Card prices are sourced from PriceCharting market data (USD). PHP values use live exchange rates. Shrouded Fable is a mini-set (SV6pt5) — there is no traditional 36-pack booster box. Pull rates are based on approximately 1,500 community pack openings.
The Short Answer
Shrouded Fable at market prices is one of the most negative-EV sets to open. The market bundle price (~₱3,848) is 55% above the break-even of ₱2,478. At retail pricing, both formats are solidly positive EV. The unusual thing about this set: its most expensive card is an Illustration Rare (Persian, ₱4,425), not an SIR.
| Product | Retail Price (PHP) | Market Price (PHP) | Expected Card Value | Return at Retail | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | ₱313 | ₱903 | ₱413 | 1.31× | +EV at retail. −EV at market. |
| Booster Bundle (6 packs) | ₱1,880 | ₱3,848 | ₱2,478 | 1.32× | +EV at retail. −EV at market. |
| ~Break-even bundle | ₱2,478 (~$40.18 USD) | ₱2,478 | 1.0× | Expected value equals cost. | |
| Booster Box | Not available — mini-set | — | — | No standard booster box for SV6pt5. | |
Card Prices by Rarity
Shrouded Fable (SV6pt5) has 99 cards. The standout feature: the IR pool is the most valuable in the set, averaging ₱1,941 per card.
Hyper Rare (◇) — #096–099
4 cards. Gold full-art treatment. Estimated pull rate ~1 in 144 packs. Unusually, two of the four are Basic Energy cards.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 098 | Basic Darkness Energy | $59.35 | ₱3,660 |
| 099 | Basic Metal Energy | $33.92 | ₱2,092 |
| 097 | Powerglass | $19.99 | ₱1,233 |
| 096 | Earthen Vessel | $19.81 | ₱1,222 |
Pool average: ₱2,052. Pool median: ₱1,662.
Special Illustration Rares (★★ SIR) — #090–095
6 cards. The SIR pool is unusually modest compared to other SV-era sets, averaging ₱1,648. Pull rate ~1 in 67 packs.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 092 | Fezandipiti ex | $39.25 | ₱2,421 |
| 094 | Cassiopeia | $37.58 | ₱2,318 |
| 093 | Pecharunt ex | $23.98 | ₱1,479 |
| 095 | Pecharunt ex | $21.05 | ₱1,298 |
| 090 | Okidogi ex | $20.00 | ₱1,233 |
| 091 | Munkidori ex | $18.54 | ₱1,143 |
Pool average: ₱1,648. Notably, the top SIR (₱2,421) is cheaper than the top IR (₱4,425) — the only SV-era set where the IR tier outvalues the SIR tier.
Illustration Rares (★ IR) — #065–079
15 cards. The standout tier in this set — averaging ₱1,941 per card, the highest IR pool average of any SV-era set. Expected ~1 in 12 packs.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 078 | Persian | $71.76 | ₱4,425 | Top card in the set — beats every SIR |
| 068 | Duskull | $55.05 | ₱3,395 | Chase IR #2 |
| 066 | Houndoom | $53.39 | ₱3,293 | |
| 069 | Dusclops | $45.00 | ₱2,775 | |
| 067 | Horsea | $42.00 | ₱2,590 | Chase IR #3 |
| 072 | Munkidori | $34.79 | ₱2,145 | Non-ex version |
| 070 | Dusknoir | $30.46 | ₱1,878 | |
| 079 | Bewear | $26.00 | ₱1,603 | |
| 071 | Cresselia | $23.93 | ₱1,476 | |
| 075 | Zorua | $22.58 | ₱1,393 | |
| 077 | Fraxure | $16.35 | ₱1,008 | |
| 074 | Okidogi | $14.45 | ₱891 | Non-ex version |
| 076 | Cufant | $13.40 | ₱826 | |
| 073 | Fezandipiti | $11.75 | ₱725 | Non-ex version |
| 065 | Tapu Bulu | $11.11 | ₱685 |
Pool average: ₱1,941.
Ultra Rares (★★ UR) — #080–089
10 cards. Full-art ex cards and trainers. Expected ~1 in 15 packs. Moderate pool — most URs are ₱123–₱432.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 084 | Fezandipiti ex | $11.59 | ₱715 |
| 089 | Xerosic's Machinations | $7.77 | ₱479 |
| 085 | Pecharunt ex | $6.35 | ₱392 |
| 087 | Colress's Tenacity | $5.50 | ₱339 |
| 088 | Janine's Secret Art | $5.00 | ₱308 |
| 080 | Kingdra ex | $3.99 | ₱246 |
| 086 | Cassiopeia | $3.52 | ₱217 |
| 082 | Okidogi ex | $3.00 | ₱185 |
| 083 | Munkidori ex | $2.87 | ₱177 |
| 081 | Revavroom ex | $1.98 | ₱122 |
Pool average: ₱318.
