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Configurations
8
Odds Rows
3,656
Autographs
355
Base Parallels
401
2025 Topps Chrome Football Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
Product configuration
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Distributor · Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Green
99%
chance of at least one Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Green across 24 packs
≈ 4 expectedbase 1 in 6≈ 4 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Green | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Purple | 1:8 | 96% | 3 |
| Sapphire Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:9 | 94% | 2.67 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:9 | 94% | 2.67 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Green | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:11 | 90% | 2.18 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Purple | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:15 | 81% | 1.60 |
| Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:17 | 77% | 1.41 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:18 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Sapphire Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:22 | 67% | 1.09 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Pink | 1:27 | 60% | 0.89 |
| Sapphire Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:31 | 54% | 0.77 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:32 | 53% | 0.75 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:34 | 51% | 0.71 |
| Superfractor Chrome Legends Autographs Gold | 1:37 | 48% | 0.65 |
| Sapphire Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:37 | 48% | 0.65 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Blue | 1:38 | 47% | 0.63 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs Green | 1:38 | 47% | 0.63 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Blue | 1:40 | 46% | 0.60 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs Teal | 1:42 | 44% | 0.57 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:43 | 43% | 0.56 |
| Superfractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs Orange | 1:44 | 42% | 0.55 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Geometric Chrome Legends Autographs Orange | 1:47 | 40% | 0.51 |
| Superfractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Gold | 1:55 | 36% | 0.44 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Green | 1:57 | 35% | 0.42 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs Green | 1:58 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:58 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Superfractor Future Stars Autographs Orange | 1:60 | 33% | 0.40 |
| Geometric Hall of Chrome Autographs Orange | 1:62 | 32% | 0.39 |
| Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:62 | 32% | 0.39 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:64 | 31% | 0.38 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Pink Lava | 1:66 | 31% | 0.36 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Purple | 1:74 | 28% | 0.32 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Purple | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:83 | 25% | 0.29 |
| Superfractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs | 1:85 | 25% | 0.28 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red | 1:86 | 24% | 0.28 |
| Sapphire Chrome Legends Autographs | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Sapphire Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:93 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Base Variation Autographs | 1:95 | 22% | 0.25 |
| Chrome Legends Autographs Gold | 1:98 | 22% | 0.24 |
| Sapphire Future Stars Autographs | 1:100 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Blue | 1:104 | 21% | 0.23 |
| Future Stars Autographs Gold | 1:106 | 20% | 0.23 |
| Hall of Chrome Autographs Gold | 1:106 | 20% | 0.23 |
| Geometric 1990 Topps Football Autographs Black | 1:107 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Blue | 1:107 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Superfractor Rookie Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:108 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Sapphire Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:109 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:109 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Geometric Chrome Legends Autographs Black | 1:110 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:110 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:111 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red | 1:113 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:119 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Gold Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:123 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:141 | 16% | 0.17 |
| Geometric Hall of Chrome Autographs Black | 1:142 | 16% | 0.17 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Teal | 1:143 | 16% | 0.17 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Teal | 1:144 | 15% | 0.17 |
| Geometric Future Stars Autographs Black | 1:147 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Green | 1:149 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Green | 1:149 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:153 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Pink | 1:155 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Base Variation Autographs Pink Lava | 1:155 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:156 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:159 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Pink | 1:160 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:160 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Blue | 1:165 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:165 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:166 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:169 | 13% | 0.14 |
| 1990 Topps Football Autographs Orange | 1:170 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs White | 1:183 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Sapphire Rookie Variation Autographs Red | 1:185 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Sapphire Selections Autographs | 1:188 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Orange | 1:188 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:189 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Sapphire Selections Autographs Orange | 1:194 | 12% | 0.12 |
| Sapphire Dual Autographs Gold | 1:195 | 12% | 0.12 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Purple | 1:197 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Purple | 1:197 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:201 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Sapphire Selections Autographs Gold | 1:208 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Tie Dye | 1:210 | 11% | 0.11 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Orange | 1:211 | 11% | 0.11 |
| Geometric 1990 Topps Football Autographs Red | 1:212 | 11% | 0.11 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Orange | 1:212 | 11% | 0.11 |
| Sapphire Hall of Chrome Autographs | 1:213 | 11% | 0.11 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:217 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:217 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Geometric Chrome Legends Autographs Red | 1:218 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:219 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Blue | 1:227 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs Green | 1:240 | 9.5% | 0.10 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs Teal | 1:252 | 9.1% | 0.10 |
| Dual Autographs Orange Geometric | 1:255 | 9.0% | 0.09 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:272 | 8.5% | 0.09 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Pink Lava | 1:276 | 8.3% | 0.09 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Tie Dye | 1:281 | 8.2% | 0.09 |
| Geometric Hall of Chrome Autographs Red | 1:283 | 8.1% | 0.08 |
| Geometric Future Stars Autographs Red | 1:294 | 7.9% | 0.08 |
| Dual Autographs Black Geometric | 1:294 | 7.9% | 0.08 |
| Base Variation Autographs | 1:316 | 7.3% | 0.08 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Purple | 1:317 | 7.3% | 0.08 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:321 | 7.2% | 0.07 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:324 | 7.2% | 0.07 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:327 | 7.1% | 0.07 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:330 | 7.0% | 0.07 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Green | 1:341 | 6.8% | 0.07 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:347 | 6.7% | 0.07 |
| Sapphire Selections Autographs Black | 1:355 | 6.5% | 0.07 |
| Dual Autographs Orange Refractor | 1:387 | 6.0% | 0.06 |
