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GuidesToppsTopps · Football · 2025

2025 Topps Resurgence Football Odds Calculator

An interactive 2025 Topps Resurgence Football pack odds calculator built on Topps' official published odds. Enter how many packs you're opening — pick any refractor, parallel, autograph or insert — and get your live chance of at least one, the expected count, and how many packs it takes for a 50/90/95% shot.

2025 Topps Resurgence Football Odds Calculator
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Configurations
4
Odds Rows
785
Autographs
22
Base Parallels
6

2025 Topps Resurgence Football Pack Odds Calculator

Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.

Product configuration
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Hobby · Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Base
22%
chance of at least one Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Base across 24 packs
0.25 expectedbase 1 in 9667 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
Every parallel in Hobby
ParallelPer pack≥1 in 24Expected
Base Parallels
Base Refractor1:4100%6
Rookies Refractor1:4100%6
Protonyx Refractor1:2464%1
Conductors Refractor1:2464%1
Circuit Breakers Refractor1:2464%1
Voltaic Refractor1:2464%1
Inserts
Base1:1100%
Rookies Base1:1100%
Protonyx Base1:699%4
Conductors Base1:699%4
Circuit Breakers Base1:699%4
Voltaic Base1:699%4
Rookies Signatures1:2071%1.20
Base Surge1:5138%0.47
Rookies Surge1:5138%0.47
Base Black & White Surge1:5436%0.44
Rookies Black & White Surge1:5436%0.44
Base Bronze Surge1:5834%0.41
Rookies Bronze Surge1:5834%0.41
Base Magenta Surge1:7229%0.33
Rookies Magenta Surge1:7229%0.33
Base Navy Surge1:7926%0.30
Rookies Navy Surge1:7926%0.30
Rookies Signatures Black & White1:8026%0.30
Base Aqua Surge1:8624%0.28
Rookies Aqua Surge1:8624%0.28
Base Yellow Surge1:9622%0.25
Rookies Yellow Surge1:9622%0.25
Rookies Signatures Magenta Surge1:10021%0.24
Base Crimson Surge1:10820%0.22
Rookies Crimson Surge1:10820%0.22
Rookies Signatures Aqua Surge1:12018%0.20
Base Green Surge1:12318%0.20
Rookies Green Surge1:12318%0.20
Base Teal Surge1:14515%0.17
Rookies Teal Surge1:14515%0.17
Base White Surge1:17213%0.14
Rookies White Surge1:17213%0.14
Protonyx Surge1:20311%0.12
Conductors Surge1:20311%0.12
Circuit Breakers Surge1:20311%0.12
Voltaic Surge1:20311%0.12
Base Digital Surge1:21511%0.11
Rookies Digital Surge1:21511%0.11
Base Blue Surge1:21710%0.11
Rookies Blue Surge1:21710%0.11
Rookies Signatures White Surge1:2399.6%0.10
Protonyx Bronze Surge1:2469.3%0.10
Conductors Bronze Surge1:2469.3%0.10
Circuit Breakers Bronze Surge1:2469.3%0.10
Voltaic Bronze Surge1:2469.3%0.10
Base High Voltage1:2798.3%0.09
Rookies High Voltage1:2798.3%0.09
Base Purple Surge1:2878.0%0.08
Rookies Purple Surge1:2878.0%0.08
Protonyx Magenta Surge1:2888.0%0.08
Conductors Magenta Surge1:2888.0%0.08
Circuit Breakers Magenta Surge1:2888.0%0.08
Voltaic Magenta Surge1:2888.0%0.08
Rookies Signatures Blue Surge1:3007.7%0.08
Protonyx Navy Surge1:3137.4%0.08
Conductors Navy Surge1:3137.4%0.08
Circuit Breakers Navy Surge1:3137.4%0.08
Voltaic Navy Surge1:3137.4%0.08
Protonyx Aqua Surge1:3446.7%0.07
Conductors Aqua Surge1:3446.7%0.07
Circuit Breakers Aqua Surge1:3446.7%0.07
Voltaic Aqua Surge1:3446.7%0.07
Wired1:3486.7%0.07
Protonyx Yellow Surge1:3826.1%0.06
Conductors Yellow Surge1:3826.1%0.06
Circuit Breakers Yellow Surge1:3826.1%0.06
Voltaic Yellow Surge1:3826.1%0.06
Rookies Signatures Purple Surge1:3975.9%0.06
String Theory1:4185.6%0.06
Base Gold Power Surge1:4305.4%0.06
Rookies Gold Power Surge1:4305.4%0.06
Protonyx Crimson Surge1:4325.4%0.06
Conductors Crimson Surge1:4325.4%0.06
