2026 Topps Chrome x Jennie Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Base Cards Refractor Parallel | 1:2 | 100% | 12 |
| Base Cards Teal Refractor Parallel | 1:18 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Base Cards Yellow Refractor Parallel | 1:19 | 73% | 1.26 |
| Base Cards Pink Refractor Parallel | 1:21 | 69% | 1.14 |
| Base Cards Pink Wave Refractor Parallel | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Base Cards Aqua Refractor Parallel | 1:26 | 61% | 0.92 |
| Base Cards Blue Refractor Parallel | 1:35 | 50% | 0.69 |
| Base Cards Blue Wave Refractor Parallel | 1:42 | 44% | 0.57 |
| Base Cards Green Refractor Parallel | 1:53 | 37% | 0.45 |
| Base Cards Purple Refractor Parallel | 1:69 | 30% | 0.35 |
| Chromium Close-ups Aqua Parallel | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Monochrome Mementos Aqua Parallel | 1:78 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Base Cards Gold Refractor Parallel | 1:104 | 21% | 0.23 |
| Chromium Close-ups Blue Parallel | 1:104 | 21% | 0.23 |
| Monochrome Mementos Blue Parallel | 1:104 | 21% | 0.23 |
| Chromium Close-ups Blue Wave Parallel | 1:124 | 18% | 0.19 |
| Monochrome Mementos Blue Wave Parallel | 1:124 | 18% | 0.19 |
| Chromium Close-ups Green Parallel | 1:156 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Monochrome Mementos Green Parallel | 1:156 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Base Cards Orange Refractor Parallel | 1:206 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Chromium Close-ups Purple Parallel | 1:206 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Monochrome Mementos Purple Parallel | 1:206 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Chromium Close-ups Gold Parallel | 1:309 | 7.5% | 0.08 |
| Monochrome Mementos Gold Parallel | 1:309 | 7.5% | 0.08 |
| Base Cards Black Refractor Parallel | 1:514 | 4.6% | 0.05 |
| Chromium Close-ups Orange Parallel | 1:615 | 3.8% | 0.04 |
| Monochrome Mementos Orange Parallel | 1:615 | 3.8% | 0.04 |
| Base Cards Red Refractor Parallel | 1:1,021 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Chromium Close-ups Black Parallel | 1:1,531 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Monochrome Mementos Black Parallel | 1:1,531 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Chromium Close-ups Red Parallel | 1:3,062 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Monochrome Mementos Red Parallel | 1:3,062 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Base Cards Superfractor Parallel | 1:5,000 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Chromium Close-ups Superfractor Parallel | 1:15,000 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Monochrome Mementos Superfractor Parallel | 1:15,000 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Inserts | |||
| Chromium Close-ups | 1:2 | 100% | 12 |
| Monochrome Mementos | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Ruby Short Prints | 1:31 | 54% | 0.77 |
| Ruby Super Short Prints | 1:155 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Autographs | |||
| Base Autographs | 1:838 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Base Autographs Black Parallel | 1:1,516 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Base Autographs Red Parallel | 1:3,000 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Ruby Sp Autographs Black Parallel | 1:7,500 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Base Autographs Superfractor Parallel | 1:15,000 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Ruby Sp Autographs Red Parallel | 1:15,000 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Autograph Relic Black Parallel | 1:15,000 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Autograph Relic Red Parallel | 1:30,000 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Ruby Ssp Autographs Red Parallel | 1:30,000 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Ruby Sp Autographs Superfractor Parallel | 1:75,000 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Autograph Relic Foilfractor Parallel | 1:150,000 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Ruby Ssp Autographs Superfractor Parallel | 1:150,000 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Relics & Memorabilia | |||
| Concert Relics | 1:356 | 6.5% | 0.07 |
| Concert Relics Purple Foil | 1:2,028 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Concert Relics Gold Foil | 1:3,062 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Concert Relics Orange Foil | 1:6,000 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Concert Relics Black Foil | 1:15,000 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Concert Relics Red Foil | 1:30,000 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Concert Relics Foilfractor | 1:150,000 | 0.0% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2026 Topps Chrome x Jennie (Standard). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2026 Topps Chrome x Jennie. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.