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GuidesToppsTopps · Trading Cards · 2025

2025 Topps Chrome Deadpool Odds Calculator

An interactive 2025 Topps Chrome Deadpool pack odds calculator built on Topps' official published odds. Enter how many packs you're opening — pick any refractor, parallel, autograph or insert — and get your live chance of at least one, the expected count, and how many packs it takes for a 50/90/95% shot.

2025 Topps Chrome Deadpool Odds Calculator
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Configurations
4
Odds Rows
552
Autographs
44
Base Parallels
91

2025 Topps Chrome Deadpool Pack Odds Calculator

Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.

Product configuration
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Hobby · Topps Chrome Autographs Refractor Parallel
41%
chance of at least one Topps Chrome Autographs Refractor Parallel across 24 packs
0.52 expectedbase 1 in 4632 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
ParallelPer pack≥1 in 24Expected
Topps Chrome Autographs Refractor Parallel1:4641%0.52
Topps Chrome Autographs Aqua Refractor1:13017%0.18
Autographs Green/Aqua RayWave1:13816%0.17
Best Bubs Autograph Cards Refractor Parallel1:17113%0.14
Topps Chrome Autographs Green Refractor Parallel1:18412%0.13
Marvel Comic Book Ar^st Autographs Refractor Parallel1:20111%0.12
Topps Chrome Autographs Dogpool Refractor Parallel1:2439.4%0.10
Topps Chrome Autographs Gold Raywave Parallel1:3227.2%0.07
Autographs Human Torch Lava Parallel (Red1:4165.6%0.06
Topps Chrome Autographs Orange Shimmer Parallel1:5864.0%0.04
Marvel Comic Book Ar^st Autographs Green Refractor Parallel1:5924.0%0.04
Autographs Human Torch Lava Parallel (Red1:9312.5%0.03
Autographs Wolverine Yellow & Blue X-Fractor1:9832.4%0.02
Deadpool Autographs1:9902.4%0.02
Marvel Comic Book Ar^st Autographs Gold Raywave Parallel1:1,2022.0%0.02
Best Bubs Autograph Cards Orange Shimmer Parallel1:1,3311.8%0.02
Ar^st Autographs Human Torch Lava1:1,4481.6%0.02
Topps Chrome Autographs Black Refractor Parallel1:1,4701.6%0.02
Topps Chrome Dual Autographs Gold Raywave Parallel1:1,4921.6%0.02
Topps Chrome Dual Autographs Orange Shimmer Parallel1:1,5151.6%0.02
Best Bubs Autograph Cards Wolverine Yellow & Blue X-Fractor Parallel1:1,8791.3%0.01
Topps Chrome Dual Autographs Refractor Parallel1:2,2831.0%0.01
Ar^st Autographs Orange Shimmer1:2,3941.0%0.01
Autographs Wolverine Yellow & Blue X-Fractor1:2,4131.0%0.01
Best Bubs Autograph Cards Black Refractor Parallel1:2,8000.9%0.01
Topps Chrome Autographs Red Refractor Parallel1:2,9390.8%0.01
Autographs Deadpool Red & Black Wave1:2,9680.8%0.01
Topps Chrome Dual Autographs Black Refractor Parallel1:3,5760.7%0.01
Ar^st Autographs Wolverine Yellow &1:3,7100.6%0.01
Marvel Comic Book Ar^st Autographs Black Refractor Parallel1:5,4960.4%0
Best Bubs Autograph Cards Deadpool Red & Black Wave Parallel1:5,9360.4%0
Best Bubs Autograph Cards Red Refractor Parallel1:5,9360.4%0
Autographs Deadpool Red & Black Wave1:7,4190.3%0
Topps Chrome Dual Autographs Red Refractor Parallel1:7,4190.3%0
Deadpool Autographs Gold Parallel1:7,4190.3%0
Ar^st Autographs Deadpool Red & Black1:11,8710.2%0
Marvel Comic Book Ar^st Autographs Red Refractor Parallel1:11,8710.2%0
Deadpool Autographs Orange Parallel1:14,8380.2%0
Topps Chrome Autographs Superfractor Parallel1:15,6190.2%0
Best Bubs Autograph Cards Superfractor Parallel1:26,9790.1%0
Topps Chrome Dual Autographs Superfractor Parallel1:32,9740.1%0
Deadpool Autographs Black Parallel1:32,9740.1%0
Marvel Comic Book Ar^st Autographs Superfractor Parallel1:49,4600.0%0
Deadpool Autographs Red Parallel1:74,1900.0%0

These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Chrome Deadpool (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.

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How the Odds Are Calculated

Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:

  • Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card, 1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs.
  • Expected — the average number across your packs, packs / N.
  • Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards, ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).

Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.

Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Chrome Deadpool. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.

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