Circuit Breakers Crimson Surge1:4325.4%0.06
Voltaic Crimson Surge1:4325.4%0.06
Protonyx Green Surge1:4914.8%0.05
Conductors Green Surge1:4914.8%0.05
Circuit Breakers Green Surge1:4914.8%0.05
Voltaic Green Surge1:4914.8%0.05
Perfect Fits1:5224.5%0.05
Protonyx Teal Surge1:5774.1%0.04
Conductors Teal Surge1:5774.1%0.04
Circuit Breakers Teal Surge1:5774.1%0.04
Voltaic Teal Surge1:5774.1%0.04
Rookies Signatures Gold Power Surge1:5964.0%0.04
Base Signatures Blue Surge1:6423.7%0.04
Neon Initiates Base1:6813.5%0.04
Protonyx White Surge1:6883.4%0.03
Conductors White Surge1:6883.4%0.03
Circuit Breakers White Surge1:6883.4%0.03
Voltaic White Surge1:6883.4%0.03
Base Signatures1:8052.9%0.03
Base Orange Power Surge1:8602.8%0.03
Rookies Orange Power Surge1:8602.8%0.03
Protonyx Blue Surge1:8682.7%0.03
Conductors Blue Surge1:8682.7%0.03
Circuit Breakers Blue Surge1:8682.7%0.03
Voltaic Blue Surge1:8682.7%0.03
Base Signatures Gold Power Surge1:1,0042.4%0.02
Neon Initiates Blue Surge1:1,0312.3%0.02
Protonyx Purple Surge1:1,1472.1%0.02
Conductors Purple Surge1:1,1472.1%0.02
Circuit Breakers Purple Surge1:1,1472.1%0.02
Voltaic Purple Surge1:1,1472.1%0.02
Rookies Signatures Orange Power Surge1:1,1932.0%0.02
Molecular Marks Base1:1,3631.7%0.02
Base Lime Green Power Surge1:1,4331.7%0.02
Rookies Lime Green Power Surge1:1,4331.7%0.02
Base Signatures Orange Power Surge1:1,5271.6%0.02
Molecular Marks Blue Surge1:1,6991.4%0.01
Protonyx Gold Power Surge1:1,7191.4%0.01
Conductors Gold Power Surge1:1,7191.4%0.01
Circuit Breakers Gold Power Surge1:1,7191.4%0.01
Voltaic Gold Power Surge1:1,7191.4%0.01
Rookies Signatures Lime Green Power Surge1:1,9671.2%0.01
Neon Initiates Gold Power Surge1:1,9721.2%0.01
Base Pink Power Surge1:2,1481.1%0.01
Rookies Pink Power Surge1:2,1481.1%0.01
Molecular Marks Gold Power Surge1:2,3891.0%0.01
Base Signatures Lime Green Power Surge1:2,4451.0%0.01
Rookies Signatures Pink Power Surge1:2,9540.8%0.01
Protonyx Orange Power Surge1:3,4460.7%0.01
Conductors Orange Power Surge1:3,4460.7%0.01
Circuit Breakers Orange Power Surge1:3,4460.7%0.01
Voltaic Orange Power Surge1:3,4460.7%0.01
Base Signatures Pink Power Surge1:3,5830.7%0.01
Neon Initiates Orange Power Surge1:3,9550.6%0.01
Base Red Power Surge1:4,3080.6%0.01
Rookies Red Power Surge1:4,3080.6%0.01
Molecular Marks Orange Power Surge1:4,5800.5%0.01
Protonyx Lime Green Power Surge1:5,7430.4%0
Conductors Lime Green Power Surge1:5,7430.4%0
Circuit Breakers Lime Green Power Surge1:5,7430.4%0
Voltaic Lime Green Power Surge1:5,7430.4%0
Rookies Signatures Red Power Surge1:5,9320.4%0
Neon Initiates Lime Green Power Surge1:6,5790.4%0
Base Signatures Red Power Surge1:7,1650.3%0
Molecular Marks Lime Green Power Surge1:7,6980.3%0
Protonyx Pink Power Surge1:8,6150.3%0
Conductors Pink Power Surge1:8,6150.3%0
Circuit Breakers Pink Power Surge1:8,6150.3%0
Voltaic Pink Power Surge1:8,6150.3%0
Neon Initiates Pink Power Surge1:9,9130.2%0
Molecular Marks Pink Power Surge1:11,4860.2%0
Protonyx Red Power Surge1:17,2290.1%0
Conductors Red Power Surge1:17,2290.1%0
Circuit Breakers Red Power Surge1:17,2290.1%0
Voltaic Red Power Surge1:17,2290.1%0
Neon Initiates Red Power Surge1:20,1000.1%0
Base Superfractor1:21,9280.1%0
Rookies Superfractor1:21,9280.1%0
Molecular Marks Red Power Surge1:23,3420.1%0
Rookies Signatures SuperFractor1:30,1500.1%0
Base Signatures SuperFractor1:36,1800.1%0
Protonyx SuperFractor1:90,4510.0%0
Conductors SuperFractor1:90,4510.0%0
Circuit Breakers SuperFractor1:90,4510.0%0
Voltaic SuperFractor1:90,4510.0%0
Neon Initiates SuperFractor1:103,3720.0%0
Molecular Marks SuperFractor1:120,6000.0%0
Autographs
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Base1:9622%0.25