Double Rares (★★ ex) — #012, #015, #036–039
6 ex cards. Expected ~1 in 5 packs. Most are under ₱123, with Fezandipiti ex (#038) and Pecharunt ex (#039) as the exceptions.
| # | Card | Price (USD) | Price (PHP) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 039 | Pecharunt ex | $3.87 | ₱239 |
| 038 | Fezandipiti ex | $3.57 | ₱220 |
| 012 | Kingdra ex | $1.14 | ₱70 |
| 036 | Okidogi ex | $0.99 | ₱61 |
| 015 | Revavroom ex | $0.99 | ₱61 |
| 037 | Munkidori ex | $0.75 | ₱46 |
Pool average: ₱117.
Chase Cards: Top 10 by Value
6 of the top 10 most valuable cards in Shrouded Fable are Illustration Rares. The set's value is more IR-dependent than any other SV-era release.
Expected Value per Pack
| Component | Pull Rate | Pool Avg (USD) | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulk (commons + uncommons) | 100% | $0.80 | $0.80 |
| Reverse Holo slot | 100% | $1.60 | $1.60 |
| Standard Rare (★) | 57.8% | $0.50 | $0.29 |
| Double Rare (★★ ex) | 20.0% | $1.89 | $0.38 |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 5.0% | $0.75 | $0.04 |
| Illustration Rare (★ IR) | 8.3% | $31.47 | $2.62 |
| Ultra Rare (#080–089) | 6.7% | $5.16 | $0.34 |
| SIR (#090–095) | 1.5% | $26.73 | $0.40 |
| Hyper Rare (#096–099) | 0.7% | $33.27 | $0.23 |
Illustration Rares contribute 37% of total EV ($2.62) — the largest single driver of expected value. SIRs contribute only 6% of EV ($0.40) despite being the "chase" rarity by name.
Monte Carlo: Win vs Loss Odds
The chart below shows results from 100,000 simulated openings. Simulation prices are in USD; your PHP value depends on the current exchange rate.
Each bar = $10 profit/loss range. The +$30–$130 cluster represents hitting an IR or better. 100,000 simulated openings. Prices from PriceCharting (USD), August 2026.
Win / Loss summary across all formats
| Scenario | Cost (USD) | Win % | Loss % | Median P/L | P5 (bad luck) | P95 (good luck) | Avg Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pack — retail (~$5.08) | $5.08 | 23.2% | 76.8% | −$2 | −$2 | +$23 | 1.32× |
| Bundle — retail (~$30.48) | $30.48 | 48.5% | 51.5% | −$1 | −$13 | +$62 | 1.32× |
| Pack — market (~$14.65) | $14.65 | 9.6% | 90.4% | −$12 | −$12 | +$14 | 0.46× |
| Bundle — market (~$62.40) | $62.4 | 18.4% | 81.6% | −$33 | −$45 | +$30 | 0.64× |
The Break-Even Price
The Shrouded Fable market bundle price (~₱3,848) is 55% above break-even (₱2,478). At retail pricing (~₱1,880 bundle), opening is +EV (1.32×).
What You Should Actually Do
If you want a specific card
Buy the single. Use the tcgTalk price comparison to find the best current price. For Persian IR at ₱4,425, the expected cost to pull it by opening packs is roughly 12 packs × ₱903 = ₱10,842 at market price — nearly double the single price.
If you want to open packs
Only open at retail pricing. At retail (~₱313/pack, ~₱1,880/bundle), the math works in your favour (1.32× expected return). At market prices (₱903/pack, ₱3,848/bundle), you are paying 1.5× the expected card value. The retail bundle at 48.5% win rate is the most reasonable format.
If you are buying sealed for investment
Shrouded Fable sealed at retail is positive EV. As a mini-set with a limited print run, sealed product tends to hold value better. However, at market bundle prices (~₱3,848), the math does not support opening — and the set's investment case rests on whether IR prices (especially Persian at ₱4,425) hold. If those IRs soften, sealed value follows.
Buy Shrouded Fable on TCGPlayer
Frequently Asked Questions
Is it worth opening Shrouded Fable in the Philippines?
At retail pricing (~₱313/pack), yes — EV is ~₱413/pack (1.31× return). At market prices (~₱903/pack, ₱3,848/bundle), no — 0.63× and 0.67× return respectively. Buy singles if you want specific cards.
What is the most expensive Shrouded Fable card?
Persian (#078 IR) at approximately USD $71.76 (₱4,425) is the top card — unusual for an Illustration Rare to outvalue every SIR. Basic Darkness Energy Hyper Rare (#098) is a close second at ₱3,660.
Does Shrouded Fable have a booster box?
No. Shrouded Fable is a mini-set (SV6pt5) released only in booster pack and 6-pack bundle format. There is no traditional 36-pack booster box.
Why are the Shrouded Fable Illustration Rares so expensive?
The IR illustrations in this set are unusually well-received by the collector community — Persian, Duskull, Horsea, and Houndoom in particular. Combined with a smaller print run (mini-set), these IRs have held elevated prices. The Persian IR at ₱4,425 is more expensive than every SIR in the set, which almost never happens in standard SV-era releases.
Disclaimer: All card prices are from PriceCharting market data (USD) as of August 2026. PHP values use live exchange rates. Pull rates are community estimates from approximately 1,500 pack openings. Monte Carlo uses 100,000 simulations, seed 42. This is not financial advice.