱3,539 | Top IR — highly sought art |
| 211 | Ralts | $41.01 | ₱2,577 | Gardevoir evolution line |
| 212 | Kirlia | $39.71 | ₱2,495 | Gardevoir fan favourite |
| 204 | Slowpoke | $36.49 | ₱2,293 | |
| 215 | Riolu | $31.50 | ₱1,979 | |
| 213 | Fidough | $23.55 | ₱1,480 | |
| 206 | Wiglett | $19.38 | ₱1,218 | |
| 214 | Greavard | $18.99 | ₱1,193 | |
| 208 | Pachirisu | $15.75 | ₱990 | |
| 221 | Starly | $14.83 | ₱932 | |
| 203 | Armarouge | $14.44 | ₱907 | |
| 207 | Dondozo | $13.71 | ₱861 | |
| 199 | Tarountula | $11.72 | ₱736 | |
| 209 | Pawmot | $10.00 | ₱628 | |
| 220 | Kingambit | $9.00 | ₱565 | |
| 218 | Mabosstiff | $8.27 | ₱520 | |
| 222 | Skwovet | $7.93 | ₱498 | |
| 205 | Clauncher | $7.84 | ₱493 | |
| 202 | Scovillain | $6.54 | ₱411 | |
| 216 | Sandile | $6.48 | ₱407 | |
| 200 | Dolliv | $6.30 | ₱396 | |
| 217 | Klawf | $5.61 | ₱352 | |
| 219 | Bombirdier | $5.57 | ₱350 | |
| 201 | Toedscool | $5.31 | ₱334 |
Pool average: ₱1,089. Pool median: ₱799. IRs contribute more EV (₱86/pack) than SIRs (₱36/pack) — unusual for an SV-era set.
Ultra Rares (★★ full art) — #223–242
20 cards. Pull rate ~1 in 15 packs (6.7%). Pool average: ₱224.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 224 | Arcanine ex | $14.71 | ₱924 |
| 225 | Gyarados ex | $10.26 | ₱645 |
| 238 | Miriam | $6.44 | ₱405 |
| 228 | Gardevoir ex | $5.06 | ₱318 |
| 239 | Penny | $4.00 | ₱251 |
| 227 | Miraidon ex | $3.39 | ₱213 |
| 240 | Professor's Research (Sada) | $3.04 | ₱191 |
| 235 | Arven | $2.80 | ₱176 |
| 237 | Katy | $2.48 | ₱156 |
| 229 | Banette ex | $2.13 | ₱134 |
| 232 | Toxicroak ex | $2.10 | ₱132 |
| 231 | Koraidon ex | $2.03 | ₱128 |
| 236 | Jacq | $1.93 | ₱121 |
| 226 | Magnezone ex | $1.92 | ₱121 |
| 241 | Professor's Research (Turo) | $1.85 | ₱116 |
| 242 | Team Star Grunt | $1.69 | ₱106 |
| 234 | Oinkologne ex | $1.46 | ₱92 |
| 223 | Spidops ex | $1.45 | ₱91 |
| 230 | Great Tusk ex | $1.35 | ₱85 |
| 233 | Iron Treads ex | $1.27 | ₱80 |
Double Rares (★★ ex) — in #001–198
12 ex cards. Pull rate ~1 in 7 packs (14.3%). Pool average: ₱63.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | Gyarados ex | $2.25 | ₱141 |
| 32 | Arcanine ex | $1.54 | ₱97 |
| 86 | Gardevoir ex | $1.00 | ₱63 |
| 88 | Banette ex | $0.99 | ₱62 |
| 143 | Iron Treads ex | $0.99 | ₱62 |
| 81 | Miraidon ex | $0.85 | ₱53 |
| 158 | Oinkologne ex | $0.80 | ₱50 |
| 125 | Koraidon ex | $0.78 | ₱49 |
| 19 | Spidops ex | $0.77 | ₱48 |
| 131 | Toxicroak ex | $0.75 | ₱47 |
| 65 | Magnezone ex | $0.73 | ₱46 |
| 123 | Great Tusk ex | $0.61 | ₱38 |
Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value
7 of the top 10 most valuable cards are IRs, not SIRs. The Gardevoir cluster — Drowzee, Kirlia, Ralts — dominates the set's value profile.