| Base Variation Autographs | 1:398 | 5.9% | 0.06 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Pink | 1:400 | 5.8% | 0.06 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs Black | 1:408 | 5.7% | 0.06 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Blue | 1:435 | 5.4% | 0.06 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:437 | 5.3% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Purple | 1:442 | 5.3% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Blue | 1:449 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Superfractor Rookie Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:451 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs Red | 1:452 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:461 | 5.1% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Red | 1:464 | 5.0% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Black | 1:468 | 5.0% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:472 | 5.0% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:498 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:502 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Black | 1:526 | 4.5% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Black | 1:526 | 4.5% | 0.05 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs White | 1:526 | 4.5% | 0.05 |
| Geometric 1990 Topps Football Autographs Tie Dye | 1:534 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:534 | 4.4% | 0.04 |
| Geometric Chrome Legends Autographs Tie Dye | 1:541 | 4.3% | 0.04 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:541 | 4.3% | 0.04 |
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:541 | 4.3% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Blue | 1:567 | 4.1% | 0.04 |
| Dual Autographs Red Geometric | 1:583 | 4.0% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:591 | 4.0% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Teal | 1:598 | 3.9% | 0.04 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Teal | 1:604 | 3.9% | 0.04 |
| Orange Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:611 | 3.9% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Red | 1:626 | 3.8% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Red | 1:626 | 3.8% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Green | 1:626 | 3.8% | 0.04 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Green | 1:626 | 3.8% | 0.04 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs Teal | 1:630 | 3.7% | 0.04 |
| Tecmo Autographs | 1:632 | 3.7% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:642 | 3.7% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs White | 1:648 | 3.6% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:651 | 3.6% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Pink | 1:651 | 3.6% | 0.04 |
| Base Variation Autographs Pink Lava | 1:651 | 3.6% | 0.04 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:653 | 3.6% | 0.04 |
| Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:678 | 3.5% | 0.04 |
| Sapphire Selections Autographs Red | 1:679 | 3.5% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:680 | 3.5% | 0.04 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:691 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Blue | 1:695 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:696 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Geometric Hall of Chrome Autographs Tie Dye | 1:702 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:707 | 3.3% | 0.03 |
| Geometric Future Stars Autographs Tie Dye | 1:729 | 3.2% | 0.03 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs Red | 1:806 | 2.9% | 0.03 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:806 | 2.9% | 0.03 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Purple | 1:824 | 2.9% | 0.03 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:824 | 2.9% | 0.03 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Purple | 1:824 | 2.9% | 0.03 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:824 | 2.9% | 0.03 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Green | 1:851 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:855 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:905 | 2.6% | 0.03 |
| Sapphire Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:908 | 2.6% | 0.03 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:918 | 2.6% | 0.03 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Red | 1:924 | 2.6% | 0.03 |
| Dual Autographs Black Refractor | 1:972 | 2.4% | 0.02 |
| Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:984 | 2.4% | 0.02 |
| Rookie Variation Autographs Green | 1:1,010 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Superfractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs | 1:1,018 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Red | 1:1,052 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Red | 1:1,052 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red | 1:1,052 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red Lava | 1:1,052 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Superfractor Base Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:1,052 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red | 1:1,082 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Sapphire Chrome Legends Autographs | 1:1,099 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Purple | 1:1,106 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Pink Lava | 1:1,161 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Chrome Legends Autographs Gold | 1:1,169 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Sapphire Future Stars Autographs | 1:1,187 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Refractor Dual Autographs Red Sapphire | 1:1,243 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Future Stars Autographs Gold | 1:1,261 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Hall of Chrome Autographs Gold | 1:1,265 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Purple | 1:1,333 | 1.8% | 0.02 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:1,378 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:1,388 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Teal | 1:1,403 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| Dual Autographs Tie Dye Geometric | 1:1,457 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:1,461 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:1,508 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:1,515 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:1,538 | 1.5% | 0.02 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red | 1:1,578 | 1.5% | 0.02 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:1,628 | 1.5% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red | 1:1,647 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red Lava | 1:1,647 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Base Variation Autographs | 1:1,675 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Blue | 1:1,827 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs White | 1:1,876 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Blue | 1:1,885 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Dual Autographs Red Refractor | 1:1,894 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Superfractor Rookie Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:1,897 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:1,942 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Gold | 1:1,953 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Gold Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:1,972 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| 1990 Topps Football Autographs Orange | 1:2,024 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:2,097 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Orange | 1:2,236 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:2,236 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:2,262 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Sapphire 1990 Topps Football Autographs | 1:2,307 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Sapphire Dual Autographs Gold | 1:2,316 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Base Variation Autographs | 1:2,434 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:2,459 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:2,489 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Orange | 1:2,513 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Teal | 1:2,516 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Orange | 1:2,530 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Teal | 1:2,540 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Sapphire Hall of Chrome Autographs | 1:2,546 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Green | 1:2,627 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Green | 1:2,627 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Sapphire Chrome Legends Autographs | 1:2,692 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:2,702 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Pink | 1:2,738 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Base Variation Autographs Pink Lava | 1:2,738 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:2,749 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Aqua | 1:2,911 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:2,927 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:2,973 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Future Stars Autographs | 1:3,106 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Red Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:3,156 