What are the odds of an autograph in 25 26 Bowman U Best Basketball?

The rarest autograph tier we list, the Let it Rain Relic Autographs Special Patch, falls at 1:10054 packs in Standard. Autograph odds vary widely by parallel — set your pack count on this page and pick any autograph from the dropdown to see the live chance of at least one, plus how many packs it takes for a 50%, 90% or 95% shot. There are 47 autograph rows in Standard alone.

How rare is the Base Refractor in 25 26 Bowman U Best Basketball?

The Base Refractor lands at 1:2 packs (Standard) — about a 100% chance of at least one across 24 packs. Remember this is the odds of pulling the parallel at all; a specific player's Base Refractor is far longer odds.

How does the 25 26 Bowman U Best Basketball odds calculator work?

Enter how many packs you're opening and pick the parallel, autograph or insert you're chasing. The tool uses Topps' official published per-pack odds (1:N) and treats each pack as an independent draw, computing the chance of at least one as 1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs, the expected number, and — working backwards — how many packs you'd need for a 50%, 90% or 95% chance.

Are these 25 26 Bowman U Best Basketball odds official?

Yes. Every rate here comes straight from Topps' official odds sheet for 25 26 Bowman U Best Basketball — 133 parallel/insert/autograph odds across 1 configuration. We don't estimate or sample; we present the manufacturer's stated odds and do the probability math on top.

25 26 Bowman U Best Basketball Odds Calculator — Autograph & Parallel Pull Rates (Standard)

Configurations

Odds Rows

133

Autographs

Base Parallels

25 26 Bowman U Best Basketball Pack Odds Calculator

Set how many packs you’re opening then pick the card you’re chasing from the dropdown. The big figure is your chance of pulling at least one of that parallel, autograph or insert across your packs; the table below prices every parallel at once. All rates are Topps’ official published odds.

How many packs are you opening?

packs

What are you chasing?

