2026 Topps Finest Fantastic Four Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Common Refractor | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Uncommon Refractor | 1:20 | 71% | 1.20 |
| Common Blue Refractor | 1:51 | 38% | 0.47 |
| Uncommon Blue Refractor | 1:73 | 28% | 0.33 |
| Tribute to Finest '96 Gold Refractor | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Rare Refractor | 1:100 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Common Gold Refractor | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Rare Blue Refractor | 1:169 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Uncommon Gold Refractor | 1:217 | 10% | 0.11 |
| Rare Green Refractor | 1:256 | 9.0% | 0.09 |
| Rare Purple Refractor | 1:337 | 6.9% | 0.07 |
| Tribute to Finest '96 Black Refractor | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Adversaries Gold Refractor | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Clobberin' Time Gold Refractor | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Concept Art Gold Refractor | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| First Family Gold Refractor | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Screen Moments Gold Refractor | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Rare Cosmic Ray Refractor | 1:389 | 6.0% | 0.06 |
| Rare Gold Refractor | 1:506 | 4.6% | 0.05 |
| Common Black Refractor | 1:759 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| Tribute to Finest '96 Red Refractor | 1:759 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| Adversaries Orange Refractor | 1:759 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| Clobberin' Time Orange Refractor | 1:759 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| Concept Art Orange Refractor | 1:759 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| First Family Orange Refractor | 1:759 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| Rare Orange Refractor | 1:1,012 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Uncommon Black Refractor | 1:1,084 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Common Red Refractor | 1:1,515 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Astonishing Orange Wave | 1:1,515 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Adversaries Black Refractor | 1:1,896 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Clobberin' Time Black Refractor | 1:1,896 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Concept Art Black Refractor | 1:1,896 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| First Family Black Refractor | 1:1,896 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Screen Moments Black Refractor | 1:1,896 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Uncommon Red Refractor | 1:2,168 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Rare Black Refractor | 1:2,532 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Adversaries Red Refractor | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Clobberin' Time Red Refractor | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Concept Art Red Refractor | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| First Family Red Refractor | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Screen Moments Red Refractor | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Power Hour Black Refractor | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Astonishing Black Wave | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Fantastic Science Black Refractor | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Finest Timelines Black Refractor | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Topps Originals Black Refractor | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Rare Red Refractor | 1:5,028 | 0.5% | 0 |
| Power Hour Red Refractor | 1:7,542 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Astonishing Red Wave | 1:7,542 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Fantastic Science Red Refractor | 1:7,542 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Finest Timelines Red Refractor | 1:7,542 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Topps Originals Red Refractor | 1:7,542 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Inserts | |||
| Common | 1:1 | 100% | — |
| Uncommon | 1:2 | 100% | 12 |
| Superfractor Adversaries | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Clobberin' Time | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Superfractor Concept Art | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| First Family | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Screen Moments | 1:5 | 100% | 4.80 |
| Rare | 1:10 | 92% | 2.40 |
| Negative Zone Variation Blue | 1:26 | 61% | 0.92 |
| 1960's Blacklight Neon Blue | 1:26 | 61% | 0.92 |
| Negative Zone Variation Green | 1:39 | 46% | 0.62 |
| 1960's Blacklight Neon Green | 1:39 | 46% | 0.62 |
| Tribute to Finest '96 | 1:40 | 46% | 0.60 |
| Negative Zone Variation Purple | 1:51 | 38% | 0.47 |
| 1960's Blacklight Neon Purple | 1:51 | 38% | 0.47 |
| Sketch Cards Finest Triple | 1:53 | 37% | 0.45 |
| Common Green | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Negative Zone Variation Gold | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| 1960's Blacklight Neon Gold | 1:76 | 27% | 0.32 |
| Fantastic Science | 1:80 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Finest Timelines | 1:80 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Greatest Comic | 1:80 | 26% | 0.30 |
| Common Purple | 1:102 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Uncommon Green | 1:110 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Common Cosmic Ray | 1:117 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Uncommon Purple | 1:145 | 15% | 0.17 |
| Negative Zone Variation Orange | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| 1960's Blacklight Neon Orange | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Finest '96 Orange | 1:152 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Astonishing | 1:160 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Flame Throwers | 1:160 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Superfractor Rock Stars | 1:160 | 14% | 0.15 |