Expected Value per Pack
| Component | Pull Rate | Pool Avg (USD) | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulk (commons + uncommons) | 100% | $0.80 | $0.80 |
| Reverse Holo slot | 100% | $1.60 | $1.60 |
| Standard Rare (★) | 66.3% | $0.33 | $0.22 |
| Double Rare (★★ ex) | 14.3% | $1.00 | $0.14 |
| Illustration Rare (★ IR) | 7.7% | $17.34 | $1.34 |
| Ultra Rare (#223–242) | 6.7% | $3.57 | $0.24 |
| SIR (#243–252) | 3.1% | $17.83 | $0.55 |
| Hyper Rare (#253–258) | 1.9% | $5.32 | $0.10 |
IRs contribute more EV (₱86/pack) than SIRs (₱36/pack) — driven by the Drowzee/Kirlia/Ralts cluster at ₱2,513–₱3,204. Nearly half the pack value (46%) is in guaranteed non-hit slots (bulk + reverse holo).
Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds
Results from 100,000 simulated openings using SV01 card pool prices and pull rates. Retail scenarios (green) are 2023 launch prices for historical reference — the set is out of print. Simulation prices are in USD.
Each bar = $50 profit/loss range. Even the P95 outcome is still deep in the red — this set is heavily negative EV at market. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), September 2026.
Win / Loss summary across all formats
| Scenario | Cost (USD) | Win % | Loss % | Median P/L | P5 (bad luck) | P95 (good luck) | Avg Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pack — launch retail (~$4.50) | $4.5 | 17.3% | 82.6% | −$2 | −$2 | +$12 | 1.11× |
| Bundle — launch retail (~$27) | $27 | 38.1% | 61.9% | −$4 | −$11 | +$44 | 1.11× |
| Box — launch retail (~$144) | $144 | 77.6% | 22.4% | +$29 | −$22 | +$117 | 1.25× |
| Pack — market (~$9.25) | $9.25 | 8.7% | 91.3% | −$7 | −$7 | +$8 | 0.54× |
| Bundle — market (~$82.78) | $82.78 | 2.6% | 97.4% | −$60 | −$66 | −$12 | 0.36× |
| Box — market (~$294.86) | $294.86 | 1.6% | 98.4% | −$122 | −$173 | −$34 | 0.61× |
The box at market is the worst major-set EV we have calculated. P95 = −$1: even in the best 5% of openings, you barely break even. 95% of box openers at ₱18,526 will lose money.
The Break-Even Price
What You Should Actually Do
If you want a specific card
Buy the single. Use the tcgTalk price comparison to find the best price. For Gardevoir ex SIR at ₱4,398, opening to find it is far more expensive — the expected cost to pull a specific SIR is ~320 packs, or ~₱188,591 at market prices. Use Datablitz / Game One / Shopee PH for local PHP pricing.
If you want to open packs
SV01 is not the set to open at market prices. 0.56× return for packs and bundles, 0.67× for boxes — all deeply negative EV. The set is out of print. For Filipino collectors, newer in-print sets like Journey Together or Destined Rivals offer better opening value.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is it worth opening Scarlet & Violet packs in the Philippines?
At market prices (~₱581/pack), no — EV is ₱314/pack (0.56× return). The set is out of print; only available at secondary market prices above break-even. Buy singles instead.
What is the most expensive Scarlet & Violet card right now?
Gardevoir ex SIR (#245) at ₱4,398. Drowzee IR (#210) at ₱3,204 is second — one of the most expensive IRs in the SV era. Kirlia (#212) and Ralts (#211) IRs at ~₱2,513 each.
Why are the Drowzee and Ralts IRs so expensive?
Strong artwork, Gardevoir fandom driving demand for the full evolution line, and their significance as the first SV-era IRs for these Pokémon. SV01 being the launch set of a new era gives them extra collector significance — "first printing" in the SV art style.
How does Scarlet & Violet compare to newer sets for pack opening?
Significantly worse at market prices. Newer in-print sets have lower secondary market premiums. SV01 has suffered typical base set deflation — cards have depreciated while the sealed product retains a collector premium. For pack opening value, always prefer newer in-print sets.
Disclaimer: All card prices from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of September 2026. PHP values use a live exchange rate. Pull rates are community estimates from aggregate SV01 opening data. Launch retail prices (~$4.50/pack, ~$144/box) are historical 2023 figures — SV01 is out of print. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulated openings, seed 42. This is not financial advice.