What are the odds of an autograph in 2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary?

The rarest autograph tier we list, the Attraction Autographs Foilfractor, falls at 1:45,871 packs in Hobby. Autograph odds vary widely by parallel — set your pack count on this page and pick any autograph from the dropdown to see the live chance of at least one, plus how many packs it takes for a 50%, 90% or 95% shot. There are 14 autograph rows in Hobby alone.

How rare is the It's a Small World Chrome Orange Wave Refractor in 2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary?

The It's a Small World Chrome Orange Wave Refractor lands at 1:1,682 packs (Hobby) — about a 1% chance of at least one across 24 packs. Remember this is the odds of pulling the parallel at all; a specific player's It's a Small World Chrome Orange Wave Refractor is far longer odds.

Are these 2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary odds official?

Yes. Every rate here comes straight from Topps' official odds sheet for 2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary — 380 parallel/insert/autograph odds across 4 configurations. We don't estimate or sample; we present the manufacturer's stated odds and do the probability math on top.

2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary Odds Calculator — Autograph & Parallel Pull Rates (Hobby, SE Disneyland, Value Box & more)

Q: How does the 2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary odds calculator work?

Enter how many packs you're opening and pick the parallel, autograph or insert you're chasing. The tool uses Topps' official published per-pack odds (1:N) and treats each pack as an independent draw, computing the chance of at least one as 1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs, the expected number, and — working backwards — how many packs you'd need for a 50%, 90% or 95% chance. Switch between 4 product configurations (Hobby, SE Disneyland, Value Box, EA Value Box); each has its own odds.

Configurations

Odds Rows

380

Autographs

Base Parallels

2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary Pack Odds Calculator

Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.

Product configuration

How many packs are you opening?

packs

What are you chasing?

24 packs · Hobby · Redemption Foilfractor Attraction Autographs

9.7%

chance of at least one Redemption Foilfractor Attraction Autographs across 24 packs

≈ 0.10 expectedbase 1 in 237≈ 164 packs for 50%

Packs to hit

Parallel	Per pack	≥1 in 24	Expected



Redemption Foilfractor Attraction Autographs	1:237	9.7%	0.10
1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs	1:389	6.0%	0.06
Attraction Autographs 70th Anniversary Foil	1:719	3.3%	0.03
1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs 70th Anniversary Foil	1:1,020	2.3%	0.02
Attraction Autographs Gold Foil	1:1,142	2.1%	0.02
1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Gold Foil	1:1,222	1.9%	0.02
Attraction Autographs Orange Foil	1:2,011	1.2%	0.01
1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Orange Foil	1:2,139	1.1%	0.01
Attraction Autographs Black Foil	1:4,761	0.5%	0.01
1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Black Foil	1:4,996	0.5%	0
Attraction Autographs Red Foil	1:9,011	0.3%	0
1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Red Foil	1:9,521	0.3%	0
Attraction Autographs Foilfractor	1:45,871	0.1%	0
1955 Topps Disneyland Icons Autographs Foilfractor	1:45,871	0.1%	0

These are Topps’ official published odds for 2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.

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How the Odds Are Calculated

Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:

Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card, 1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs.
Expected — the average number across your packs, packs / N.
Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards, ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).

Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.

Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.