Advertisement
Configurations
1
Odds Rows
115
Autographs
32
Base Parallels
42
PL FINEST Pack Odds Calculator
Set how many packs you’re opening then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.
How many packs are you opening?
packs
What are you chasing?
24 packs · Standard · Finest Autographs Base
94%
chance of at least one Finest Autographs Base across 24 packs
≈ 2.67 expectedbase 1 in 9≈ 6 packs for 50%
Packs to hit
Every parallel in Standard
| Parallel | Per pack | ≥1 in 24 | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Parallels | |||
| Common Base Card Checkerboard Refractor | 1:3 | 100% | 8 |
| Uncommon Base Card Checkerboard Refractor | 1:8 | 96% | 3 |
| Common Base Card Refractor | 1:9 | 94% | 2.67 |
| Common Base Card Blue Refractor | 1:12 | 88% | 2 |
| Uncommon Base Card Blue Refractor | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Rare Base Card Checkerboard Refractor | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Uncommon Base Card Refractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Rare Base Card Blue Refractor | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Common Base Card Green Refractor | 1:31 | 54% | 0.77 |
| Common Base Card Gold Refractor | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Common Inserts (five Themes) Gold Refractor | 1:46 | 41% | 0.52 |
| Uncommon Base Card Green Refractor | 1:66 | 31% | 0.36 |
| Common Base Card Orange Refractor | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Uncommon Base Card Gold Refractor | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Rare Base Card Green Refractor | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Common Inserts (five Themes) Orange Refractor | 1:92 | 23% | 0.26 |
| Rare Base Card Refractor | 1:96 | 22% | 0.25 |
| Common Base Card Black Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Uncommon Base Card Orange Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Rare Base Card Gold Refractor | 1:115 | 19% | 0.21 |
| Common Base Card Saturday 3pm Refractor | 1:150 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Uncommon Base Card Black Refractor | 1:153 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Rare Base Card Orange Refractor | 1:153 | 15% | 0.16 |
| Common Base Card Red Refractor | 1:229 | 10.0% | 0.10 |
| Rare Base Card Black Refractor | 1:229 | 10.0% | 0.10 |
| Common Inserts (five Themes) Black Refractor | 1:229 | 10.0% | 0.10 |
| Finest Seasons 1996/97 Green Refractor | 1:272 | 8.5% | 0.09 |
| Uncommon Base Card Saturday 3pm Refractor | 1:316 | 7.3% | 0.08 |
| Finest Seasons 1996/97 Gold Refractor | 1:345 | 6.7% | 0.07 |
| Uncommon Base Card Red Refractor | 1:458 | 5.1% | 0.05 |
| Common Inserts (five Themes) Red Refractor | 1:458 | 5.1% | 0.05 |
| Finest Fans Gold Refractor | 1:497 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Finest Seasons 1996/97 Orange Refractor | 1:597 | 3.9% | 0.04 |
| Rare Base Card Red Refractor | 1:763 | 3.1% | 0.03 |
| Rare Base Card Saturday 3pm Refractor | 1:790 | 3.0% | 0.03 |
| Finest Fans Orange Refractor | 1:997 | 2.4% | 0.02 |
| Finest Seasons 1996/97 Black Refractor | 1:1485 | 1.6% | 0.02 |
| Gustographs Black Refractor | 1:1593 | 1.5% | 0.02 |
| Finest Fans Black Refractor | 1:2020 | 1.2% | 0.01 |
| Finest Seasons 1996/97 Red Refractor | 1:2989 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Gustographs Red Refractor | 1:3162 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Finest Fans Red Refractor | 1:3698 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Inserts | |||
| Common Inserts (five Themes) Base | 2:1 | 100% | — |
| Common Base Card Purple Checkerboard | 1:16 | 79% | 1.50 |
| Common Base Card Blue Checkerboard | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Uncommon Base Card Purple Checkerboard | 1:24 | 64% | 1 |
| Uncommon Base Card Blue Checkerboard | 1:31 | 54% | 0.77 |
| Rare Base Card Purple Checkerboard | 1:31 | 54% | 0.77 |
| Common Base Card Pearl Checkerboard | 1:39 | 46% | 0.62 |
| Rare Base Card Blue Checkerboard | 1:47 | 40% | 0.51 |
| Uncommon Base Card Pearl Checkerboard | 1:58 | 34% | 0.41 |
| Rare Base Card Pearl Checkerboard | 1:77 | 27% | 0.31 |
| Gusto | 1:100 | 21% | 0.24 |
| Swerve Fusion Variation Blue and Red | 1:110 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Swerve Fusion Variation Orange and Red | 1:137 | 16% | 0.18 |
| Swerve Fusion Variation Green and Red | 1:182 | 12% | 0.13 |
| Swerve Fusion Variation Pink and Red | 1:273 | 8.4% | 0.09 |
| Finest Seasons 1996/97 Base | 1:320 | 7.2% | 0.08 |
| Main Attraction | 1:364 | 6.4% | 0.07 |
| Polka | 1:437 | 5.3% | 0.05 |
| Aura | 1:437 | 5.3% | 0.05 |
| Headliners | 1:437 | 5.3% | 0.05 |
| Finest Fans Base | 1:448 | 5.2% | 0.05 |
| Nightmare Fuel | 1:546 | 4.3% | 0.04 |
