2026 Topps Chrome Logofractor Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Base Cards MLB Logofractor | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Base Cards Pink MLB Logofractor | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Base Cards Blue MLB Logofractor | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Base Cards Green MLB Logofractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Base Cards Purple MLB Logofractor | 1:31 | 54% | 0.77 |
| Base Cards Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:47 | 40% | 0.51 |
| Base Card Image Variations MLB Logofractor | 1:70 | 29% | 0.34 |
| Base Cards Orange MLB Logofractor | 1:93 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Base Cards Black MLB Logofractor | 1:232 | 9.8% | 0.10 |
| Base Card Image Variations Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:279 | 8.3% | 0.09 |
| Base Cards Red MLB Logofractor | 1:463 | 5.1% | 0.05 |
| Base Card Image Variations Orange MLB Logofractor | 1:557 | 4.2% | 0.04 |
| Base Card Image Variations Black MLB Logofractor | 1:1,389 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| Base Cards Rose Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:2,286 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Base Card Image Variations Red MLB Logofractor | 1:2,766 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Base Card Image Variations Rose Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:13,715 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Inserts | |||
| 1991 Topps Baseball MLB Logofractor | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Big Ticket Players MLB Logofractor | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Wrecking Crew MLB Logofractor | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Future Stars MLB Logofractor | 1:30 | 56% | 0.80 |
| Perspectives MLB Logofractor | 1:30 | 56% | 0.80 |
| 1991 Topps Baseball Green MLB Logofractor | 1:235 | 9.7% | 0.10 |
| Big Ticket Players Green MLB Logofractor | 1:282 | 8.2% | 0.09 |
| Wrecking Crew Green MLB Logofractor | 1:282 | 8.2% | 0.09 |
| 1991 Topps Baseball Purple MLB Logofractor | 1:310 | 7.5% | 0.08 |
| Big Ticket Players Purple MLB Logofractor | 1:371 | 6.3% | 0.06 |
| Wrecking Crew Purple MLB Logofractor | 1:371 | 6.3% | 0.06 |
| 1991 Topps Baseball Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:464 | 5.0% | 0.05 |
| Big Ticket Players Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:557 | 4.2% | 0.04 |
| Wrecking Crew Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:557 | 4.2% | 0.04 |
| Future Stars Green MLB Logofractor | 1:702 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Perspectives Green MLB Logofractor | 1:702 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| 1991 Topps Baseball Orange MLB Logofractor | 1:926 | 2.6% | 0.03 |
| Future Stars Purple MLB Logofractor | 1:926 | 2.6% | 0.03 |
| Perspectives Purple MLB Logofractor | 1:926 | 2.6% | 0.03 |
| Big Ticket Players Orange MLB Logofractor | 1:1,113 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Wrecking Crew Orange MLB Logofractor | 1:1,113 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Future Stars Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:1,389 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| Perspectives Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:1,389 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| 1991 Topps Baseball Black MLB Logofractor | 1:2,310 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Big Ticket Players Black MLB Logofractor | 1:2,766 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Future Stars Orange MLB Logofractor | 1:2,766 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Perspectives Orange MLB Logofractor | 1:2,766 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Wrecking Crew Black MLB Logofractor | 1:2,766 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| 1991 Topps Baseball Red MLB Logofractor | 1:4,572 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Big Ticket Players Red MLB Logofractor | 1:5,509 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Wrecking Crew Red MLB Logofractor | 1:5,509 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Future Stars Black MLB Logofractor | 1:6,858 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Perspectives Black MLB Logofractor | 1:6,858 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Future Stars Red MLB Logofractor | 1:13,715 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Perspectives Red MLB Logofractor | 1:13,715 | 0.2% | 0 |
| 1991 Topps Baseball Rose Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:22,400 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Big Ticket Players Rose Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:26,880 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Wrecking Crew Rose Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:26,880 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Future Stars Rose Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:67,200 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Perspectives Rose Gold MLB Logofractor | 1:67,200 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Autographs | |||
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs MLB Refractor | 1:80 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs Green MLB Refractor | 1:182 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs Blue MLB Refractor | 1:183 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs Purple MLB Refractor | 1:249 | 9.2% | 0.10 |
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs Gold MLB Refractor | 1:361 | 6.4% | 0.07 |
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs White MLB Refractor | 1:599 | 3.9% | 0.04 |
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs Orange MLB Refractor | 1:727 | 3.2% | 0.03 |
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs Black MLB Refractor | 1:1,847 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs Red MLB Refractor | 1:3,394 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Topps Chrome Logofractor Autographs Rose Gold MLB Refractor | 1:16,800 | 0.1% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2026 Topps Chrome Logofractor (Standard). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2026 Topps Chrome Logofractor. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.