2026 Topps Chrome VeeFriends Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Base Set Pink Refractor | 1:45 | 42% | 0.53 |
| Base Set Aqua Raywave Refractor | 1:56 | 35% | 0.43 |
| Base Set Blue Refractor | 1:74 | 28% | 0.32 |
| Base Set Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 1:111 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Base Set VF Green Refractor | 1:112 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Base Set Purple Refractor | 1:147 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Base Set Gold Refractor | 1:221 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Base Set Pearl Refractor | 1:367 | 6.3% | 0.07 |
| Base Set Orange Refractor | 1:441 | 5.3% | 0.05 |
| Base Set Black Mini-Diamond Refractor | 1:553 | 4.3% | 0.04 |
| Base Set Black Refractor | 1:1,101 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Base Set Red Mini-Diamond Refractor | 1:1,106 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Chalkboard VF Green Refractor | 1:1,113 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Neon Lights VF Green Refractor | 1:1,113 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Base Set Black Cat Refractor | 1:1,573 | 1.5% | 0.02 |
| Base Set Red Refractor | 1:2,202 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Chalkboard Gold Refractor | 1:2,202 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Neon Lights Gold Refractor | 1:2,202 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Stellar Haze Gold Refractor | 1:2,202 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| MegaHeads Red Refractor | 1:4,195 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Balance Battles Gold Refractor | 1:4,408 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Chalkboard Orange Refractor | 1:4,408 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Neon Lights Orange Refractor | 1:4,408 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Stellar Haze Orange Refractor | 1:4,408 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Original Sketch Selections Gold Refractor | 1:8,671 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Balance Battles Orange Refractor | 1:8,852 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Chalkboard Black Refractor | 1:11,007 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Neon Lights Black Refractor | 1:11,007 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Erupt! Black Lava Refractor | 1:11,007 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Stellar Haze Black Refractor | 1:11,007 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Balance Battles Black Refractor | 1:22,128 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Chalkboard Red Refractor | 1:22,128 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Neon Lights Red Refractor | 1:22,128 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Stellar Haze Red Refractor | 1:22,128 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Balance Battles Red Refractor | 1:45,197 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Original Sketch Selections Red Refractor | 1:96,558 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Inserts | |||
| Base Set | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Base Set X- Fractors | 1:2 | 100% | 12 |
| MegaHeads | 1:8 | 96% | 3 |
| Manga Speckle Set | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Balance Battles | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Chalkboard | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Content Condor Creators | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| SuperFractor Neon Lights | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Purple Mini- Diamond | 1:74 | 28% | 0.32 |
| Orange Mini- Diamond | 1:222 | 10% | 0.11 |
| VeeFriends Variants Purple Variant | 1:240 | 9.5% | 0.10 |
| Stellar Haze | 1:320 | 7.2% | 0.08 |
| Sketch Cards | 1:507 | 4.6% | 0.05 |
| Iconics | 1:640 | 3.7% | 0.04 |
| Speckle Set Orange Speckle | 1:881 | 2.7% | 0.03 |
| Topps 1986 Variation | 1:1,025 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Original Sketch Selections | 1:1,650 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Comic Clippings | 1:1,812 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| VeeFriends Variants Green Variant | 1:1,916 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Condor On-Card | 1:1,986 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Condor Creators Base | 1:2,165 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Speckle Set Purple Speckle | 1:2,202 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| VeeFriends Variants Gritty Ghost | 1:2,395 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Variants Last Glass Standing | 1:2,395 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Condor Creators VF Green | 1:3,708 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Erupt! | 1:4,000 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Speckle Set Red Speckle | 1:4,408 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Variants Last Glass Standing | 1:4,790 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Condor Creators Gold | 1:7,351 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Base Set SuperFractor | 1:11,007 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Condor Creators Orange | 1:14,752 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Selections Orange | 1:17,556 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Speckle Set Black Speckle | 1:22,128 | 0.1% | 0 |
| MegaHeads SuperFractor | 1:22,691 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Condor Creators Black | 1:37,934 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Selections Black | 1:45,197 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Condor Creators Red | 1:78,677 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Topps 1986 Variation SuperFractor | 1:96,558 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Chalkboard SuperFractor | 1:124,957 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Neon Lights SuperFractor | 1:124,957 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Erupt! SuperFractor | 1:124,957 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Stellar Haze SuperFractor | 1:124,957 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Blank Canvas Art Card | 1:166,133 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Balance Battles SuperFractor | 1:303,466 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Condor Creators | 1:708,086 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Original Sketch Selections SuperFractor | 1:1,062,128 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Autographs | |||
| Vee Autograph | 1:1,902 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Condor Creators Autograph | 1:88,043 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Condor On-Card Autograph | 1:99,680 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Condor Creators Autograph | 1:374,400 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Condor On-Card Autograph | 1:498,400 | 0.0% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2026 Topps Chrome VeeFriends (CEE Mega Box). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2026 Topps Chrome VeeFriends. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.