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs White | 1:3,223 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:3,231 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Sapphire Selections Autographs | 1:3,364 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Sapphire Hall of Chrome Autographs | 1:3,364 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Superfractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs | 1:3,391 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs | 1:3,443 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Purple | 1:3,459 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Purple | 1:3,459 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:3,464 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:3,495 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Sapphire Chrome Legends Autographs | 1:3,654 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:3,808 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:3,815 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Orange | 1:3,865 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Chrome Legends Autographs Gold | 1:3,894 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Sapphire Future Stars Autographs | 1:3,968 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs | 1:4,208 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Future Stars Autographs Gold | 1:4,210 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Hall of Chrome Autographs Gold | 1:4,218 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red | 1:4,523 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red Lava | 1:4,523 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Superfractor Base Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:4,523 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Dual Autographs Orange Refractor | 1:4,689 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs | 1:4,734 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:4,734 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:4,867 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Gold Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:4,918 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs Black | 1:4,929 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Hall of Chrome Autographs | 1:5,410 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Black | 1:5,654 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:5,686 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Gold | 1:5,749 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:5,797 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Orange | 1:5,846 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Teal | 1:5,915 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Black | 1:6,201 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Black | 1:6,201 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Dual Autographs Padparadscha | 1:6,211 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Tecmo Autographs Superfractor | 1:6,312 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs | 1:6,312 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Tecmo Autographs | 1:6,408 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red | 1:6,408 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:6,408 | 0.4% | 0 |
| 1990 Topps Football Autographs Orange | 1:6,760 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red Lava | 1:6,865 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red | 1:6,990 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Orange | 1:7,465 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Base Variation Autographs | 1:7,546 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Sapphire Dual Autographs Gold | 1:7,743 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Orange | 1:8,402 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Orange | 1:8,436 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Sapphire Hall of Chrome Autographs | 1:8,505 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:9,390 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Dual Autographs Superfractor | 1:9,468 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:9,519 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Black | 1:9,563 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs Red | 1:9,611 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red | 1:9,611 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Orange Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:9,858 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs White | 1:10,376 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Red | 1:10,984 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Dual Autographs Black Refractor | 1:11,650 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Red | 1:12,402 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Red | 1:12,402 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:14,213 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:14,512 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Black | 1:14,717 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Dual Autographs Orange Refractor | 1:15,486 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs Black | 1:16,212 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Black | 1:18,865 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red | 1:18,865 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red Lava | 1:18,865 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Superfractor Base Variation Autographs Magenta | 1:18,865 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Wave Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs Red | 1:19,038 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:20,234 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Black | 1:20,961 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Black | 1:20,961 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Dual Autographs Red Refractor | 1:22,614 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Orange Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:24,704 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Teal | 1:25,306 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Yellow | 1:27,304 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs | 1:27,460 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Wave Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red | 1:28,426 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Lava Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red Lava | 1:28,821 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs Red | 1:29,644 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs Red | 1:32,424 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Tecmo Autographs | 1:36,405 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs Red | 1:37,055 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Dual Autographs Black Refractor | 1:38,428 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs Red | 1:42,349 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Hall of Chrome Autographs Red | 1:42,349 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs | 1:42,715 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs | 1:48,054 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Red Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:48,054 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs | 1:54,919 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Hall of Chrome Autographs | 1:64,072 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Dual Autographs Red Refractor | 1:76,855 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Tecmo Autographs Superfractor | 1:76,887 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Refractor Rookie Variation Autographs | 1:83,004 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Refractor Base Variation Autographs | 1:115,283 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Red Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs | 1:122,064 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Dual Autographs Superfractor | 1:128,144 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Refractor 1990 Topps Football Autographs | 1:148,220 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Refractor Chrome Legends Autographs | 1:172,924 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Refractor Future Stars Autographs | 1:188,644 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Hall of Chrome Autographs | 1:207,508 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Tecmo Autographs Superfractor | 1:259,385 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Dual Autographs Superfractor | 1:415,016 | 0.0% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Chrome Football (Distributor). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
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Browse every Topps odds calculator
Compare pull rates across Chrome, Bowman, Finest, UFC, F1 and more — every set's official odds in one place.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Chrome Football. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
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