An interactive 2026 Topps Disney Neon pack odds calculator built on Topps' official published odds. Enter how many packs you're opening — pick any refractor, parallel, autograph or insert — and get your live chance of at least one, the expected count, and how many packs it takes for a 50/90/95% shot.
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By tcgtalk
Apr 2026· 5 min read
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Configurations
7
Odds Rows
649
Autographs
18
Base Parallels
60
2026 Topps Disney Neon Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening, choose your product configuration, then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
Product configuration
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Hobby · Topps Neon Autographs PETG
2.2%
chance of at least one Topps Neon Autographs PETG across 24 packs
≈ 0.02 expectedbase 1 in 1,092≈ 757 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
Parallel
Per pack
≥1 in 24
Expected
Topps Neon Autographs PETG
1:1,092
2.2%
0.02
Topps Neon Autographs PETG Gold Parallel
1:1,440
1.7%
0.02
Mickey Shorts Short Prints Auto Variation Gold Wave
1:6,180
0.4%
0
Phineas and Ferb Auto Variation Gold Refractor
1:6,180
0.4%
0
Anniversary Auto Variation Gold
1:7,216
0.3%
0
Prints Auto Variation Orange Wave
1:12,297
0.2%
0
Auto Variation Orange Refractor
1:12,297
0.2%
0
Topps Neon Autographs PETG Red Parallel
1:14,346
0.2%
0
Anniversary Auto Variation Orange
1:14,346
0.2%
0
Mickey Shorts Dual Autograph Black Wave Parallel
1:21,910
0.1%
0
Mickey Shorts Short Prints Auto Variation Black Wave Parallel
1:30,899
0.1%
0
Phineas and Ferb Auto Variation Black Refractor Parallel
1:30,899
0.1%
0
Anniversary Auto Variation Black
1:36,517
0.1%
0
Mickey Shorts Dual Autograph Red Wave Parallel
1:43,038
0.1%
0
Mickey Shorts Short Prints Auto Variation Red Wave Parallel
1:60,252
0.0%
0
Phineas and Ferb Auto Variation Red Refractor Parallel
1:60,252
0.0%
0
Topps Neon Autographs PETG Pink 1/1 Parallel
1:70,885
0.0%
0
Anniversary Auto Variation Red
1:70,885
0.0%
0
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2026 Topps Disney Neon (Hobby). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
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Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card, 1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs.
Expected — the average number across your packs, packs / N.
Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards, ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2026 Topps Disney Neon. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
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