| Uncommon Cosmic Ray | 1:167 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Common Orange | 1:304 | 7.6% | 0.08 |
| Topps Originals | 1:320 | 7.2% | 0.08 |
| Negative Zone Variation Black | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| 1960's Blacklight Neon Black | 1:380 | 6.1% | 0.06 |
| Decades Posters | 1:400 | 5.8% | 0.06 |
| Uncommon Orange | 1:434 | 5.4% | 0.06 |
| Future Foundation ID | 1:583 | 4.0% | 0.04 |
| Negative Zone Variation Red | 1:759 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| 1960's Blacklight Neon Red Lava | 1:759 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| Moments Orange | 1:759 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| Comic Excerpts: Silver Surfer | 1:1,232 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Science Orange | 1:1,515 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Timelines Orange | 1:1,515 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Originals Orange | 1:1,515 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Comic Magazines | 1:1,515 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Superfractor Power Hour | 1:1,600 | 1.5% | 0.02 |
| Tribute to Finest '96 | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Greatest Comic Magazines | 1:3,811 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Cards All for Four | 1:4,310 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Common Superfractor | 1:7,542 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Greatest Comic Magazines Red | 1:7,542 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Uncommon Superfractor | 1:10,648 | 0.2% | 0 |
| All for Four Superfractor | 1:17,239 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Adversaries Superfractor | 1:19,053 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Clobberin' Time | 1:19,053 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Concept Art Superfractor | 1:19,053 | 0.1% | 0 |
| First Family Superfractor | 1:19,053 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Screen Moments | 1:19,053 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Rare Superfractor | 1:24,134 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Power Hour Superfractor | 1:36,200 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Astonishing Superfractor | 1:36,200 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Fantastic Science Superfractor | 1:36,200 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Finest Timelines Superfractor | 1:36,200 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Topps Originals Superfractor | 1:36,200 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Greatest Comic Magazines | 1:36,200 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Flame Throwers | 1:45,250 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Rock Stars Superfractor | 1:45,250 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Decades Posters Superfractor | 1:51,715 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Fantastic Creators Superfractor | 1:183,757 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Autographs | |||
| Comic Book Artist Autographs | 1:39 | 46% | 0.62 |
| Finest Autographs | 1:59 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Artist Autographs Green | 1:133 | 17% | 0.18 |
| Fantastic Science Autographs | 1:138 | 16% | 0.17 |
| Artist Autographs Purple | 1:176 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Artist Autographs | 1:254 | 9.0% | 0.09 |
| Autographs Purple | 1:409 | 5.7% | 0.06 |
| Autographs Green | 1:413 | 5.7% | 0.06 |
| Artist Autographs Orange | 1:507 | 4.6% | 0.05 |
| Finest Autographs Gold Refractor | 1:613 | 3.8% | 0.04 |
| Autographs Orange | 1:1,131 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Finest Dual Autographs | 1:1,194 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Science Autographs Orange | 1:1,226 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Artist Autographs | 1:1,268 | 1.9% | 0.02 |
| Finest Dual Autographs Gold Refractor | 1:1,471 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Artist Autographs | 1:2,535 | 0.9% | 0.01 |
| Finest Autographs Black Refractor | 1:2,828 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Autographs Orange | 1:2,941 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Science Autographs | 1:3,063 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Finest Autographs Red Refractor | 1:5,655 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Science Autographs | 1:6,126 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Finest Dual Autographs Black Refractor | 1:6,126 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Finest Triple Autographs | 1:7,351 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Finest Dual Autographs Red Refractor | 1:12,251 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Artist Autographs | 1:12,673 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Autographs Orange | 1:14,701 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Finest Autographs Superfractor | 1:28,271 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Science Autographs | 1:30,627 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Finest Triple Autographs Black Refractor | 1:36,752 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Finest Quad Autographs Booklets | 1:45,940 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Finest Dual Autographs Superfractor | 1:61,253 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Autographs Red Refractor | 1:73,503 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Autographs Booklets | 1:183,757 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Finest Triple Autographs Superfractor | 1:367,513 | 0.0% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for 2026 Topps Finest Fantastic Four (Standard). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 2026 Topps Finest Fantastic Four. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
