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Configurations
4
Odds Rows
380
Autographs
14
Base Parallels
15
2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
Product configuration
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Hobby · Redemption Foilfractor Attraction Autographs
9.7%
chance of at least one Redemption Foilfractor Attraction Autographs across 24 packs
≈ 0.10 expectedbase 1 in 237≈ 164 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
Every parallel in Hobby
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| It's a Small World Chrome Orange Wave Refractor | 1:1,682 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Tomorrowland Cosmic Chrome Orange Wave Refractor | 1:1,682 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| 1977 Topps Star Tours Chrome Orange Wave Refractor | 1:1,809 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| A Pirate's Life Chrome Orange Wave Refractor | 1:2,358 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Eighth Wonder Chrome Orange Wave Refractor | 1:3,364 | 0.7% | 0.01 |
| It's a Small World Chrome Black Refractor | 1:4,205 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Tomorrowland Cosmic Chrome Black Refractor | 1:4,205 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| 1977 Topps Star Tours Chrome Black Refractor | 1:4,546 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| A Pirate's Life Chrome Black Refractor A Pirate's Life Chrome | 1:5,937 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Greetings from the Tiki Room Chrome Orange Wave Refractor | 1:5,937 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Eighth Wonder Chrome Black Refractor Eighth Wonder Chrome | 1:8,272 | 0.3% | 0 |
| It's a Small World Chrome Red Refractor | 1:8,272 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Tomorrowland Cosmic Chrome Red Refractor | 1:8,272 | 0.3% | 0 |
| 1977 Topps Star Tours Chrome Red Refractor 1977 Topps Star Tours | 1:9,011 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Entrance to Magic Chrome Orange Wave Refractor | 1:24,028 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Inserts | |||
| Base Set | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Base Set Rainbow Foil | 1:2 | 100% | 12 |
| 1954 Topps Disneyland on Wheels | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| From Silver Screen to Main Street | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Posters | 1:9 | 94% | 2.67 |
| The Lands | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Base Set Green Foil | 1:21 | 69% | 1.14 |
| Base Set Aqua Electric Dots Foil | 1:27 | 60% | 0.89 |
| Base Set Blue Foil | 1:42 | 44% | 0.57 |
| Base Set 70th Anniversary Foil | 1:60 | 33% | 0.40 |
| Base Set Variation Hidden Mickey | 1:72 | 29% | 0.33 |
| Base Set Gold Foil | 1:79 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Entrance to Magic Chrome | 1:144 | 15% | 0.17 |
| Base Set Orange Foil | 1:157 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Sketch Cards | 1:171 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Base Set Black Foil | 1:392 | 5.9% | 0.06 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Gold Foil | 1:453 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| 1954 Topps Disneyland on Wheels Gold Foil | 1:471 | 5.0% | 0.05 |
| From Silver Screen to Main Street Gold Foil | 1:471 | 5.0% | 0.05 |
| 1977 Topps Star Tours Chrome | 1:520 | 4.5% | 0.05 |
| Tomorrowland Cosmic Chrome | 1:545 | 4.3% | 0.04 |
| It's a Small World Chrome | 1:636 | 3.7% | 0.04 |
| Posters PETG Variation | 1:764 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| Base Set Red Foil | 1:785 | 3.0% | 0.03 |
| Posters Gold Foil | 1:840 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| SuperFractor Character Nametags Character Nametags | 1:840 | 2.8% | 0.03 |
| Chrome SuperFractor A Pirate's Life Chrome | 1:876 | 2.7% | 0.03 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Orange Foil | 1:905 | 2.6% | 0.03 |
| 1954 Topps Disneyland on Wheels Orange Foil | 1:938 | 2.5% | 0.03 |
| From Silver Screen to Main Street Orange Foil | 1:938 | 2.5% | 0.03 |
| The Lands Gold Foil | 1:1,177 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| SuperFractor Eighth Wonder Chrome | 1:1,530 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Posters Orange Foil | 1:1,682 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Welcome Foolish Mortals Chrome | 1:2,121 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Black Foil | 1:2,263 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Greetings from the Tiki Room Chrome | 1:2,336 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| 1954 Topps Disneyland on Wheels Black Foil | 1:2,358 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| From Silver Screen to Main Street Black Foil | 1:2,358 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| The Lands Orange Foil | 1:2,358 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Base Set Foilfractor | 1:3,942 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Posters Black Foil | 1:4,205 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Red Foil 1955 Topps Disneyland | 1:4,546 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| 1954 Topps Disneyland on Wheels Red Foil | 1:4,672 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| From Silver Screen to Main Street Red Foil | 1:4,672 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| The Lands Black Foil The Lands Red Foil | 1:5,937 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Posters Red Foil | 1:8,272 | 0.3% | 0 |
| 1954 Topps Disneyland on Wheels Foilfractor | 1:24,028 | 0.1% | 0 |
| From Silver Screen to Main Street Foilfractor | 1:24,028 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Posters Foilfractor | 1:42,048 | 0.1% | 0 |
| It's a Small World Chrome SuperFractor The One and Only | 1:42,048 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Tomorrowland Cosmic Chrome SuperFractor | 1:42,048 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Autographs | |||
| Redemption Foilfractor Attraction Autographs | 1:237 | 9.7% | 0.10 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs | 1:389 | 6.0% | 0.06 |
| Attraction Autographs 70th Anniversary Foil | 1:719 | 3.3% | 0.03 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs 70th Anniversary Foil | 1:1,020 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Attraction Autographs Gold Foil | 1:1,142 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Gold Foil | 1:1,222 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Attraction Autographs Orange Foil | 1:2,011 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Orange Foil | 1:2,139 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Attraction Autographs Black Foil | 1:4,761 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Black Foil | 1:4,996 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Attraction Autographs Red Foil | 1:9,011 | 0.3% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Red Foil | 1:9,521 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Attraction Autographs Foilfractor | 1:45,871 | 0.1% | 0 |
| 1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Foilfractor | 1:45,871 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Relics & Memorabilia | |||
| Enchanted Relics | 1:274 | 8.4% | 0.09 |
| Enchanted Relics 70th Anniversary Foil | 1:347 | 6.7% | 0.07 |
| Enchanted Relics Gold Foil | 1:873 | 2.7% | 0.03 |
| Enchanted Relics Orange Foil | 1:944 | 2.5% | 0.03 |
| Enchanted Relics Black Foil | 1:2,130 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Enchanted Relics Red Foil | 1:4,241 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Collector's Pin Relic Redemption | 1:12,307 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Enchanted Relics Foilfractor | 1:18,688 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Collector's Pin Relic Redemption Red Foil Collector's Pin Relic | 1:168,192 | 0.0% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
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Compare pull rates across Chrome, Bowman, Finest, UFC, F1 and more — every set's official odds in one place.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
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