2025 Topps Resurgence Football Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Base Refractor | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Rookies Refractor | 1:4 | 100% | 6 |
| Protonyx Refractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Conductors Refractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Circuit Breakers Refractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Voltaic Refractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Inserts | |||
| Base | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Rookies Base | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Protonyx Base | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Conductors Base | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Circuit Breakers Base | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Voltaic Base | 1:6 | 99% | 4 |
| Rookies Signatures | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Base Surge | 1:51 | 38% | 0.47 |
| Rookies Surge | 1:51 | 38% | 0.47 |
| Base Black & White Surge | 1:54 | 36% | 0.44 |
| Rookies Black & White Surge | 1:54 | 36% | 0.44 |
| Base Bronze Surge | 1:58 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Rookies Bronze Surge | 1:58 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Base Magenta Surge | 1:72 | 29% | 0.33 |
| Rookies Magenta Surge | 1:72 | 29% | 0.33 |
| Base Navy Surge | 1:79 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Rookies Navy Surge | 1:79 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Rookies Signatures Black & White | 1:80 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Base Aqua Surge | 1:86 | 24% | 0.28 |
| Rookies Aqua Surge | 1:86 | 24% | 0.28 |
| Base Yellow Surge | 1:96 | 22% | 0.25 |
| Rookies Yellow Surge | 1:96 | 22% | 0.25 |
| Rookies Signatures Magenta Surge | 1:100 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Base Crimson Surge | 1:108 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Rookies Crimson Surge | 1:108 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Rookies Signatures Aqua Surge | 1:120 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Base Green Surge | 1:123 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Rookies Green Surge | 1:123 | 18% | 0.20 |
| Base Teal Surge | 1:145 | 15% | 0.17 |
| Rookies Teal Surge | 1:145 | 15% | 0.17 |
| Base White Surge | 1:172 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Rookies White Surge | 1:172 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Protonyx Surge | 1:203 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Conductors Surge | 1:203 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Circuit Breakers Surge | 1:203 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Voltaic Surge | 1:203 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Base Digital Surge | 1:215 | 11% | 0.11 |
| Rookies Digital Surge | 1:215 | 11% | 0.11 |
| Base Blue Surge | 1:217 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Rookies Blue Surge | 1:217 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Rookies Signatures White Surge | 1:239 | 9.6% | 0.10 |
| Protonyx Bronze Surge | 1:246 | 9.3% | 0.10 |
| Conductors Bronze Surge | 1:246 | 9.3% | 0.10 |
| Circuit Breakers Bronze Surge | 1:246 | 9.3% | 0.10 |
| Voltaic Bronze Surge | 1:246 | 9.3% | 0.10 |
| Base High Voltage | 1:279 | 8.3% | 0.09 |
| Rookies High Voltage | 1:279 | 8.3% | 0.09 |
| Base Purple Surge | 1:287 | 8.0% | 0.08 |
| Rookies Purple Surge | 1:287 | 8.0% | 0.08 |
| Protonyx Magenta Surge | 1:288 | 8.0% | 0.08 |
| Conductors Magenta Surge | 1:288 | 8.0% | 0.08 |
| Circuit Breakers Magenta Surge | 1:288 | 8.0% | 0.08 |
| Voltaic Magenta Surge | 1:288 | 8.0% | 0.08 |
| Rookies Signatures Blue Surge | 1:300 | 7.7% | 0.08 |
| Protonyx Navy Surge | 1:313 | 7.4% | 0.08 |
| Conductors Navy Surge | 1:313 | 7.4% | 0.08 |
| Circuit Breakers Navy Surge | 1:313 | 7.4% | 0.08 |
| Voltaic Navy Surge | 1:313 | 7.4% | 0.08 |
| Protonyx Aqua Surge | 1:344 | 6.7% | 0.07 |
| Conductors Aqua Surge | 1:344 | 6.7% | 0.07 |
| Circuit Breakers Aqua Surge | 1:344 | 6.7% | 0.07 |
| Voltaic Aqua Surge | 1:344 | 6.7% | 0.07 |
| Wired | 1:348 | 6.7% | 0.07 |
| Protonyx Yellow Surge | 1:382 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Conductors Yellow Surge | 1:382 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Circuit Breakers Yellow Surge | 1:382 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Voltaic Yellow Surge | 1:382 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Rookies Signatures Purple Surge | 1:397 | 5.9% | 0.06 |
| String Theory | 1:418 | 5.6% | 0.06 |
| Base Gold Power Surge | 1:430 | 5.4% | 0.06 |
| Rookies Gold Power Surge | 1:430 | 5.4% | 0.06 |
| Protonyx Crimson Surge | 1:432 | 5.4% | 0.06 |
| Conductors Crimson Surge | 1:432 | 5.4% | 0.06 |
| Circuit Breakers Crimson Surge | 1:432 | 5.4% | 0.06 |
| Voltaic Crimson Surge | 1:432 | 5.4% | 0.06 |
| Protonyx Green Surge | 1:491 | 4.8% | 0.05 |
| Conductors Green Surge | 1:491 | 4.8% | 0.05 |
| Circuit Breakers Green Surge | 1:491 | 4.8% | 0.05 |
| Voltaic Green Surge | 1:491 | 4.8% | 0.05 |
| Perfect Fits | 1:522 | 4.5% | 0.05 |
| Protonyx Teal Surge | 1:577 | 4.1% | 0.04 |
| Conductors Teal Surge | 1:577 | 4.1% | 0.04 |
| Circuit Breakers Teal Surge | 1:577 | 4.1% | 0.04 |
| Voltaic Teal Surge | 1:577 | 4.1% | 0.04 |
| Rookies Signatures Gold Power Surge | 1:596 | 4.0% | 0.04 |