24 packs · Standard · Best of 2025 Autographs

99%

chance of at least one Best of 2025 Autographs across 24 packs

≈ 4 expectedbase 1 in 6≈ 4 packs for 50%

Packs to hit

Every parallel in Standard

Parallel	Per pack	≥1 in 24	Expected
Base Parallels
Base Refractor	1:2	100%	12
Tone Setters Refractor	1:21	69%	1.14
Bowman Masterpieces Refractor	1:21	69%	1.14
Breaking Barriers Refractor	1:41	45%	0.59
ISO Signatures Refractor	1:44	42%	0.55
Coaches Ink Refractor	1:122	18%	0.20
Dual Autos Refractors Refractor	1:242	9.5%	0.10
Triple Autos Refractors Refractor	1:483	4.9%	0.05
Dual Autos Refractors Black	1:604	3.9%	0.04
Triple Autos Refractors Black	1:1207	2.0%	0.02
Dual Autos Refractors Red	1:1207	2.0%	0.02
Triple Autos Refractors Red	1:2413	1.0%	0.01
Dual Autos Refractors Superfractor	1:6033	0.4%	0
Triple Autos Refractors Superfractor	1:12065	0.2%	0
Inserts
Base	6:1	100%	—
Base Shimmer	1:2	100%	12
Base Purple	1:5	100%	4.80
Base Aqua Lava	1:7	98%	3.43
Tone Setters	1:7	98%	3.43
Bowman Masterpieces	1:7	98%	3.43
Base Blue	1:9	94%	2.67
Tone Setters Shimmer	1:11	90%	2.18
Bowman Masterpieces Shimmer	1:11	90%	2.18
Base Green Mini-Diamond	1:13	85%	1.85
Breaking Barriers	1:13	85%	1.85
Base Yellow Lazer	1:17	77%	1.41
Game Graphs	1:17	77%	1.41
Game Graphs Yellow Lazer	1:20	71%	1.20
Breaking Barriers Shimmer	1:21	69%	1.14
Base Gold	1:25	62%	0.96
Game Graphs Gold	1:29	57%	0.83
Tone Setters Green Mini Diamond	1:32	53%	0.75
Bowman Masterpieces Green Mini Diamond	1:32	53%	0.75
Base Pearl	1:35	50%	0.69
Tone Setters Yellow Lazer	1:42	44%	0.57
Bowman Masterpieces Yellow Lazer	1:42	44%	0.57
Base Orange Mini-Diamond	1:49	39%	0.49
Big Energy	1:54	36%	0.44
Game Graphs Orange Mini-Diamond	1:55	36%	0.44
Tone Setters Gold	1:62	32%	0.39
Bowman Masterpieces Gold	1:62	32%	0.39
Breaking Barriers Green Mini Diamond	1:63	32%	0.38
ISO Signatures Green Mini Diamond	1:77	27%	0.31
Base Teal	1:81	26%	0.30
ISO Signatures Yellow Lazer	1:81	26%	0.30
Breaking Barriers Yellow Lazer	1:83	25%	0.29
ISO Signatures Gold	1:101	21%	0.24
Base Black	1:122	18%	0.20
Breaking Barriers Gold	1:124	18%	0.19
Tone Setters Orange Mini-Diamond	1:124	18%	0.19
Bowman Masterpieces Orange Mini-Diamond	1:124	18%	0.19
Game Graphs Black	1:136	16%	0.18
ISO Signatures Orange Mini-Diamond	1:202	11%	0.12
Base Red	1:243	9.4%	0.10
Breaking Barriers Orange Mini-Diamond	1:247	9.3%	0.10
Coaches Ink Green Mini Diamond	1:252	9.1%	0.10
Game Graphs Red	1:272	8.5%	0.09
Tone Setters Black	1:308	7.5%	0.08
Bowman Masterpieces Black	1:308	7.5%	0.08
Coaches Ink Yellow Lazer	1:405	5.8%	0.06
Top Billing	1:481	4.9%	0.05
ISO Signatures Black	1:483	4.9%	0.05
Let's Go	1:485	4.8%	0.05
Coaches Ink Gold	1:505	4.6%	0.05
Breaking Barriers Black	1:616	3.8%	0.04
Tone Setters Red	1:616	3.8%	0.04
Bowman Masterpieces Red	1:616	3.8%	0.04
Game Graphs Brand Logo	1:764	3.1%	0.03
ISO Signatures Red	1:966	2.5%	0.02
Coaches Ink Orange Mini-Diamond	1:981	2.4%	0.02
Game Graphs Brand Logo Tag	1:1078	2.2%	0.02
Base Superfractor	1:1212	2.0%	0.02
Breaking Barriers Red	1:1238	1.9%	0.02
Game Graphs Superfractor	1:1356	1.8%	0.02
Coaches Ink Black	1:2413	1.0%	0.01
Tone Setters Superfractor	1:3212	0.7%	0.01
Bowman Masterpieces Superfractor	1:3212	0.7%	0.01
Coaches Ink Red	1:4826	0.5%	0
ISO Signatures Superfractor	1:4826	0.5%	0
Big Energy Superfractor	1:5936	0.4%	0
Breaking Barriers Superfractor	1:6991	0.3%	0
Top Billing Superfractor	1:11871	0.2%	0
LET'S GO Superfractor	1:23741	0.1%	0
Coaches Ink Superfractor	1:24129	0.1%	0
Autographs
Best of 2025 Autographs	1:6	99%	4
Best of 2025 Autographs Refractor	1:8	96%	3
Best of 2025 Autographs Green Mini Diamond	1:14	83%	1.71
Best of 2025 Autographs Yellow Lazer	1:18	75%	1.33
Greatness Awaits Autographs Refractor	1:18	75%	1.33
Best of 2025 Autographs Gold	1:26	61%	0.92