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Teal Surge1:2439.4%0.10
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs White Surge1:2908.0%0.08
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Blue Surge1:3666.4%0.07
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Purple Surge1:4635.1%0.05
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Gold Power Surge1:7033.4%0.03
Arc Flash Autographs Base1:1,0042.4%0.02
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Orange Power Surge1:1,4061.7%0.02
Arc Flash Autographs Blue Surge1:1,4451.6%0.02
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Lime Green Power Surge1:2,3501.0%0.01
Arc Flash Autographs Gold Power Surge1:2,3891.0%0.01
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Pink Power Surge1:3,3820.7%0.01
Thermal Red Ink Autographs Base1:4,2820.6%0.01
Arc Flash Autographs Orange Power Surge1:4,5800.5%0.01
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Red Power Surge1:6,7630.4%0
Arc Flash Autographs Lime Green Power Surge1:7,6980.3%0
Arc Flash Autographs Pink Power Surge1:11,4860.2%0
Arc Flash Autographs Red Power Surge1:23,3420.1%0
Thermal Red Ink Autographs Red Power Surge1:28,9450.1%0
Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs SuperFractor1:32,8950.1%0
Arc Flash Autographs SuperFractor1:120,6000.0%0
Thermal Red Ink Autographs SuperFractor1:144,7200.0%0
Relics & Memorabilia
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Base1:7428%0.32
Radial Rookie Relics Base1:9423%0.26
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Teal Surge1:17313%0.14
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures White Surge1:20611%0.12
Radial Rookie Relics Teal Surge1:21810%0.11
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Blue Surge1:2598.9%0.09
Radial Rookie Relics White Surge1:2608.8%0.09
Radial Rookie Relics Blue Surge1:3297.0%0.07
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Purple Surge1:3346.9%0.07
Radial Rookie Relics Purple Surge1:4495.2%0.05
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Gold Power Surge1:5004.7%0.05
Radial Rookie Relics Gold Power Surge1:6763.5%0.04
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Orange Power Surge1:1,0512.3%0.02
Radial Rookie Relics Orange Power Surge1:1,3471.8%0.02
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Lime Green Power Surge1:1,6681.4%0.01
Radial Rookie Relics Lime Green Power Surge1:2,2401.1%0.01
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Pink Power Surge1:2,5220.9%0.01
Radial Rookie Relics Pink Power Surge1:3,3820.7%0.01
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Red Power Surge1:5,0260.5%0
Radial Rookie Relics Red Power Surge1:6,8270.4%0
Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures SuperFractor1:24,9510.1%0
Radial Rookie Relics SuperFractor1:32,8910.1%0

These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Resurgence Football (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.

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How the Odds Are Calculated

Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:

  • Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card, 1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs.
  • Expected — the average number across your packs, packs / N.
  • Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards, ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).

Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.

Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Resurgence Football. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.

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