| Gustographs Base | 1:689 | 3.4% | 0.03 |
| Swerve Fusion Variation Red and Red | 1:1091 | 2.2% | 0.02 |
| Finest Idols Bronze | 1:1200 | 2.0% | 0.02 |
| Common Base Card Superfractor | 1:2297 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Uncommon Base Card Superfractor | 1:2297 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Rare Base Card Superfractor | 1:2297 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Common Inserts (five Themes) Superfractor | 1:2297 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Finest Idols Silver | 1:2400 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Finest Idols Gold | 1:4752 | 0.5% | 0.01 |
| Swerve Fusion Variation Black and Gold | 1:5594 | 0.4% | 0 |
| Nightmare Fuel Superfractor | 1:11483 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Gusto Superfractor | 1:11483 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Polka Superfractor | 1:11483 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Aura Superfractor | 1:11483 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Finest Seasons 1996/97 Superfractor | 1:14544 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Gustographs Superfractor | 1:14544 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Finest Fans Superfractor | 1:18180 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Main Attraction Superfractor | 1:21816 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Headliners Superfractor | 1:21816 | 0.1% | 0 |
| Autographs | |||
| Finest Autographs Base | 1:9 | 94% | 2.67 |
| Finest Autographs Sky Blue Refractor | 1:23 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Finest Autographs Purple Refractor | 1:27 | 60% | 0.89 |
| Finest Autographs Blue Refractor | 1:30 | 56% | 0.80 |
| Finest Autographs Green Refractor | 1:39 | 46% | 0.62 |
| Finest Autographs Gold Refractor | 1:56 | 35% | 0.43 |
| Finest Autographs Orange Refractor | 1:108 | 20% | 0.22 |
| Finest Moments Autographs Green Refractor | 1:166 | 13% | 0.14 |
| Finest Moments Autographs Base | 1:178 | 13% | 0.13 |
| Finest Moments Autographs Gold Refractor | 1:204 | 11% | 0.12 |
| Finest Autographs Black Refractor | 1:261 | 8.8% | 0.09 |
| Finest Moments Autographs Orange Refractor | 1:389 | 6.0% | 0.06 |
| Finest Partnerships Dual Autographs Gold Refractor | 1:497 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Arrivals Autograph Edition Base | 1:497 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Finest Autographs Red Refractor | 1:503 | 4.7% | 0.05 |
| Finest Partnerships Dual Autographs Green Refractor | 1:748 | 3.2% | 0.03 |
| Finest Partnerships Dual Autographs Orange Refractor | 1:748 | 3.2% | 0.03 |
| Finest Moments Autographs Black Refractor | 1:937 | 2.5% | 0.03 |
| Main Attraction Autograph Edition Base | 1:1020 | 2.3% | 0.02 |
| Finest Partnerships Dual Autographs Base | 1:1125 | 2.1% | 0.02 |
| Finest Partnerships Dual Autographs Black Refractor | 1:1718 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Main Attraction Autograph Edition Black Refractor | 1:1718 | 1.4% | 0.01 |
| Finest Moments Autographs Red Refractor | 1:1849 | 1.3% | 0.01 |
| Arrivals Autograph Edition Black Refractor | 1:2227 | 1.1% | 0.01 |
| Finest Autographs Superfractor | 1:2508 | 1.0% | 0.01 |
| Finest Partnerships Dual Autographs Red Refractor | 1:3162 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Main Attraction Autograph Edition Red Refractor | 1:3162 | 0.8% | 0.01 |
| Arrivals Autograph Edition Red Refractor | 1:4040 | 0.6% | 0.01 |
| Finest Moments Autographs Superfractor | 1:9090 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Main Attraction Autograph Edition Superfractor | 1:13635 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Finest Partnerships Dual Autographs Superfractor | 1:14544 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Arrivals Autograph Edition Superfractor | 1:19833 | 0.1% | 0 |
These are Topps’ official published odds for PL FINEST (Standard). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.
tcgTalk Topps Tools
Browse every Topps odds calculator
Compare pull rates across Chrome, Bowman, Finest, UFC, F1 and more — every set's official odds in one place.
How the Odds Are Calculated
Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:
- Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card,
1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs. - Expected — the average number across your packs,
packs / N. - Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards,
ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).
Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.
Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for PL FINEST. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.
Advertisement