| Base Signatures Blue Surge | 1:642 | 3.7% | 0.04 |
| Neon Initiates Base | 1:681 | 3.5% | 0.04 |
| Protonyx White Surge | 1:688 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Conductors White Surge | 1:688 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Circuit Breakers White Surge | 1:688 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Voltaic White Surge | 1:688 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Base Signatures | 1:805 | 2.9% | 0.03 |
| Base Orange Power Surge | 1:860 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Rookies Orange Power Surge | 1:860 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Protonyx Blue Surge | 1:868 | 2.7% | 0.03 |
| Conductors Blue Surge | 1:868 | 2.7% | 0.03 |
| Circuit Breakers Blue Surge | 1:868 | 2.7% | 0.03 |
| Voltaic Blue Surge | 1:868 | 2.7% | 0.03 |
| Base Signatures Gold Power Surge | 1:1,004 | 2.4% | 0.02 |
| Neon Initiates Blue Surge | 1:1,031 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Protonyx Purple Surge | 1:1,147 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Conductors Purple Surge | 1:1,147 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Circuit Breakers Purple Surge | 1:1,147 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Voltaic Purple Surge | 1:1,147 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Rookies Signatures Orange Power Surge | 1:1,193 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Molecular Marks Base | 1:1,363 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| Base Lime Green Power Surge | 1:1,433 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| Rookies Lime Green Power Surge | 1:1,433 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| Base Signatures Orange Power Surge | 1:1,527 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Molecular Marks Blue Surge | 1:1,699 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Protonyx Gold Power Surge | 1:1,719 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Conductors Gold Power Surge | 1:1,719 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Circuit Breakers Gold Power Surge | 1:1,719 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Voltaic Gold Power Surge | 1:1,719 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Rookies Signatures Lime Green Power Surge | 1:1,967 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Neon Initiates Gold Power Surge | 1:1,972 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Base Pink Power Surge | 1:2,148 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Rookies Pink Power Surge | 1:2,148 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Molecular Marks Gold Power Surge | 1:2,389 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Base Signatures Lime Green Power Surge | 1:2,445 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Rookies Signatures Pink Power Surge | 1:2,954 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Protonyx Orange Power Surge | 1:3,446 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Conductors Orange Power Surge | 1:3,446 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Circuit Breakers Orange Power Surge | 1:3,446 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Voltaic Orange Power Surge | 1:3,446 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Base Signatures Pink Power Surge | 1:3,583 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Neon Initiates Orange Power Surge | 1:3,955 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Base Red Power Surge | 1:4,308 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Rookies Red Power Surge | 1:4,308 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Molecular Marks Orange Power Surge | 1:4,580 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Protonyx Lime Green Power Surge | 1:5,743 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Conductors Lime Green Power Surge | 1:5,743 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Circuit Breakers Lime Green Power Surge | 1:5,743 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Voltaic Lime Green Power Surge | 1:5,743 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Rookies Signatures Red Power Surge | 1:5,932 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Neon Initiates Lime Green Power Surge | 1:6,579 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Base Signatures Red Power Surge | 1:7,165 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Molecular Marks Lime Green Power Surge | 1:7,698 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Protonyx Pink Power Surge | 1:8,615 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Conductors Pink Power Surge | 1:8,615 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Circuit Breakers Pink Power Surge | 1:8,615 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Voltaic Pink Power Surge | 1:8,615 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Neon Initiates Pink Power Surge | 1:9,913 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Molecular Marks Pink Power Surge | 1:11,486 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Protonyx Red Power Surge | 1:17,229 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Conductors Red Power Surge | 1:17,229 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Circuit Breakers Red Power Surge | 1:17,229 