Greatness Awaits Autographs Green Mini Diamond	1:34	51%	0.71
Greatness Awaits Autographs Yellow Lazer	1:42	44%	0.57
Best of 2025 Autographs Orange Mini-Diamond	1:52	37%	0.46
Greatness Awaits Autographs Gold	1:62	32%	0.39
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs Gold	1:76	27%	0.32
Prospect Dual Relic Auto Gold	1:78	27%	0.31
Best of 2025 Autographs Black	1:121	18%	0.20
Greatness Awaits Autographs Orange Mini-Diamond	1:124	18%	0.19
Prospect Dual Relic Auto Orange Mini-Diamond	1:124	18%	0.19
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs Orange Mini-Diamond	1:131	17%	0.18
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs Yellow Lazer	1:147	15%	0.16
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs	1:201	11%	0.12
Best of 2025 Autographs Red	1:244	9.4%	0.10
Prospect Dual Relic Auto Yellow Lazer	1:269	8.6%	0.09
Let it Rain Relic Autographs Orange Mini-Diamond	1:269	8.6%	0.09
Greatness Awaits Autographs Black	1:302	7.7%	0.08
Prospect Dual Relic Auto Black	1:310	7.5%	0.08
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs Black	1:327	7.1%	0.07
Let it Rain Relic Autographs Gold	1:346	6.7%	0.07
Prospect Dual Relic Auto	1:402	5.8%	0.06
Let it Rain Relic Autographs Yellow Lazer	1:537	4.4%	0.04
Let it Rain Relic Autographs	1:603	3.9%	0.04
Greatness Awaits Autographs Red	1:604	3.9%	0.04
Prospect Dual Relic Auto Red	1:619	3.8%	0.04
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs Red	1:653	3.6%	0.04
Let it Rain Relic Autographs Black	1:671	3.5%	0.04
Best of 2025 Autographs Superfractor	1:1207	2.0%	0.02
Let it Rain Relic Autographs Red	1:1341	1.8%	0.02
Prospect Dual Relic Auto Brand Logo	1:2155	1.1%	0.01
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs Brand Logo	1:2235	1.1%	0.01
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs Brand Logo Tag	1:2413	1.0%	0.01
Prospect Dual Relic Auto Brand Logo Tag	1:2514	1.0%	0.01
Greatness Awaits Autographs Superfractor	1:3017	0.8%	0.01
Prospect Dual Relic Auto Superfractor	1:3094	0.8%	0.01
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs Superfractor	1:3261	0.7%	0.01
Prospect Dual Relic Auto Special Patch	1:3771	0.6%	0.01
Prospect Jumbo Relic Autographs Special Patch	1:4309	0.6%	0.01
Let it Rain Relic Autographs Brand Logo	1:4641	0.5%	0.01
Let it Rain Relic Autographs Brand Logo Tag	1:5027	0.5%	0
Let it Rain Relic Autographs Superfractor	1:6703	0.4%	0
Let it Rain Relic Autographs Special Patch	1:10054	0.2%	0
Relics & Memorabilia
Game Graphs Conference Patch	1:719	3.3%	0.03
Game Graphs Special Patch	1:1946	1.2%	0.01

These are Topps’ official published odds for 25 26 Bowman U Best Basketball (Standard). A parallel’s rate is for any card in that parallel — a specific player is far rarer. The model treats each pack as an independent draw at the stated rate; real collation clusters hits.

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How the Odds Are Calculated

Topps prints the pull rate of every parallel as “1 in N packs.” The calculator turns that into the numbers people actually ask for:

Chance of ≥1 — the probability at least one of your packs has that card, 1 − (1 − 1/N)^packs.
Expected — the average number across your packs, packs / N.
Packs to a 50 / 90 / 95% shot — solving the same formula backwards, ln(1 − t) / ln(1 − 1/N).

Two honest caveats. A parallel’s odds are for any card in that parallel — a specific player is much rarer. And the model assumes each pack is an independent draw at the stated rate; real Topps collation can cluster or space out hits, so a live box can over- or under-shoot.

Disclaimer: Odds are Topps’ official published figures for 25 26 Bowman U Best Basketball. The calculator models each pack as an independent draw at the stated per-pack rate; real openings vary. Not financial advice.