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Voltaic Red Power Surge | 1:17,229 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Neon Initiates Red Power Surge | 1:20,100 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Base Superfractor | 1:21,928 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Rookies Superfractor | 1:21,928 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Molecular Marks Red Power Surge | 1:23,342 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Rookies Signatures SuperFractor | 1:30,150 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Base Signatures SuperFractor | 1:36,180 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Protonyx SuperFractor | 1:90,451 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Conductors SuperFractor | 1:90,451 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Circuit Breakers SuperFractor | 1:90,451 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Voltaic SuperFractor | 1:90,451 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Neon Initiates SuperFractor | 1:103,372 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Molecular Marks SuperFractor | 1:120,600 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Autographs | |||
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Base | 1:96 | 22% | 0.25 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Teal Surge | 1:243 | 9.4% | 0.10 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs White Surge | 1:290 | 8.0% | 0.08 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Blue Surge | 1:366 | 6.4% | 0.07 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Purple Surge | 1:463 | 5.1% | 0.05 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Gold Power Surge | 1:703 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Arc Flash Autographs Base | 1:1,004 | 2.4% | 0.02 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Orange Power Surge | 1:1,406 | 1.7% | 0.02 |
| Arc Flash Autographs Blue Surge | 1:1,445 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Lime Green Power Surge | 1:2,350 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Arc Flash Autographs Gold Power Surge | 1:2,389 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Pink Power Surge | 1:3,382 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Thermal Red Ink Autographs Base | 1:4,282 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Arc Flash Autographs Orange Power Surge | 1:4,580 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs Red Power Surge | 1:6,763 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Arc Flash Autographs Lime Green Power Surge | 1:7,698 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Arc Flash Autographs Pink Power Surge | 1:11,486 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Arc Flash Autographs Red Power Surge | 1:23,342 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Thermal Red Ink Autographs Red Power Surge | 1:28,945 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Amped Up Rookie Relic Autographs SuperFractor | 1:32,895 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Arc Flash Autographs SuperFractor | 1:120,600 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Thermal Red Ink Autographs SuperFractor | 1:144,720 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Relics & Memorabilia | |||
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Base | 1:74 | 28% | 0.32 |
| Radial Rookie Relics Base | 1:94 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Teal Surge | 1:173 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures White Surge | 1:206 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Radial Rookie Relics Teal Surge | 1:218 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Blue Surge | 1:259 | 8.9% | 0.09 |
| Radial Rookie Relics White Surge | 1:260 | 8.8% | 0.09 |
| Radial Rookie Relics Blue Surge | 1:329 | 7.0% | 0.07 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Purple Surge | 1:334 | 6.9% | 0.07 |
| Radial Rookie Relics Purple Surge | 1:449 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Gold Power Surge | 1:500 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Radial Rookie Relics Gold Power Surge | 1:676 | 3.5% | 0.04 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Orange Power Surge | 1:1,051 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Radial Rookie Relics Orange Power Surge | 1:1,347 | 1.8% | 0.02 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Lime Green Power Surge | 1:1,668 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Radial Rookie Relics Lime Green Power Surge | 1:2,240 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Pink Power Surge | 1:2,522 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Radial Rookie Relics Pink Power Surge | 1:3,382 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures Red Power Surge | 1:5,026 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Radial Rookie Relics Red Power Surge | 1:6,827 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Resurgence Rookie Relic Signatures SuperFractor | 1:24,951 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Radial Rookie Relics SuperFractor | 1:32,891 | 0.1% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Resurgence Football (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Resurgence Football. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
